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11/21-22/24 Little Something.. But first flakes for quite a few.. MAYBE


midatlanticweather
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Popped in here this morning during the bright sunshine in my corner of Fairfax County to see this thread had blown up. I was honestly unsure why, then I looked at the radar, :lol:

15 hours ago, midatlanticweather said:

Anything coming down frozen in these showers?

We had just come out of a local production of The Nutcracker a couple miles away from our house and there was definitely some frozen sloppish stuff coming down along with rain. Not sure if it was doing the same at home, but I might have to record a Trace. lol

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2 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Ya it’s been steadily getting heavier here. Echos keep increasing overhead. I doubt any accumulation but who knows. 

I'm not expecting accumulation either, but it's snowing. So much better than a high overhead and 60s. 

Be happy with what you see :) 

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Light snow the last hour. 32/30  light dusting on grass and deck  

Even up here the possibility of 1-2” is precarious now because guidance has backed off some this morning with precip rates.  With marginal temps the difference between .2 and .35 qpf isn’t 2” v 3” its sticking or not sticking at all since there is a critical rate needed to stick at all.  
 

Will have to see if rates can pick up enough before the warm air mixes in later.  

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3 minutes ago, mappy said:

I'm not expecting accumulation either, but it's snowing. So much better than a high overhead and 60s. 

Be happy with what you see :) 

When it’s snowing id like to see accumulation cause you don’t know when the next chance is. Hope it’s not the only snow we see this year haha. 
 

it’s cranking right now 

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4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Light snow the last hour. 32/30  light dusting on grass and deck  

Even up here the possibility of 1-2” is precarious now because guidance has backed off some this morning with precip rates.  With marginal temps the difference between .2 and .35 qpf isn’t 2” v 3” its sticking or not sticking at all since there is a critical rate needed to stick at all.  
 

Will have to see if rates can pick up enough before the warm air mixes in later.  

The reverse jinx works again. It immediately started to pick up. Nothing even remotely heavy by any means but enough that it’s legit starting to stick now. 
 

Fluffy flakes. It’s actually high ratio type stuff but limited by the surface temps of course. 

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4 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

When it’s snowing id like to see accumulation cause you don’t know when the next chance is. Hope it’s not the only snow we see this year haha. 
 

it’s cranking right now 

Even my extreme pessimistic self doesn’t expect a complete ratter this year. Definitely expect below avg snow but I think we will have a colder variety of Nina with periods where snow will be around. But in typical Nina fashion getting anything significant will probably be frustrating. But I expect we see flakes more often than perhaps has been common lately even if it doesn’t necessary add up to a whole not more. 
 

but my god it’s sad we’ve gotten to this…I was thinking the same.  I used to not care what happened with early season snows confident there would be many more opportunities. Ehh not so much now.  

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3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Even my extreme pessimistic self doesn’t expect a complete ratter this year. Definitely expect below avg snow but I think we will have a colder variety of Nina with periods where snow will be around. But in typical Nina fashion getting anything significant will probably be frustrating. But I expect we see flakes more often than perhaps has been common lately even if it doesn’t necessary add up to a whole not more. 
 

but my god it’s sad we’ve gotten to this…I was thinking the same.  I used to not care what happened with early season snows confident there would be many more opportunities. Ehh not so much now.  

Ya never used to have a thought that this could the last time I see snow but ya it’s sad we got to that point with these crap years. 

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