TSSN+ Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 24 minutes ago, mappy said: We have a much higher chance of actually seeing accumulating snow, DCers not so much. Well that is pretty much a given for any storm haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 A NAM'd 5 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 and 3kNAM'd 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 12Z HRRR looks pretty good for just about all of us to see some flakes fly. Temps are iffy. But falling at night might help some of us get a dusting at least. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: and 3kNAM'd Want to know how it gets almost 3” just north of DC but only .5” for nw Carroll and most of Adams county lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 5 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Want to know how it gets almost 3” just north of DC but only .5” for nw Carroll and most of Adams county lol. Probably the trajectory of the streamers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 6 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Want to know how it gets almost 3” just north of DC but only .5” for nw Carroll and most of Adams county lol. Downsloping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 The difference between the 3k NAM and the HRRR, the former of which shows some fairly scenic snow TV for all of Friday afternoon for most of the subforum, is largely the 925mb level. Also a slightly colder surface. The better runs of the globals/HRRR had the precip moving in earlier in the day. Now that it's later, the column isn't quite as snazzy, but 3k keeps it good everywhere but the surface. Others do not, but it's very close. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 NAM 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 weenies looking at 10:1 maps lol I love this place 1 3 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 4 minutes ago, mappy said: weenies looking at 10:1 maps lol I love this place they make me happy! and show the metric I'm interested in - which is more snow falling from the sky. my expectation remains 0.00" of stickage anywhere within 30 miles of DCA. Hope others feel similarly, would be foolish to expect more. Think you're good for 1" though 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: they make me happy! and show the metric I'm interested in - which is more snow falling from the sky. my expectation remains 0.00" of stickage anywhere within 30 miles of DCA. Hope others feel similarly, would be foolish to expect more. Think you're good for 1" though It wasn't an insult lol I look at them too haha 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 3 minutes ago, mappy said: It wasn't an insult lol I look at them too haha Wait this isn’t 20:1 ratio snow? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 Tbh, seeing snow around here in November is pretty common...I'd estimate every 2-3 years we'll get at least white rain. So I wouldn't be too surprised. It's the setup that seems a little unusual, but we've had an unusual year...so there's that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 LOL, looks like a hurricane is spinning in Lake Michigan on visible sat currently..... GOES-East - Sector view: Great Lakes - Band 1 - NOAA / NESDIS / STAR 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 That area of precipitation up by Hagerstown is producing snow in Greencastle pa. https://www.youtube.com/live/Q5eSocWD-4c?si=PBbn4W1KyEeeJiyU 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 Confirmed flurries near Deep Creek lake. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 2 minutes ago, mdhokie said: Confirmed flurries near Deep Creek lake. Oakland is the perfect place to be for this one - have fun and send pics! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 9 minutes ago, mdhokie said: Confirmed flurries near Deep Creek lake. Nice! Ring cameras at the house show light snow with a dusting on the grass. Things look to crank tomorrow/night. The drive tomorrow afternoon looks fun. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GramaxRefugee Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 1 hour ago, wxdude64 said: LOL, looks like a hurricane is spinning in Lake Michigan on visible sat currently..... GOES-East - Sector view: Great Lakes - Band 1 - NOAA / NESDIS / STAR The Witch of November come stealing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 34 minutes ago, GramaxRefugee said: The Witch of November come stealing. Captain wired in they got water coming in… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 4 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Not sure how to link Bluesky posts, but this from Pete is fun @wxmvpete Thanks! I didn't have him followed on there. Do now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 2 hours ago, mappy said: weenies looking at 10:1 maps lol I love this place Given that it is so damn hard to snow anymore, I will definitely hug the friendliest maps I can find. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 3 hours ago, TSSN+ said: Want to know how it gets almost 3” just north of DC but only .5” for nw Carroll and most of Adams county lol. Precip shadow due to downsloping off the catoctins. The precip hole is on every run. The 3kNAM sometimes over does this feature some, but its a real thing with this wind trajectory. NW Carroll gets less snow than surrounding areas due to the shadow effect with ridges to either side of them. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 1 hour ago, nj2va said: Nice! Ring cameras at the house show light snow with a dusting on the grass. Things look to crank tomorrow/night. The drive tomorrow afternoon looks fun. I need access to your Ring pronto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 16 minutes ago, ravensrule said: I need access to your Ring pronto. Mountain Report + Cams - Wisp Thats McHenry and Wisp is one of the highest points in the area. Snow Cams – Timberline Mountain Timberline is just outside Davis. Skidder Slope Live Cam at Snowshoe Mountain Resort Snowshoe is already making snow! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 1 hour ago, nj2va said: Nice! Ring cameras at the house show light snow with a dusting on the grass. Things look to crank tomorrow/night. The drive tomorrow afternoon looks fun. Have fun up there! We are headed to Germany for a week so will be missing this action, but I will be checking in on my cameras 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 Totally realistic 10:1 euro snow map gives @mappy and @psuhoffman over 3”. 12z runs seemed to have moved start time back up to 12-14z, so better temps to work with. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Totally realistic 10:1 euro snow map gives @mappy and @psuhoffman over 3”. 12z runs seemed to have moved start time back up to 12-14z, so better temps to work with. WB NAM gives mby 1-2” but TT shows no accumulation the south side of the potomac. Probably more realistic. My bar is snow TV, no accums. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 52 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Totally realistic 10:1 euro snow map gives @mappy and @psuhoffman over 3”. 12z runs seemed to have moved start time back up to 12-14z, so better temps to work with. hahahahaha not gonna happen, but would be cool if it did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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