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Winter 2024-25 Medium/Long Range Discussion


michsnowfreak
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30 minutes ago, Maxim said:

Don’t see how

Yeah, there should be some pretty significant ridging. There will probably some 60s at least up to central Illinois, Indiana and Ohio. At the same time, arctic air is going to constantly press into that ridge so there should be some big temp contrasts as well as possible ice storms in this pattern. 

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8 minutes ago, roardog said:

Yeah, there should be some pretty significant ridging. There will probably some 60s at least up to central Illinois, Indiana and Ohio. At the same time, arctic air is going to constantly press into that ridge so there should be some big temp contrasts as well as possible ice storms in this pattern. 

classic Feb Nina pattern if you ask me

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I think there was a prevailing thought by some that things would not really be favorable until the 10th or so and that’s now playing out on the models.


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that’s far from the case.

originally, it looked like we may transition into a more favorable pattern in mid-january. that didn’t happen, and the can has gotten kicked down the road…and that continues to be the case.

the performance of longer range guidance has been not been the best this winter.
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that’s far from the case.

originally, it looked like we may transition into a more favorable pattern in mid-january. that didn’t happen, and the can has gotten kicked down the road…and that continues to be the case.

the performance of longer range guidance has been not been the best this winter.

Yeah…unfortunately things looking more precarious now. Clearly, the GEFS at 12z wants no part of that. The European isn’t terrible though.


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