BristowWx Posted December 13, 2024 Share Posted December 13, 2024 On 12/13/2024 at 4:43 PM, winter_warlock said: Yeah as wild as it looks. I don't think it will vertify.. unfortunately lol Expand that would avoid torchmas...that 989 low would keep us frosty. at least its fun to look at... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted December 13, 2024 Share Posted December 13, 2024 canadian agrees with the cold idea but is much drier unfortunately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted December 13, 2024 Share Posted December 13, 2024 Got the DC/Balt snowhole so it might be right 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted December 13, 2024 Share Posted December 13, 2024 On 12/13/2024 at 2:54 PM, Terpeast said: Really not a fan of 93-94. We may have gotten a lot of record cold, but it really isn't a snowy pattern. Lots of mixed precip/ice with the baroclinic boundary more inland. Expand Only good thing about the 94 ice storm was that my dad worked for the electric company. We had one hell of a summer vacation that year! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benjamn3 Posted December 13, 2024 Share Posted December 13, 2024 Lock that sumbitch in. Lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 13, 2024 Share Posted December 13, 2024 can't really ask for much more from a general synoptic perspective here. 2.5-3 sigma ridge in an ideal spot with a potent vort diving into the Plains. details will get ironed out but it's nice to see the models keying in more on the second wave 7 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 13, 2024 Share Posted December 13, 2024 That west coast shortwave explains most of the difference between the gfs and GGEM. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 13, 2024 Share Posted December 13, 2024 Looks like a Miller B, no? I'm still in...because weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 13, 2024 Share Posted December 13, 2024 Dr no...says no 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 13, 2024 Share Posted December 13, 2024 On 12/13/2024 at 3:20 PM, anotherman said: Winter '93-94 was epic in PA. Was my freshman year at PSU-Altoona. Some of the most crazy cold weather I've ever experienced. Expand Same just west of Philly....18 degrees and just heavy enough rain it all frozen with not much latent heat release. Stunning landscape year. Glaciers everywhere. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted December 13, 2024 Share Posted December 13, 2024 21/22, better upper level support, temperatures surface and aloft look fine especially 81 corridor, as depicted maybe a 20% chance, but that period will need watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 13, 2024 Share Posted December 13, 2024 On 12/13/2024 at 4:59 PM, brooklynwx99 said: can't really ask for much more from a general synoptic perspective here. 2.5-3 sigma ridge in an ideal spot with a potent vort diving into the Plains. details will get ironed out but it's nice to see the models keying in more on the second wave Expand I was wondering if anyone was going to look at h5. Surface is variable....h5 is where the money's at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 13, 2024 Share Posted December 13, 2024 On 12/13/2024 at 3:20 PM, anotherman said: Winter '93-94 was epic in PA. Was my freshman year at PSU-Altoona. Some of the most crazy cold weather I've ever experienced. Expand Hey, fellow Class of '97'er! I was a freshman at Bucknell that year. It seemed to snow at every single opportunity, even in the valley. What a winter...only to be followed two years later by another epic one! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 13, 2024 Share Posted December 13, 2024 ill take 93-94. I hate sleet but i love real freezing rain events 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 13, 2024 Share Posted December 13, 2024 On 12/13/2024 at 4:45 PM, winter_warlock said: Awesome but weird IMO.. Expand Kind of reminds me of Feb 26, 2010. https://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2010/25-Feb-10.html 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 13, 2024 Share Posted December 13, 2024 On 12/13/2024 at 6:03 PM, Ji said: Dr no...says no Expand Merry Christmas to all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 13, 2024 Share Posted December 13, 2024 On 12/13/2024 at 6:21 PM, Ji said: ill take 93-94. I hate sleet but i love real freezing rain events Expand Sleet and freezing rain overnight, winds NNE about 5 to 10 mph, temps low 20s throughout with frozen ground. Let it go all night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
soadforecasterx Posted December 13, 2024 Share Posted December 13, 2024 On 12/13/2024 at 7:17 PM, Eskimo Joe said: Sleet and freezing rain overnight, winds NNE about 5 to 10 mph, temps low 20s throughout with frozen ground. Let it go all night. Expand I feel like that is something that will never happen again around here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 13, 2024 Share Posted December 13, 2024 12z euro!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted December 13, 2024 Share Posted December 13, 2024 On 12/13/2024 at 7:54 PM, winter_warlock said: 12z euro!! Expand You know the Pivotal Weather has the Euro for free. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=500hv&rh=2024121312&fh=6&r=conus&dpdt=&mc= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 13, 2024 Share Posted December 13, 2024 On 12/13/2024 at 7:54 PM, winter_warlock said: 12z euro!! Expand Is that good? Looks like cold and dry before possibly flipping warm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 13, 2024 Share Posted December 13, 2024 On 12/13/2024 at 8:02 PM, osfan24 said: Is that good? Looks like cold and dry before possibly flipping warm? Expand Looks colder after storm winds up on coast but still 7 days out so lots to work out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 13, 2024 Share Posted December 13, 2024 On 12/13/2024 at 7:58 PM, Interstate said: You know the Pivotal Weather has the Euro for free. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=500hv&rh=2024121312&fh=6&r=conus&dpdt=&mc= Expand I know. Trop tidbits is free lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 13, 2024 Share Posted December 13, 2024 12Z Euro ensembles ( EPS) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 13, 2024 Share Posted December 13, 2024 Trough dips way too late on the 12z op/ens Euro. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 13, 2024 Share Posted December 13, 2024 Below normal temps in next 2 weeks 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted December 13, 2024 Share Posted December 13, 2024 On 12/13/2024 at 8:13 PM, winter_warlock said: I know. Trop tidbits is free lol Expand So is Pivotal Weather and it is faster than TT 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 13, 2024 Share Posted December 13, 2024 WB 18Z NBM, now goes through Christmas Eve. Quick and dirty way to watch for any snow trends. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 13, 2024 Share Posted December 13, 2024 On 12/13/2024 at 8:13 PM, winter_warlock said: I know. Trop tidbits is free lolSo there’s two waves, one on the 18-19th and then the follow up wave (the one the GFS blew up today and yesterday). We need spacing issues to resolve and models to really key on that second wave. Over the next 2 days I’d really like to see some other models jump on wave 2 idea. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted December 13, 2024 Share Posted December 13, 2024 On 12/13/2024 at 4:45 PM, winter_warlock said: Awesome but weird IMO.. Expand Looks at lot like Nov 1950, maybe 75 miles east though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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