RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 Chilly and dry…wow worthy no doubt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 59 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Chilly and dry…wow worthy no doubt. Feel bad for you man. Completely pessimistic and already have written Winter off before it even started. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Chilly and dry…wow worthy no doubt. Is wow migrating the bb to americanweenie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 54 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Feel bad for you man. Completely pessimistic and already have written Winter off before it even started. We talking about Dec in here, not the entire season, and the pattern is cold and dry first half. If frozen crabgrass lawns tickle some then the bar is set very, very low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We talking about Dec in here, not the entire season, and the pattern is cold and dry first half. If frozen crabgrass lawns tickle some then the bar is set very, very low. So your call is cold and dry for first half(two weeks)of December? Interesting. Modeling can’t figure out a storm 3 days from now, but you’re sure it’s dry for the first half of December. Kind of like we were sure that the first half of December was showing no change 3 weeks ago. Good to know. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 He is on his way . Warnings are up . Congrats ice skaters https://x.com/ericfisher/status/1861216894373548441?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 2 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Chilly and dry…wow worthy no doubt. Hope everyone stays safe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 peter sinks is one place I would love to go to.. incredible micro climate NWS Weather Prediction Center @NWSWPC · 4m National High/Low temps for Monday November 25, 2024: 92 at 2 miles north-northeast of La Puerta, TX; -39 at Peter Sinks, UT #txwx #utwx http://go.usa.gov/cu5tP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Hope everyone stays safe Grab an extra blanket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 21 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We talking about Dec in here, not the entire season, and the pattern is cold and dry first half. If frozen crabgrass lawns tickle some then the bar is set very, very low. Yeah.. I'm aware what the topic is. But I'm also aware of your pessimism. If you think I'm wrong, than tell me otherwise. Listen.. I'm not here to sprinkle you with positive vibes, but, don't write something off that hasn't begun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 dry 'un Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 Hopefully we see a few solid rain/interior elevation slop/snow events over the next couple weeks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 21 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: So your call is cold and dry for first half(two weeks)of December? Interesting. Modeling can’t figure out a storm 3 days from now, but you’re sure it’s dry for the first half of December. Kind of like we were sure that the first half of December was showing no change 3 weeks ago. Good to know. Yea. I know you don’t look at models but when it is cold, it’s dry. And when the precip comes, we wet. It’s an interior look with front passages and upslope mountain snows. Maybe we’ll see flakes. And I admit the LR looks really good at H5 but we’ve seen this movie plot before… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 5 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Yeah.. I'm aware what the topic is. But I'm also aware of your pessimism. If you think I'm wrong, than tell me otherwise. Listen.. I'm not here to sprinkle you with positive vibes, but, don't write something off that hasn't begun. If you are aware of topic then why would you perceive my comment of cold and dry as writing off an entire winter? Pessimism of more than a 4wk winter is not equivalent to writing off an entire season. It’s gonna snow eventually, I promise you that. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 4 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: He looks left 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 16 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea. I know you don’t look at models but when it is cold, it’s dry. And when the precip comes, we wet. It’s an interior look with front passages and upslope mountain snows. Maybe we’ll flakes. And I admit the LR looks really good at H5 but we’ve seen this movie plot before… It’s a lil different look this time, as Will explained to Kevin a day or two ago, which was a very good explanation on how this looks different than the other looks. I won’t bore you with the details, since your obviously incredibly jaded from the last few years. But ya…H5 doesn’t guarantee anything, but it’s still easier to get something when you have a good trough, and good cold entrenched and established. I’ll roll the dice with that any day. If nothing works out, oh well. And I’ll admit you called it dry. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 10 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: It’s a lil different look this time, as Will explained to Kevin a day or two ago, which was a very good explanation on how this looks different than the other looks. I won’t bore you with the details, since your obviously incredibly jaded from the last few years. But ya…H5 doesn’t guarantee anything, but it’s still easier to get something when you have a good trough, and good cold entrenched and established. I’ll roll the dice with that any day. If nothing works out, oh well. And I’ll admit you called it dry. I see the look. I read all the pro’s thoughts. Hopefully I am wrong and the first half produces several plowables like you expect. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I see the look. I read all the pro’s thoughts. Hopefully I am wrong and the first half produces several plowables. Even if it produces one plowable…(the last 3 seasons have been so lousy), that’ll be decent with the cold in place. A few weeks ago nobody saw this coming, so I’m happy we have this pattern in front of us. And All bad periods come to an end, maybe this could be the beginning of something positive for SNE/NNE this season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 20 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I see the look. I read all the pro’s thoughts. Hopefully I am wrong and the first half produces several plowables like you expect. the look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 46 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: If you are aware of topic then why would you perceive my comment of cold and dry as writing off an entire winter? Pessimism of more than a 4wk winter is not equivalent to writing off an entire season. It’s gonna snow eventually, I promise you that. After the last few winters I would call that optimistic. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 3 hours ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Feel bad for you man. Completely pessimistic and already have written Winter off before it even started. I don’t understand all the pessimism. Last fall it was justified, seasonal guidance had a torch for December and we had a raging Nino. This year we have seasonal guidance trending towards normal to below normal temps and we are in ENSO neutral. The long range guidance is COLD to start December. I try to be objective, I was pessimistic all of last winter and even in the fall my expectations were extremely low for the upcoming winter. Things look different this year. Sure, things look somewhat dry to start the month but all it takes is one storm with cold in place. The longer the temps are below average, the more likely we are to have something break our way. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 And even if it is just cold and dry…. That’s a hell of a lot better than the abomination we had last year. I want winter to feel like winter. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said: the look 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 3 hours ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Feel bad for you man. Completely pessimistic and already have written Winter off before it even started. A few more years of unrelenting failure will fix this attitude. Wolfman will be as hairless as Kev by the time regime change mercifully happens in the 2030s. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 1 hour ago, George001 said: And even if it is just cold and dry…. That’s a hell of a lot better than the abomination we had last year. I want winter to feel like winter. lol without snow who gives a S dude......December sucks now..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 5 hours ago, ice1972 said: lol without snow who gives a S dude......December sucks now..... I would rather have snow too but cold and dry is better than having above average temps during the winter. There is nothing worse than above normal temps during the winter. That said, one moderate snow event would make a huge difference. Given the BN temps, the snow would stick around for a while. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 5 hours ago, ice1972 said: lol without snow who gives a S dude......December sucks now..... Again...... How can it suck when it doesn't even start until Sunday? Either way though... It is what it is. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 5 hours ago, ice1972 said: lol without snow who gives a S dude......December sucks now..... Well not sure where that is coming from... even in northern CT Snow in December before Christmas is pretty rare, and in the WeHa area quite a bit more so. Not the norm for sure unless you're talking snow showers etc. I like the upcoming look in general, but would rather see it showing after the 15th or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 26 Share Posted November 26 No snowstorms on the models. Hope we don't waste this pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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