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Winter 2024-25 Medium/Long Range Discussion


michsnowfreak
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3 minutes ago, iluvsnow said:

BAMWX with a great technical read on the next 6 weeks. Will we be rockin'

 

Not sure what they’re seeing as there isn’t really anything to indicate that at the moment. Almost seems as though they’re trying to appease to clients.

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Not sure what they’re seeing as there isn’t really anything to indicate that at the moment. Almost seems as though they’re trying to appease to clients.

Yeah…I’d approach that with a healthy amount of skepticism. The ensembles are definitely not supporting this.
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10 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

Why are we shit posting BAMwx all of the sudden? Garbage takes. 

Their track record isn’t great. Not to mention the flashiness of their graphics is rather nauseating.

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BAMwx is not even close to JB. Even if they may have a cold preference/bias, they explain things and their thinking. Its no different than the warm biased mets out there. 

I actually like them and they know their stuff. They’ve definitely pulled the rug on some forecasts in the 11th hour and then later claimed they nailed it. But I’d probably do the same if I ran a forecasting company .

They have been downplaying a torch but also noting we would not be in a favorable pattern mid and late December until close to the new year. Seems like they might be right.
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1 hour ago, DocATL said:


I actually like them and they know their stuff. They’ve definitely pulled the rug on some forecasts in the 11th hour and then later claimed they nailed it. But I’d probably do the same if I ran a forecasting company emoji2375.png.

They have been downplaying a torch but also noting we would not be in a favorable pattern mid and late December until close to the new year. Seems like they might be right.

Agree. And I see nothing wrong with their thinking. There is absolutely no sign of a torch (the word torch has really taken on a new meaning from its origins of record warmth, now some people call +2 a torch lol). I really think this will continue to be an up and down winter. Im just waiting for it to become more active.

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Goofus, Your-uh-peein, and the Canucks all showing a strong lake-effect snow signal just in time for the Notre Dame playoff game on Friday. There's still a long way to go but wind direction seems to be the biggest issue at this point. It'll be hard NOT to get a good lake-effect band with that kind of arctic air moving down the lake. Here's hoping it settles over the stadium and makes for one helluva snow bowl!

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51 minutes ago, Frog Town said:

Welp, for this questioning the cool down and BAM et al, this will be the test...

 

So far the ensembles have missed every cool down in the past month. 

Regardless of how cold it gets in January, there will be a warm up around/after Christmas following the next cold snap. 

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Can't say this looks good.
1542224412_NObueno.thumb.gif.f73d7153f4e8130f16dc2db780588ae5.gif
2130523464_NoGood.thumb.gif.3ee7b3ddf76fff1106b450b70ff05a0d.gif

If there is sun involved, sign me up! It’ll be a good respite from this purgatory before we have to endure another bout of NW flow. Although JC tweeting about a strengthening PV at the end of December so who knows what awaits in the new year!
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I’ve got all the gear ready. Vols coat, thermal undershirt, t shirt, hoodie, insulated long johns, fleece lined pants, carhartt face shield, Vols beanie, winter gloves, boots, hand warmers.
 
I’ll be sitting in 17d under the box, so that should block a lot of the wind…but I’ll be prepared either way. Hopefully no scuff ups with Buckeye fans! Looking forward to taking in the traditions.

That’s pretty high up there lol! Our tickets are at the bottom of C deck on the other side. It’s a great place to watch a game and the whole stadium feels like it’s on top of the field. Place should be rocking for a night game, just will be a bit chilly
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57 minutes ago, DocATL said:

https://x.com/webberweather/status/1867696309160849438?s=46

Possible window for synoptic snows for the rest of us?

You guys that complain about the cold and dry pattern should want the -PNA/SE ridge pattern. That’s what will open the Gulf of Mexico to Chicago. It could also bring 50 degrees and rain too but that’s the chance you have to take if you only want big storms. 

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6 hours ago, roardog said:

You guys that complain about the cold and dry pattern should want the -PNA/SE ridge pattern. That’s what will open the Gulf of Mexico to Chicago. It could also bring 50 degrees and rain too but that’s the chance you have to take if you only want big storms. 

100%, 28 degress with 40s to your south and 20 degress 100 miles to your north with the gulf wide open and very deep low ssw, thats hard to get which is why you guys are so disapointed year after year.  Im in the western burbs this weekend from sofla and all I get is 35 and rain, thanks. I expect more after dodging hurricanes last season.

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19 hours ago, sbnwx85 said:

Goofus, Your-uh-peein, and the Canucks all showing a strong lake-effect snow signal just in time for the Notre Dame playoff game on Friday. There's still a long way to go but wind direction seems to be the biggest issue at this point. It'll be hard NOT to get a good lake-effect band with that kind of arctic air moving down the lake. Here's hoping it settles over the stadium and makes for one helluva snow bowl!

Might have spoken too soon…

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3 hours ago, michsnowfreak said:

Lots of variability and wild swings the key takeaway

It's pretty wild how entrenched the cold has become as quickly as it has. November was extremely warm and we golfed comfortably on the 17th as the temps were in the low 60s. Fast forward not even a month and we're routinely having highs below freezing and morning lows pushing the single digits. That is quite a drop in just a few weeks, it wouldn't shock me in the least to see a few robust snowstorms roll through this region in January/February

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4 minutes ago, nwohweather said:

It's pretty wild how entrenched the cold has become as quickly as it has. November was extremely warm and we golfed comfortably on the 17th as the temps were in the low 60s. Fast forward not even a month and we're routinely having highs below freezing and morning lows pushing the single digits. That is quite a drop in just a few weeks, it wouldn't shock me in the least to see a few robust snowstorms roll through this region in January/February

It hasn’t really been entrenched. It may seem that way because of how incredibly warm this year has been, but this month has seen a lot of variability. I mean, we’ll be back to near 50 by Monday, lol.

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6 minutes ago, Maxim said:

It hasn’t really been entrenched. It may seem that way because of how incredibly warm this year has been, but this month has seen a lot of variability. I mean, we’ll be back to near 50 by Monday, lol.

I don't agree with that. After today we will be at 9 of 14 days through the month with highs below 40 in Toledo. That's our average temperature in the 1st half of December, I'd say that's a pretty good stretch

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