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December Medium/ Long Range


Terpeast
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20 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

You don’t think jersey’s getting a 4 footer?? Bold call

Places in Jersey got 30"+ in 2010. At that point, what's another foot between friends?

Seriously though...how the GFS comes together is a little different than I recall Boxing Day. Wasn't that a Miller B that redeveloped a tad too far northeast? Maybe not and I'm just refusing the remember it clearly because we drove home from South Jersey that f'ing morning, leaving like 15-18" of wind-whipped snow behind us. It flurried on the ride home though, so I guess that was cool.

Seems like the GFS has been wanting to develop something just off the coast in the same general timeframe for a while now, so I guess we just keep an eye out and hope that the next 35 runs snow on us.

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36 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

You know what they say about Nina's and beaches and the Carolinas? Well at least what that one dumbass says anyway :hurrbear:

Snow weenies in Wilson NC approve.  Of course I am scheduled in to be in NC mountains for Xmas.  In the very unlikely even that this were to ever happen, I might have to think about telling the wife to go ahead to her parents and me and the kids will stay home :sled:

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20 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Long shot for sure but still eyeing 12/15-16 for our western zones. As has been pointed out there is a nice strong HP that is progged to run away, but several ens, especially the GEPS members (which I personally think are solid enough) keep it a little mixy/snowy for the I-81 corridor and west

This continues to trend snowier - check the 12z EURO. I doubt this can get interesting for the metro but could allow favored spots to pad stats. 

IMG_2071.thumb.png.c4f3f07a7276a6857af4322fd0d87acf.png

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7 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

This continues to trend snowier - check the 12z EURO. I doubt this can get interesting for the metro but could allow favored spots to pad stats. 

IMG_2071.thumb.png.c4f3f07a7276a6857af4322fd0d87acf.png

Euro actually is kind of close for Sunday for a brief period of front end snow even into the metros 

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2 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

@CAPE Nina beach blizzard warning 

lol holy shit it’s a Boxing Day 2010 redux 

Obviously it’s way too far out to worry about specific Synoptics yet. But since 2000 there have been 6 cold enso HECS level storms and every one of them missed us east like that. So if we do get a HECS storm this winter it’s highly likely to miss us exactly like that. It’s not a fluke. It’s cold enso climo. 

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1 hour ago, psuhoffman said:

Obviously it’s way too far out to worry about specific Synoptics yet. But since 2000 there have been 6 cold enso HECS level storms and every one of them missed us east like that. So if we do get a HECS storm this winter it’s highly likely to miss us exactly like that. It’s not a fluke. It’s cold enso climo. 

Good to know the context even though it's annoying, smh So we actually DON'T wanna see something wound up...don't bet against history!

But I am curious...is there a particular reason WHY it happened like that during those years? (Something with the cold neutral enso state that favored that kind of storm track?). The usual NS interference or something else?

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