11/21-22/24 Little Something.. But first flakes for quite a few.. MAYBE

[TSSN+]

24 minutes ago, mappy said:

We have a much higher chance of actually seeing accumulating snow, DCers not so much. 

Well that is pretty much a given for any storm haha 

[NorthArlington101]

A

NAM'd

[NorthArlington101]

and 3kNAM'd

[clskinsfan]

12Z HRRR looks pretty good for just about all of us to see some flakes fly. Temps are iffy. But falling at night might help some of us get a dusting at least.

[TSSN+]

2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

and 3kNAM'd

Want to know how it gets almost 3” just north of DC but only .5” for nw Carroll and most of Adams county lol. 

[aldie 22]

5 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Want to know how it gets almost 3” just north of DC but only .5” for nw Carroll and most of Adams county lol. 

Probably the trajectory of the streamers

 

[rjvanals]

6 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Want to know how it gets almost 3” just north of DC but only .5” for nw Carroll and most of Adams county lol. 

Downsloping

[NorthArlington101]

The difference between the 3k NAM and the HRRR, the former of which shows some fairly scenic snow TV for all of Friday afternoon for most of the subforum, is largely the 925mb level. Also a slightly colder surface. The better runs of the globals/HRRR had the precip moving in earlier in the day. Now that it's later, the column isn't quite as snazzy, but 3k keeps it good everywhere but the surface. Others do not, but it's very close.

[WxUSAF]

NAM

[mappy]

weenies looking at 10:1 maps lol I love this place

[NorthArlington101]

4 minutes ago, mappy said:

weenies looking at 10:1 maps lol I love this place

they make me happy! and show the metric I'm interested in - which is more snow falling from the sky. my expectation remains 0.00" of stickage anywhere within 30 miles of DCA. Hope others feel similarly, would be foolish to expect more. Think you're good for 1" though 

[mappy]

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

they make me happy! and show the metric I'm interested in - which is more snow falling from the sky. my expectation remains 0.00" of stickage anywhere within 30 miles of DCA. Hope others feel similarly, would be foolish to expect more. Think you're good for 1" though 

It wasn't an insult lol I look at them too haha

[TSSN+]

3 minutes ago, mappy said:

It wasn't an insult lol I look at them too haha

Wait this isn’t 20:1 ratio snow? 

[87storms]

Tbh, seeing snow around here in November is pretty common...I'd estimate every 2-3 years we'll get at least white rain.  So I wouldn't be too surprised.  It's the setup that seems a little unusual, but we've had an unusual year...so there's that.

[wxdude64]

LOL, looks like a hurricane is spinning in Lake Michigan on visible sat currently.....

GOES-East - Sector view: Great Lakes - Band 1 - NOAA / NESDIS / STAR

[TSSN+]

That area of precipitation up by Hagerstown is producing snow in Greencastle pa.

 

https://www.youtube.com/live/Q5eSocWD-4c?si=PBbn4W1KyEeeJiyU

[mdhokie]

Confirmed flurries near Deep Creek lake. 

[NorthArlington101]

2 minutes ago, mdhokie said:

Confirmed flurries near Deep Creek lake. 

Oakland is the perfect place to be for this one - have fun and send pics! 

[nj2va]

9 minutes ago, mdhokie said:

Confirmed flurries near Deep Creek lake. 

Nice! Ring cameras at the house show light snow with a dusting on the grass.
 

Things look to crank tomorrow/night. The drive tomorrow afternoon looks fun. 

[GramaxRefugee]

1 hour ago, wxdude64 said:

LOL, looks like a hurricane is spinning in Lake Michigan on visible sat currently.....

GOES-East - Sector view: Great Lakes - Band 1 - NOAA / NESDIS / STAR

The Witch of November come stealing.

[WEATHER53]

34 minutes ago, GramaxRefugee said:

The Witch of November come stealing.

Captain wired in they got water coming in…

[North Balti Zen]

4 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

Not sure how to link Bluesky posts, but this from Pete is fun @wxmvpete

 

Thanks! I didn't have him followed on there. Do now. 

[North Balti Zen]

2 hours ago, mappy said:

weenies looking at 10:1 maps lol I love this place

Given that it is so damn hard to snow anymore, I will definitely hug the friendliest maps I can find. 

[psuhoffman]

3 hours ago, TSSN+ said:

Want to know how it gets almost 3” just north of DC but only .5” for nw Carroll and most of Adams county lol. 

Precip shadow due to downsloping off the catoctins.  The precip hole is on every run.  The 3kNAM sometimes over does this feature some, but its a real thing with this wind trajectory.  NW Carroll gets less snow than surrounding areas due to the shadow effect with ridges to either side of them.  

[ravensrule]

1 hour ago, nj2va said:

Nice! Ring cameras at the house show light snow with a dusting on the grass.
 

Things look to crank tomorrow/night. The drive tomorrow afternoon looks fun. 

I need access to your Ring pronto. 

[mdhokie]

16 minutes ago, ravensrule said:

I need access to your Ring pronto. 

Mountain Report + Cams - Wisp

Thats McHenry and Wisp is one of the highest points in the area.

Snow Cams – Timberline Mountain

Timberline is just outside Davis.

Skidder Slope Live Cam at Snowshoe Mountain Resort

Snowshoe is already making snow!

 

[mdhokie]

1 hour ago, nj2va said:

Nice! Ring cameras at the house show light snow with a dusting on the grass.
 

Things look to crank tomorrow/night. The drive tomorrow afternoon looks fun. 

Have fun up there! We are headed to Germany for a week so will be missing this action, but I will be checking in on my cameras 

[WxUSAF]

Totally realistic 10:1 euro snow map gives @mappy and @psuhoffman over 3”. 
 

12z runs seemed to have moved start time back up to 12-14z, so better temps to work with. 

[Terpeast]

1 minute ago, WxUSAF said:

Totally realistic 10:1 euro snow map gives @mappy and @psuhoffman over 3”. 
 

12z runs seemed to have moved start time back up to 12-14z, so better temps to work with. 

WB NAM gives mby 1-2” but TT shows no accumulation the south side of the potomac. Probably more realistic. My bar is snow TV, no accums.