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December 2024 - Best look to an early December pattern in many a year!


FXWX
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something we haven't seen in recent years ( really ..) re the mjo... the phase space may actually be in constructive interference around the nw quad of the rmm

that's usually a prelude to a cold americas ...  in this case timing post xmas. 

i find it interesting that we're getting to this look prior to the mjo contribution ... but, as we've ( or "I" rather ) have emphasized int he past, the mjo is a constructive or destructive interference mechanism, not a pattern driver.

if that were not enough... there's a gfs modeled hot plume intrusion at high altitudes amid the polar stratosphere - long way before knowing if that's a down welling forcer though.     any cold dividends to mid latitude wouldn't be until until later on in the winter - if so

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10 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Prayers and crosses the models don’t change anymore now but they always do and nobody knows. This is so confusing. 

Yesterday it was a hellscape and today there is hope.  Lather, rinse, repeat.

This season I am going to be zen-like and gently hold the container so that everyone can flop all around and not fall out.

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4 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Yesterday it was a hellscape and today there is hope.  Lather, rinse, repeat.

This season I am going to be zen-like and gently hold the container so that everyone can flop all around and not fall out.

Is there a wolf inside your container telling the prey how to behave?  

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