NorEastermass128 Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 42 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Long range guidance looks hideous right into early 2025. Brutal I haven’t looked at any model output in two seasons. This will likely be the third. I used to check the NCEP site every six hours back in the day when it actually snowed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 1 minute ago, NorEastermass128 said: I haven’t looked at any model output in two seasons. This will likely be the third. I used to check the NCEP site every six hours back in the day when it actually snowed. It used to be exciting and gave you something to look forward to. Now when you look , you already know what to expect and are already in a bad mood prior to looking. And then when you look , you start smashing things. 1 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 44 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Long range guidance looks hideous right into early 2025. Brutal Yep I guess the pattern change will happen next year ( if it does ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 1 hour ago, dendrite said: 25.7° Finished with 3.2” Finished with .37" of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It used to be exciting and gave you something to look forward to. Now when you look , you already know what to expect and are already in a bad mood prior to looking. And then when you look , you start smashing things. Sounds like you’re in the anger phase. I was there too a few years ago. I have now worked my way all the way to the acceptance phase. A couple more ratters and you’ll accept it too. 1 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 23 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Guidance is going to rush that...I wouldn't hold your breath until after the New Year. 22 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, perhaps some obfuscation there on my part.....was just an anecdotal comment. But I do think we are going to see some overzealous holiday week model runs along the way, which is really my point. 53 minutes ago, MJO812 said: No sign of a pattern change through Christmas on the models on the overnight models. Still no snow yet down here. 53 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Long range guidance looks hideous right into early 2025. Brutal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 .65” here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 Don’t worry 2030 will rock. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Don’t worry 2030 will rock. If we all make it to 2030. I am mentally prepared for another ratter. I recall it didn’t look good for this season at the end of last season. I’ll take whatever we can muster, but I’m not expecting much. Last winter was a week of “winter” during MLK week and then it was over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 We should go one week at a time these days. Chills down at the weekend maybe a bit of snow Sunday night, and then the 20-21 thing. Don’t look any further ahead 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Don’t worry 2030 will rock. It should, but then again, we are going to be coming due for the next super El Nino by then ....1982-1997-2015- 2030-2033. I think it probably gets set in motion by another great stretch near the turn of the decade and into the very early portion of next decade, like 14-15 into 15-16, so probably more like 2032-2033...especially considering last year's event was pretty strong. 1982 came ten years after the 1972-1973 "El Nina"....another reason 2032-2033 makes perfect sense for a super warm ENSO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 25 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Sounds like you’re in the anger phase. I was there too a few years ago. I have now worked my way all the way to the acceptance phase. A couple more ratters and you’ll accept it too. I'm at acceptance...but then when the next KU-to-be devolves into a cutter at day 3, then the cycle starts a new. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 All kidding aside it’s not abysmal, just not thrilled with it. We could get lucky and sneak something in I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 At least SE Canada looks to be building up a pack....that will pay dividends next month. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: At least SE Canada look to be building up a pack. Man that makes me feel better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 Then again looking at temp anomalies, it’s puke worthy. Santa comes in and brings the torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 Best December pattern continues. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Man that makes me feel better. Well, what is your December climo, 5"?? Normally its all you can ask for this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 Man, anger is already propagating in scooter.....he's ready to split. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Best December pattern continues. I will not be the least bit surprised if the coast to coast torch takes place... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well, what is your December climo, 5"?? Normally its all you can ask for this month. It’s not 5” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well, what is your December climo, 5"?? Normally it’s all you can ask for this month. Enjoy the .6” you get this month I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 Just now, CoastalWx said: It’s not 5” Congrats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 Just now, CoastalWx said: Enjoy the .6” you get this month I guess. Not my point...its going to suck for me, too....difference is I was mentally prepared for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Not my point...its going to suck for me, too....difference is I was mentally prepared for it. Go through my stretch and see how prepared you’ll be. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 This is why Sandbar Scooter has formed since 2022. Not a care in the world when the southern wind sings again an island lullaby. Fortunately the warm season continues to lengthen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Not my point...it’s going to suck for me, too....difference is I was mentally prepared for it. What happens when January shits itself in phase 5? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 What an assy pattern 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Yep I guess the pattern change will happen next year ( if it does ) always another model run away then all of the sudden it's mid jan and people are saying it's still early, then Feb will be rockin', lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10 Share Posted December 10 19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Go through my stretch and see how prepared you’ll be. Go a decade without a normal snowfall season.....I guess I am king of the ratters, yay. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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