weathafella Posted Monday at 05:56 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:56 PM 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: Does anyone else feel in a weird spot between time moving faster but also slower? October absolutely flew by as did November...but it seemed like time slowed a bit towards the end of November. It seems like December is going by quickly...but slowly at the same time. Not sure if the weather is factoring into that at all but think about this... We have not even officially hit winter yet and it feels like winter has sucked lmao. I mean...it's only freaking mid-December lol. It's like there is so much investment in OP runs looking at storms that pop up at 240+ hours that after like a month of being into the cool season, it's nothing but mental exhaustion. Reading some of the posts over the last week or two...you would think we're in like mid-February or late February and haven't had anything...it's only mid-December and we just hit that point. I gotta stop doing that too and breathe and realize its only mid-December. "Shorter of breath, one day closer to death...." 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted Monday at 06:02 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:02 PM 1 hour ago, DavisStraight said: My labs loved the snow, used run head on into the drifts and had to hop out. No drifts for this guy yet, but he doesn't want to leave the snow regardless of how much is out there...runs around eating snowflakes as they fall from the sky 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Monday at 06:19 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:19 PM 23 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Can't have too much life left. NBM MOS will replace it and the GFS MOS sooner rather than later. Hopefully the NBM continues to be enhanced/improved too. That even seems to really suck...and in the same situations as NAM/GFS. I get its just a tool and you need to do more in-depth looking but if you're not in a position to be able to do that...oof that thing can really screw you. I do like though how the NBM at least indicates the presence of high clouds (above like 11,000 feet or 12,000 feet). This is probably why there are so many "busts" on sky cover...MOS doesn't report clouds above a certain height. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted Monday at 06:25 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:25 PM 2 hours ago, DavisStraight said: My labs loved the snow, used run head on into the drifts and had to hop out. Our Lab mix quickly learned to love the snow (other than the Pi-Day blizzard in 2017, which spooked her big time). However, the "mix" failed to include "retriever" and she doesn't like the (liquid) water. Our black Lab (2003-16) would be in any water, any season, any conditions. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted Monday at 06:28 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 06:28 PM 4 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea. I mentioned I hate seeing the deep troughs establishing itself in the Northeast Pac /gulf of AK. That’s a hostile look for sne and would require some Atl assistance which doesn’t look like the case. It’s gonna get ugly for a bit and I don’t think it recovers as quickly as guidance may start showing. It never does... recovery from AN periods are almost rushed on the modeling; sometimes by a week or two. As good as Jan 2015 trended, it also was slower than expected... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted Monday at 06:29 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 06:29 PM Just now, FXWX said: It never does... recovery from AN periods are almost rushed on the modeling; sometimes by a week or two. As good as Jan 2015 trended, it also was slower than expected... Correction "almost always rushed" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Monday at 06:39 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:39 PM telecons don't look great for winter enthusiasm heading into january frankly ... the wpo/epo are solidly switching modes in the outlook and the positive pna starts to collapse after xmas. it tries to maintain a modest positive aspect out there in the deep range.... but that's all there is to really stop this bus from driving down a different road entirely. believe me, we've been fortunate - as bad as the payoff has been - to this point. should we lose that n/pac arc, and then say if the pna goes neg ... you will be shock and awed at how bad this winter would be. 70s in jan in a cc attributionist's fantasy, no problem 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted Monday at 06:44 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:44 PM 1.8” earlier this morning in Southington off of an expectation of a coating. Not too shabby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Monday at 06:51 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:51 PM 20 minutes ago, FXWX said: Correction "almost always rushed" Jan 2015 didn’t really get going until the night of the 24th into the 25th(1-4” wet snow event)…so it took its time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Monday at 06:54 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:54 PM Good chance BOS and perhaps into SNH gets 1" or less for December. Lets do it. