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Winter 2024-25 Medium/Long Range Discussion


michsnowfreak
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  On 12/17/2024 at 12:53 PM, DocATL said:


I mean we hope for this. Siberia is unusual mild at the moment. Judah Cohen thinks the core of the cold in January goes to Western Europe. We stay mild which isn’t a dealbreaker but who knows.

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My bad. I left out forecasted temps for Siberia. Actually shows in the EPs Run the negative departures there then.

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  On 12/17/2024 at 5:15 PM, Stebo said:

Confluence to the east due to a coastal, it makes sense. If the coastal is weaker though it may not fall apart as quickly.

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I was wondering why it was weakening. I knew it was something lol. Although still looks good for a little snow here, which will be festive for the week leading up top Christmas.

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  On 12/17/2024 at 7:03 PM, michsnowfreak said:

I was wondering why it was weakening. I knew it was something lol. Although still looks good for a little snow here, which will be festive for the week leading up top Christmas.

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It's looking like a 1-2" at this point. It still runs out of gas considerably compared to NW of here.

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  On 12/17/2024 at 7:12 PM, Stebo said:

It's looking like a 1-2" at this point. It still runs out of gas considerably compared to NW of here.

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Oh I know. But 1-2" is better than nothing. Nice way to kick off the winter solstice. So far this season, DTW has had 7 days with 1" of snow on the ground, another 6 days with a T, but no depth of 2" or greater yet. 

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  On 12/17/2024 at 7:59 PM, Frog Town said:

Good to have you back Stebo!  Nice changes in the ENS regarding Winters return around the new year, no? 

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The warm up doesn't look to last too long. Im not worried about the cold returning. I'm just more concerned we get into a more active pattern. 

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  On 12/17/2024 at 3:55 AM, DocATL said:


Punt to later in January. Not winter entirely. It’s gonna take a while to find cold from here:

ce159bf5bc33736b250d4cace5b457f8.jpg


.

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Agreed. Plus the lack of sea ice in Hudson Bay and near Baffin Island is really concerning. Doesn't bode well for any sustained cold in the East anytime soon. And a 5 day cool down later this week won't help with the torch expected later next week. 

Our best chance for any sustained winter is likely mid Jan. 

 

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  On 12/17/2024 at 7:55 PM, michsnowfreak said:

Oh I know. But 1-2" is better than nothing. Nice way to kick off the winter solstice. So far this season, DTW has had 7 days with 1" of snow on the ground, another 6 days with a T, but no depth of 2" or greater yet. 

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Omg Josh! That’s a true definition of putting lipstick on a piece of turd! 

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  On 12/17/2024 at 11:07 PM, Chicago Storm said:

the key here is, if neither i nor ohweather are talking up something interesting, there's nothing to see for our region.

sure, there's thread the needle patterns here and there, but many of you want more than that.

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Guess we won't be seeing y'all until after new years then...

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  On 12/17/2024 at 7:55 PM, michsnowfreak said:

Oh I know. But 1-2" is better than nothing. Nice way to kick off the winter solstice. So far this season, DTW has had 7 days with 1" of snow on the ground, another 6 days with a T, but no depth of 2" or greater yet. 

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You sound like an ole fashioned CMH snow weenie…

…it’s happening Josh…you’re in denial right now but fear not, the next stage is acceptance :devilsmiley:

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  On 12/17/2024 at 11:07 PM, Chicago Storm said:
the key here is, if neither i nor ohweather are talking up something interesting, there's nothing to see for our region.
sure, there's thread the needle patterns here and there, but many of you want more than that.

Thread the needle threats are a welcome change compared to the tundra we just endured.


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  On 12/18/2024 at 1:19 AM, buckeye said:

You sound like an ole fashioned CMH snow weenie…

…it’s happening Josh…you’re in denial right now but fear not, the next stage is acceptance :devilsmiley:

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It’s lake effect dusting southeast Michigan style it’s not like we had mountains on the side of the road. It’s not like the grass was completely covered. We’re talking a dusting that’s just stuck around.

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