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December Medium/ Long Range


Terpeast
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Time for a December thread. 

GEFS/GEPS starting to show a potential coastal Dec 5-7 time frame with cold still hanging around. 

I should add that the canadian is more aggressive with the signal that time frame, the gefs or eps not so much. IMG_6977.thumb.png.32d011547b9a49c5205bb2fc85c71610.pngIMG_6976.thumb.png.00a9e0625d5b9e49a5e2be1850e39307.pngIMG_6975.thumb.png.fdb1919b8875af79ab177212e04e53a4.png

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1989 is not remembered fondly around here because we missed some big storms north and south. But there was some snow and it was damn cold. Could have been pretty epic with subtle changes. Let’s just hope we don’t get January-February 1990…

 

IMG_8988.jpeg

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My gut says we don’t. 1988-1989 was a strong La’Niña vs last year’s El Niño.   Last year didn’t get a chance to really do its magic but these shifts with the La’Nina to be closer to neutral, the anomalies beneath equatorial surface and the interesting MJO activity earlier, I think we are just getting started. I doubt wall-to-wall cold but the “best case scenario” that this winter had, even though was a lower percentage chance when starting the month, looks to be occurring hopefully.  Will need to monitor the patterns and trends to see if cold keeps winning out and how some of these storms behave over the next few weeks.  

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1 hour ago, WxUSAF said:

1989 is not remembered fondly around here because we missed some big storms north and south. But there was some snow and it was damn cold. Could have been pretty epic with subtle changes. Let’s just hope we don’t get January-February 1990…

 

IMG_8988.jpeg

I know this is really banter since it is not relevant to this forum but 1989 was the year we had a white Christmas Eve in Fayetteville, NC!  I'm hoping for a repeat but without you guys getting shafted, and also minus the tropical Jan/Feb.

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