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Monday at 06:59 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:59 PM 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Good chance BOS and perhaps into SNH gets 1" or less for December. Lets do it. 5.8" on the month here and bare ground, Maybe pick up 1-2" weds night but pretty much looks like December will end up well below avg again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Monday at 07:02 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:02 PM 1 minute ago, dryslot said: 5.8" on the month here and bare ground, Maybe pick up 1-2" weds night but pretty much looks like December will end up well below avg again. Another December, another pork job only now with BN temps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Monday at 07:07 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:07 PM 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Good chance BOS and perhaps into SNH gets 1" or less for December. Lets do it. in a below normal month no less ... ho man. the chapping of asses is priceless 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoCORH4L Posted Monday at 07:07 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:07 PM 2 hours ago, dryslot said: What a furnace the week between Christmas and New Years on the GFS. Mudmobiling even from Magalloway to The County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted Monday at 07:08 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:08 PM 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Another December, another pork job only now with BN temps. Will quickly make up BN temps last two weeks of December. Think at last a few days of record warmth 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Monday at 07:09 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:09 PM Just now, NoCORH4L said: Mudmobiling even from Magalloway to The County Don't generally take it off the trailer until the second week of Jan in most seasons. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Monday at 07:10 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:10 PM 1 minute ago, qg_omega said: Will quickly make up BN temps last two weeks of December. Think at last a few days of record warmth I know, but it will be solidly BN until the last few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Monday at 07:17 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:17 PM Isn't there a link where you can see seasonal snowfall to-date compared to average? I would have to think even the West is below-average now...or if not many places will be soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Monday at 07:19 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:19 PM 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: Isn't there a link where you can see seasonal snowfall to-date compared to average? I would have to think even the West is below-average now...or if not many places will be soon. They'll be making up ground for sure, especially Sierra on north. You know what that means here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted Monday at 07:30 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:30 PM Morning of the 23rd, 12z suites:ICON ENS: 4°GEFS: 12°EPS: -2°GEPS: 0°Wonder why the GEFS is running warmer than the othersSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Monday at 07:33 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:33 PM 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: They'll be making up ground for sure, especially Sierra on north. You know what that means here. Unfortunately Maybe the Sierra's will get another stretch where they get 500'' of snow in like a week lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted Monday at 07:34 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:34 PM Unfortunately Maybe the Sierra's will get another stretch where they get 500'' of snow in like a week lol. You see, that is the only reason why I don't mind being torchy for a week or so, they DESPERATELY rely on the snowpack generated from a -PNA to offset their brutal summer water loss ratesSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted Monday at 07:35 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:35 PM 3 hours ago, dryslot said: What a furnace the week between Christmas and New Years on the GFS. CAD and looks like crap, wish we could torch it but unlikely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Monday at 07:35 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:35 PM 4 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: Morning of the 23rd, 12z suites: ICON ENS: 4° GEFS: 12° EPS: -2° GEPS: 0° Wonder why the GEFS is running warmer than the others Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk They don’t have snow otg . Other models do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Monday at 07:48 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:48 PM 12 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: You see, that is the only reason why I don't mind being torchy for a week or so, they DESPERATELY rely on the snowpack generated from a -PNA to offset their brutal summer water loss rates Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Won't really matter once California breaks away and floats westwards through the Pacific...or the entire state is engulfed in a wildfire. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlashFreeze Posted Monday at 07:56 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:56 PM 33° and a rain snow mix, mostly rain except when the precip picks up a bit, 1.20” Snow from the early morning precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted Monday at 08:20 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:20 PM 32 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Won't really matter once California breaks away and floats westwards through the Pacific...or the entire state is engulfed in a wildfire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted Monday at 08:55 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:55 PM 7 hours ago, WinterWolf said: Huge positive bust last Feb. positive bust 10 days ago, positive bust today too…I’m liking the Tenor. This morning at 6am I hit exactly 10" for the season (6" alone from that over-performing clipper 10 days ago). The long-term average for this area is 9.6 to 10.4" for December, depending on what data source you look at. Now I feel the essential numbness that arises with climate equilibrium. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted Monday at 09:17 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:17 PM 2 hours ago, FXWX said: Correction "almost always rushed" Correct! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted Monday at 09:34 PM Share Posted Monday at 09:34 PM 29.5° with violent -ZL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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