Snowcrazed71 Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Steined Hey, isn't this is the December thread? Those maps are for Friday the 29th of November. Move on fellas. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 8 hours ago, bwt3650 said: Ehh..after the run of AN December’s, would it be terrible if we just put a couple inches down and it lasted a few weeks while we wait for something to materialize? This is what’s been missing for a while and what everyone remembers as yore. I’ll roll the dice with a consistent cold. . Great post. And Absolutely. When there’s been no cold air around….it’s all you heard. Now it looks to be returning(as some of us knew it would at some point), and they’re already moaning. So just Get us the cold…more often than not the snow will follow. Yet The same complainers are back already. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NotSureWeather Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 20 hours ago, MJO812 said: Hopefully no depression fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 If it ends up cold and dry so be it. At least the cold air will be in place if we can get a shortwave or two with favorable track. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 If nothing else, it looks like Ontario and Quebec will become fully painted in white over the next week or so. That's a step. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 15 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: If nothing else, it looks like Ontario and Quebec will become fully painted in white over the next week or so. That's a step. This is true…but this much colder weather really doesn’t start to settle in until 12/1 anyway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 Cmc setting something up for the 1st week of December 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Cmc setting something up for the 1st week of December More Disappointment? 2 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 12/5 period (give or take a day) still the first one to watch for larger chunk of SNE imho. You have a developing PNA ridge that increases in amplitude quite significantly between about 12/3 and 12/6…so that is a potential flag for northern stream digging down into the mean trough in eastern US. Pretty good antecedent airmass would be in place unless the pattern dramatically changes on guidance. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 I'll take the cold pattern going in, If something pops, All the better. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 Just now, dryslot said: I'll take to cold pattern going in, If something pops, All the better. For selfish reasons, you’d prob welcome some solid cold before too much snow gets laid down in the foothills. Get everything frozen up solid before riding season. Prob the best early-season cold pattern we’ve seen in years…not that the bar has been set very high the last 5 years. But consistent cold in December has been hard to come by since 2017. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 Just now, ORH_wxman said: For selfish reasons, you’d prob welcome some solid cold before too much snow gets laid down in the foothills. Get everything frozen up solid before riding season. Prob the best early-season cold pattern we’ve seen in years…not that the bar has been set very high the last 5 years. But consistent cold in December has been hard to come by since 2017. Yes Will, Definitely, Its been several seasons since we've had the cold scenario early on in Dec, Its just more dangerous conditions when you get snow over unfrozen ground bogs and smaller bodies of water not knowing ice thickness because of the insulating characteristics of the snow cover, Takes longer to build an ice pack from the bottom up, Over the past 4-5 seasons or so, Its been a late Jan start because of the lack of cold in NW Maine, If it works out, Probably can move that back to early Jan. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 A few snow chances on the Euro going forward. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: 12/5 period (give or take a day) still the first one to watch for larger chunk of SNE imho. You have a developing PNA ridge that increases in amplitude quite significantly between about 12/3 and 12/6…so that is a potential flag for northern stream digging down into the mean trough in eastern US. Pretty good antecedent airmass would be in place unless the pattern dramatically changes on guidance. Haven't you and @weathafellatalked about 12/5 in SNE for years? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 10 minutes ago, mreaves said: Haven't you and @weathafellatalked about 12/5 in SNE for years? They have. Seems like a popular date when there’s cold around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: They have. Seems like a popular date when there’s cold around. We've had a couple down our way in the aughts which I am sure also hit areas in NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 This would be fun for pond fishing...Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 Ensembles continue to show a stable wintry pattern. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: Ensembles continue to show a stable wintry pattern. It’s been a long time since we’ve had this type of consistently BN temps showing up on ensembles…esp in December but really anytime winter since prob 2021. EPS really is hammering the cold down. GEFS not quite as hard but still BN for the foreseeable future once we get past Friday. Usually the snow chances start manifesting when we get this type of cold in December. Hopefully that happens this time as well. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 1 hour ago, mreaves said: Haven't you and @weathafellatalked about 12/5 in SNE for years? 12/5 produced a lot of events in the past (2002, 2003, 2009…even 2020 had the interior elevated paste job on 12/5). 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It’s been a long time since we’ve had this type of consistently BN temps showing up on ensembles…esp in December but really anytime winter since prob 2021. EPS really is hammering the cold down. GEFS not quite as hard but still BN for the foreseeable future once we get past Friday. Usually the snow chances start manifesting when we get this type of cold in December. Hopefully that happens this time as well. Lock it in since I'm flying to Utah on 12/13. 3 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 12/5 has produced up here too on a few years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 12/5 has been as overrated as Jerry’s squirrels since the winters on WWBB. 1 1 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 12/5 produced a lot of events in the past (2002, 2003, 2009…even 2020 had the interior elevated paste job on 12/5). December 5th is the May 31 of winter. Makes sense how both those dates have had some notable major weather events around these parts. Both right in the beginning of transition periods. 2 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 42 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Lock it in since I'm flying to Utah on 12/13. If I'm not mistaken, they were calling for a major blizzard on the 12th and 13th, I think it was the Farmers almanac LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 Wowwwwww...Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 12 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: Wowwwwww... Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk I like how that map takes into account the UHI effect in the freezing areas. Has that always done that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 I like how that map takes into account the UHI effect in the freezing areas. Has that always done that? No, only recently has it been doing a better job with topography Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 18 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: Wowwwwww... Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk My normal low temp for today is 23°. That doesn't look all that cold here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 My normal low temp for today is 23°. That doesn't look all that cold here.Just surprised about how deep that trough digs for this time of yearSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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