DocATL Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 On 1/9/2025 at 5:42 PM, A-L-E-K said: the lack of snow is compounded by the overall zzzzzs following what has been a benign couple of years wx wise, really just ready for things to get wild again, february tors, ice storm, morch, somethingCould definitely see a mega torch in February followed by a a March snowstorm.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxim Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 On 1/9/2025 at 6:35 PM, DocATL said: Could definitely see a mega torch in February followed by a a March snowstorm. . Expand Other way around is more likely this year imo. I actually feel like this spring might torch really hard, but a lot of it is going to depend on ENSO and any potential late-season SSW (happened in 2018 and completely screwed up the spring of that year). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 On 1/9/2025 at 8:57 PM, Maxim said: Other way around is more likely this year imo. I actually feel like this spring might torch really hard, but a lot of it is going to depend on ENSO and any potential late-season SSW (happened in 2018 and completely screwed up the spring of that year). Expand sign me up for a spring torch 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Zzzzzz just endless ass end of nw flow 3 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 On 1/10/2025 at 10:15 AM, A-L-E-K said: Zzzzzz just endless ass end of nw flow Expand While just west of Amarillo gets a foot, Arkansas, 4-8 in Nashville. It's almost comical at this point. Can almost guarantee when a storm comes rolling along in a week, we'll be battling precip issues. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 suspect the 19/20th event will be another miss south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 On 1/10/2025 at 11:49 AM, A-L-E-K said: suspect the 19/20th event will be another miss south Expand Have to take my daughter back to the University of Iowa next weekend. Figure that's when the hex is lifted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 fingers crossed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 On 1/10/2025 at 10:15 AM, A-L-E-K said: Zzzzzz just endless ass end of nw flow Expand Hoping the lakes don't freeze over too quickly to keep the LE hopes alive. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 On 1/10/2025 at 2:08 PM, sbnwx85 said: Hoping the lakes don't freeze over too quickly to keep the LE hopes alive.They’re good. Freeze em solid.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 On 1/10/2025 at 10:15 AM, A-L-E-K said: Zzzzzz just endless ass end of nw flowPatterns persists despite what people see on an ensemble three weeks out and mumbo jumbo about changing trough positions. To top things off the baroclinicity south of us will draw anything synoptic to those areas. It’s all nickel and dime till springtime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 10 Author Share Posted January 10 On 1/10/2025 at 4:47 PM, DocATL said: Patterns persists despite what people see on an ensemble three weeks out and mumbo jumbo about changing trough positions. To top things off the baroclinicity south of us will draw anything synoptic to those areas. It’s all nickel and dime till springtime. Expand Patterns do persist for periods of time, but changing patterns, trough positions, etc are not mumbo jumbo. It's meteorology. The pattern absolutely will undergo multiple changes before springtime. Whether it's favorable or unfavorable to any one area remains to be seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 500 MB trough is just not cooperating and migrating west to benefit our sub. ENS looked like it would earlier this week but this is not the case currently. Until this happens, we will get shafted. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 patterns always get stuck these days, eventually we'll get stuck on snow mode but we'll be running out of climo here before you know it 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 On 1/10/2025 at 5:25 PM, Frog Town said: 500 MB trough is just not cooperating and migrating west to benefit our sub. ENS looked like it would earlier this week but this is not the case currently. Until this happens, we will get shafted. Exactly. No indication for change.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 On 1/10/2025 at 5:39 PM, A-L-E-K said: patterns always get stuck these days, eventually we'll get stuck on snow mode but we'll be running out of climo here before you know it Expand I’ll take the 12z euro MLK special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 On 1/10/2025 at 6:52 PM, mimillman said: I’ll take the 12z euro MLK special Expand works out for us especially, yet another painful cutoff entirely dependent on timing to work out at least it's on the table tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 On 1/10/2025 at 6:53 PM, A-L-E-K said: works out for us especially, yet another painful cutoff entirely dependent on timing to work out at least it's on the table tho Expand That table's been pretty wobbly this winter. CPC's odd map with the high winds swath south of us. wonder what they are thinking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Nothing burger... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 On 1/11/2025 at 1:55 PM, Frog Town said: Nothing burger...It’s all useless outside of 72 hours. At this point maybe it’s better that it shows nothing.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 suicidebooth.gif 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 On 1/11/2025 at 2:58 PM, SchaumburgStormer said: suicidebooth.gif Expand Finally further NW opens up opportunity for the heaviest dusting in the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Virginia Beach gets 20” of snow on the 12z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Real chance we go into february here with under 5" of seasonal snowfall and BA temp anomalies... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 I know you should never get too excited from one model run 5 days out buuuutttttttt, It's happening! Actually more of a pattern thing but man are things lining up awesome for someone in the southern lakes to buried. At least it's something to track. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 I’m growing accustomed to these nickels and dimes and strangely fond of them. Models, GFS especially, will advertise it a week out, then it trends away only to show back up the night before.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 On 1/12/2025 at 4:33 PM, Frog Town said: I know you should never get too excited from one model run 5 days out buuuutttttttt, It's happening! Actually more of a pattern thing but man are things lining up awesome for someone in the southern lakes to buried. At least it's something to track. Expand Just shows you the volatility in the models past 5 days. For a few days gfs had this next threat as a strong front, atleast in this region. Today's 12z looks to develop a low further south in the plains instead of a more dominant low up in canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 I’ll be in New York next weekend so lock it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 What the euro is printing for the southeast is just absolutely historic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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