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December 2024 - Best look to an early December pattern in many a year!


FXWX
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1.6" overnight, 14.0" season total. Was at 10.9" at this point last year which isn't far off, but last year's stuff was pretty well vaporized soon after it fell. So far this December feels considerably more wintry.

Just got to add a bit more Mon/Tuesday and pray to the CAD gods to keep the pack intact through Wednesday.

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24 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Long range looking a little meh. Would like to see a more stout +PNA and less Bering Sea troughing.

PNA ridges rolling over into central US while WPO tries to go positive will torch us. Aleutian low is supposed to retrograde which would give a much colder pattern but if it takes it’s time then it will make Xmas week pretty mild. 

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1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

PNA ridges rolling over into central US while WPO tries to go positive will torch us. Aleutian low is supposed to retrograde which would give a much colder pattern but if it takes it’s time then it will make Xmas week pretty mild. 

Yeah that’s been a trend last two days. Hopefully that doesn’t last long.

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1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah that’s been a trend last two days. Hopefully that doesn’t last long.

Hopefully it looks more like the 06z GFS at the end. Split flow with very poleward PNA ridge. Keeps central/eastern Canada and even down into NE in the icebox. 

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9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Hopefully it looks more like the 06z GFS at the end. Split flow with very poleward PNA ridge. Keeps central/eastern Canada and even down into NE in the icebox. 

I really hope. Just something to break right.

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18 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I don’t think pure dooming is any better fwiw. There’s legit disagreement around the week of Xmas. 

We all know it’s coming. The ski resort wipeout begins this week with a 3” rainer and then 60 Christmas week. 

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18 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I don’t think pure dooming is any better fwiw. There’s legit disagreement around the week of Xmas. 

When I look at that map that Luke posted, I see much orange and red, translating into 1-4 degrees above normal? ...But it's not like we're seeing the doomish high or even middle end of the scale. I'm sure that I'm over simplifying the imagery from 300+ hours out, but it doesn't seem panic worthy.

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8 minutes ago, greenmtnwx said:

We all know it’s coming. The ski resort wipeout begins this week with a 3” rainer and then 60 Christmas week. 

GFS and Euro keep SVT in U30s to low 40s during the deluge. CMC is a total furnace and a prob wipeout. Just hope for a colder rain I guess and maybe late flip. The decent anafront snow doesn't look as likely as of recent runs.

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