George001 Posted December 13 Share Posted December 13 From @SnowLover22 on the Mid Atlantic forum: “PDO trending upwards the first half of December. @psuhoffman what is your target value out of curosity. If I am understanding the PDO correctly, the general "trough pattern" over the North Western Pacific Ocean that has been ongoing and forecast on the models should act to continue to help cause the PDO Index to rise.” …. That’s a significant rise from Oct-Dec. It’s still negative enough it won’t save Dec and probably Jan too, but this could be a big deal come Feb-Mar if it keeps rising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 13 Share Posted December 13 1 hour ago, cut said: 93 was pretty epic as I recall. That's the year NYC closed the bridges for de-icing on several occasions. I think a pedestrian died from falling ice on a bridge. Snow on the ground for weeks IIRC. Yeah, 92-93 and 93-94 were both great, 94-95 sucked big time but a great rebound for 95-96 was the best. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 13 Share Posted December 13 From [mention=15242]SnowLover22[/mention] on the Mid Atlantic forum: “PDO trending upwards the first half of December. [mention=2304]psuhoffman[/mention] what is your target value out of curosity. If I am understanding the PDO correctly, the general "trough pattern" over the North Western Pacific Ocean that has been ongoing and forecast on the models should act to continue to help cause the PDO Index to rise.” …. That’s a significant rise from Oct-Dec. It’s still negative enough it won’t save Dec and probably Jan too, but this could be a big deal come Feb-Mar if it keeps rising. How big a deal, we lose the +PNA?Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 13 Share Posted December 13 2 hours ago, kdxken said: You just knew after the beautiful dry fall a fuckening was headed our way. I love the term fuckening. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 13 Share Posted December 13 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Yeah man, we recorded 2.29” rainfall at Mtn Ops Center but all of it was a cold rain. The Mansfield Stake went from 38” fluffy to 33” water injected glacial pack. Even in the base area, the loss was probably even less as it was colder wedged in there. Down at my place we are at 6” from 12”. I thought it was going to be smoked. Conditions are a bit rougher than they were, but even still, some low angle natural snow terrain was back open, which means it’s not terrible, ha ha. The big thing here was a 500 vertical foot washout on Gondolier. These seem to happen in a different place each Dec now when we get the big water amounts. This was the largest yet and requires excavators to fix. These channels go deep into the ground. The power of water is crazy. Will they be able to fill that with snow for the winter? I’ve seen groomers make snowmobile trails out of terrain you can barely walk on but ski trails might be different. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 13 Share Posted December 13 7 minutes ago, mreaves said: Will they be able to fill that with snow for the winter? I’ve seen groomers make snowmobile trails out of terrain you can barely walk on but ski trails might be different. Yeah, the good thing about Stowe is that when stuff like this happens, there are resources to throw at it quickly. There were winch cats out there working earlier and the local heavy equipment contractor is fast acting… excavators needed. Roughed in, the trail will just need a good snowmaking run. Frozen QPF will fix it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 13 Share Posted December 13 30 minutes ago, mreaves said: I love the term fuckening. Hopefully this winter we don't get the cosmic dongening. (A nod to @Typhoon Tip there) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted December 13 Share Posted December 13 I love the term fuckening. Fuckery was always one of my favorites, but I will def add fuckening to my arsenal . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 13 Share Posted December 13 17 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Hopefully this winter we don't get the cosmic dongening. (A nod to @Typhoon Tip there) I think the better term might be cosmic dildoing in that context. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13 Share Posted December 13 2 hours ago, George001 said: From @SnowLover22 on the Mid Atlantic forum: “PDO trending upwards the first half of December. @psuhoffman what is your target value out of curosity. If I am understanding the PDO correctly, the general "trough pattern" over the North Western Pacific Ocean that has been ongoing and forecast on the models should act to continue to help cause the PDO Index to rise.” …. That’s a significant rise from Oct-Dec. It’s still negative enough it won’t save Dec and probably Jan too, but this could be a big deal come Feb-Mar if it keeps rising. PDO doesn't really drive the pattern...it feeds back, especially when extreme...but its more a reflection of the predominate state of the atmosphere. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmcginvt Posted December 13 Share Posted December 13 52 minutes ago, mreaves said: Will they be able to fill that with snow for the winter? I’ve seen groomers make snowmobile trails out of terrain you can barely walk on but ski trails might be different. Wow, worked in the race dept running the nastar course for years before they nixed it. Needless to say I know that trail well. Im interested in the path water takes and that picture is funny to me because that a part of the trail that bumps up when not groomed. Not sure of the correlation there but interesting/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted December 13 Share Posted December 13 27 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Hopefully this winter we don't get the cosmic dongening. (A nod to @Typhoon Tip there) 10 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I think the better term might be cosmic dildoing in that context. Within the context of both it would be just our luck. As always …. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13 Share Posted December 13 Despite the long wave pattern, we have some timing differences causing some meh solutions from cutters to whiffs. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13 Share Posted December 13 Nothing to look forward to as was told to Ginx 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13 Share Posted December 13 When you log on and there’s no posts from Anthony with model runs you know it’s over 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 13 Share Posted December 13 26 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Despite the long wave pattern, we have some timing differences causing some meh solutions from cutters to whiffs. At least the gfs is bringing some snow to Hatteras. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 13 Share Posted December 13 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: When you log on and there’s no posts from Anthony with model runs you know it’s over This is true Horrible overnight runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 13 Share Posted December 13 Day 10-12 OP runs will always disappoint Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 13 Share Posted December 13 Some here would ragequit on one winter in the South...Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 13 Share Posted December 13 45 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Nothing to look forward to as was told to Ginx Lol…the models couldn’t get your winds right at 12 hrs(literally the day of). But you worry about modeling at 7-8 days. Whatever you’re looking for will return in future runs, bet on it. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13 Share Posted December 13 47 minutes ago, MJO812 said: This is true Horrible overnight runs It’s like clock work . And now.. more Rainers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 13 Share Posted December 13 8 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Hopefully this winter we don't get the cosmic dongening. (A nod to @Typhoon Tip there) It’s already happening. The it looks great at h5 vibes… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13 Share Posted December 13 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s like clock work . And now.. more Rainers IneedSnow and Chief Wiggum are the two you look for. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 13 Share Posted December 13 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: IneedSnow and Chief Wiggum are the two you look for. last nights runs were junk.. on to 12z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 13 Share Posted December 13 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s like clock work . And now.. more Rainers Cheer up buttercup! Things will change as they always do. Stop taking what you see 10 days out as a forecast. We'll get our Winter!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13 Share Posted December 13 5 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Cheer up buttercup! Things will change as they always do. Stop taking what you see 10 days out as a forecast. We'll get our Winter!! Doubtful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 13 Share Posted December 13 57 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: Some here would ragequit on one winter in the South... Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk I guess I wouldn't expect snow if I lived there? I mean, my family is from SW Georgia. I don't think I would be all that upset if I was visiting and there wasn't snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 13 Share Posted December 13 Wow what a global blowtorch on the ensembles. No cold to be found anywhere. At least everyone's f*cked this winter 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 13 Share Posted December 13 EPS was a disaster with the pig in Alaska starting to show at the tail end.. Amazing flip-flopping on 00z and 12z .. Wake up to same old December from 00z , then all weenies rejoice at 12z for several days now.. Although all guidance does agree on a Nation wide torch after Christmas Day and some cold leading up to Christmas. Non-Scientific opinion is the general 00z theme will end up winning out and we wait til well after New Years... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 13 Share Posted December 13 55 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s like clock work . And now.. more Rainers you should go over to electric blue for lunch and relax 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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