MillvilleWx Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 3 hours ago, jonjon said: There appears to be several air bnbs available this weekend for around a hundred dollars a night in both Davis and Thomas. If you go to the valley its much more expensive. I recommend staying in one of the towns for events like these, the roads are cleared more and you can walk to restaurants/bars/shops and get a feel for the area. Snowshoe would be good, too, they'll probably get a smidge more snow this go around, but the drive there is substantially further for most people. I told my wife I want to do that at some point this winter for a getaway. I’ll make sure to PM you when the time comes. Would love to come up there and give some small businesses my money. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 20 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: Do you still do b and b No, we now live in what used to be a regular B&B [Meyer House] (until we sell it next summer for anyone looking for a giant Victorian style home). We do air bnb the space above Stumptown Ales https://www.airbnb.com/rooms/10855680?source_impression_id=p3_1732133485_P3dH7qx9zKHZTv4D 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 14 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: I told my wife I want to do that at some point this winter for a getaway. I’ll make sure to PM you when the time comes. Would love to come up there and give some small businesses my money. That would be wonderful!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 Where do I sign? 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 12z NAM coming in snowier for northern/central MD. Gonna be a mini-NAMming 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: 12z NAM coming in snowier for northern/central MD. Gonna be a mini-NAMming 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 Hello 3k NAM 9 1 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 Happy first NAMing of the season (mostly) everyone! It’s good to be back. 7 3 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 Gfs Has a little love for central md 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 If I get over 1” Friday… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 18z hrrrr also happy for happy hour 4 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 2 hours ago, WEATHER53 said: I felt a text slap to the face would reawaken you and help. Just got back from the grocery store so I have the food all stocked up. All that's left is Final Preps. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 21 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Hello 3k NAM I've seen several inches on top of the Catoctins with basically nothing at the bottom, so I believe the result of that algorithm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 Looks like a good number of us will record at least 'T's two days in a row. Tomorrow, as high risk mentioned, looks good for convective graupel showers especially during the afternoon. I wouldn't be too surprised to even see some more legit snowflakes mix in with graupel in the most intense showers given the freezing-level falling to below 900mb w/ steep LLLRs and temps only in the mid/upper 40s at the surface during the afternoon. Friday, as has been said and shown repeatedly, looks good for flakes flying through the air as the surface low to the north loops south. Fun little period coming up... I guess I can also mention the gusty downpours for tonight as well w/ the cold front but I figured that most in here care more about the good white stuff. Let's will this low about 125 miles further southwest. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted November 20 Author Share Posted November 20 9 hours ago, mappy said: You probably need to delete some of your attachments to make space to post more. That was it!! Thank you 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: You getting 1” by December 1st gives us a 64.76525% chance of an acceptable winter, right?? Might be a little lower after last year! Not sure how much those type indicators work anymore given the changes... but once we get to the second half of november in general yes snow in the area is a good thing v an endless blowtorch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 Well it's been many years since I got any measurable snow in November. Definitely a different feel to this winter 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 1 hour ago, yoda said: Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 138 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ANZ538-DCZ001-MDZ004>006-008-011-013-014-016>018-503>508- VAZ036>040-050-051-053>057-501-502-505-506-526-527-210045- Patapsco River including Baltimore Harbor-District of Columbia- Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Cecil-Southern Baltimore- Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert- Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford- Southeast Harford-Nelson-Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock- Orange-Culpeper-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria- Stafford-Spotsylvania-King George-Northern Fauquier- Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun- Northwest Prince William- Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- Including the cities of Washington, Frederick, Ballenger Creek, Eldersburg, Westminster, Reisterstown, Cockeysville, Elkton, Baltimore, Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel, Camp Springs, Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate, Severna Park, Arnold, Odenton, St. Charles, Waldorf, Lexington Park, California, Chesapeake Beach, Huntingtown, Dunkirk, North Beach, Lusby, Prince Frederick, Germantown, Damascus, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Lisbon, Columbia, Ellicott City, Jarrettsville, Aberdeen, Lovingston, Charlottesville, Stanardsville, Madison, Orange, Gordonsville, Culpeper, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, Falmouth, Fredericksburg, Dahlgren, Warrenton, Turnbull, Purcellville, Leesburg, Ashburn, Sterling, Haymarket, Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, and Montclair 138 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...Rapid Onset of Strong Winds Later This Evening... A rapid onset of strong west to northwest winds will develop between 8 and 11 PM this evening behind a strong cold front. Wind gusts around 35 to 45 mph are most likely with a few gusts around 50 mph possible. The strong winds will be capable of blowing around unsecured objects and isolated instances of wind damage are possible as well. Winds will gradually diminish overnight. That's certainly more believable than snow in late November from a system meandering over interior New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 In Colorado Springs until late tomorrow night. Enjoy this folks! https://twitter.com/seckhardt/status/1859325099960304049?t=rN8bviMpfz_Q4o88yDxZLA&s=19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 1 hour ago, jonjon said: No, we now live in what used to be a regular B&B [Meyer House] (until we sell it next summer for anyone looking for a giant Victorian style home). We do air bnb the space above Stumptown Ales https://www.airbnb.com/rooms/10855680?source_impression_id=p3_1732133485_P3dH7qx9zKHZTv4D Are you leaving that general area ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 38 minutes ago, IronTy said: Just got back from the grocery store so I have the food all stocked up. All that's left is Final Preps. I’m glad my snap out of it was helpful All You Snow Chasers- Take pics and vids -. Before, during and after. Day and night. If the weather groupies overwhelm you, please do not tarry long from your weather tasks.!! Can I get some Ayes! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 3 hours ago, katabatic said: Going to 'shoe might be a bit of overkill, but I've always wanted to go there and am a little worried about temps. Might be worrying over nothing but last two years living here taught me otherwise when it is a marginal setup. I had a blast last winter when I chased that big Sierra storm so this will produce some of the same conditions - but on a serious diet by comparison. You will generally witness a 4 degree drop per 1000 ft. elevation. My snowfall observation through the past 40 years says 3 inches per 1000 ft.. I have a lot of experience comparing 1800 ft. to 2800 ft . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 23 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: Are you leaving that general area ? Yeah, we've only got 18 months until we're empty nesters, so we plan to move to Berlin/West OC area in Maryland where we already have a second home. Will keep one of our homes here in Davis as a second home for snow chases and escape from the heat in summer. I'll still get in my snow fixes lol. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 18 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: I’m glad my snap out of it was helpful All You Snow Chasers- Take pics and vids -. Before, during and after. Day and night. If the weather groupies overwhelm you, please do not tarry long from your weather tasks.!! Can I get some Ayes! I'm going to do a detail report from different elevations and slope directions. I'll document it with lots of pictures. I'm going to head out Friday, stay Saturday and drive back Sunday. I'm hoping to get some bluebird shots from the top of the Allegheny Front on Sunday. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 19 minutes ago, jonjon said: Yeah, we've only got 18 months until we're empty nesters, so we plan to move to Berlin/West OC area in Maryland where we already have a second home. Will keep one of our homes here in Davis as a second home for snow chases and escape from the heat in summer. I'll still get in my snow fixes lol. You'll get coastal scrapers and interior events. Congrats! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 49 minutes ago, jonjon said: Yeah, we've only got 18 months until we're empty nesters, so we plan to move to Berlin/West OC area in Maryland where we already have a second home. Will keep one of our homes here in Davis as a second home for snow chases and escape from the heat in summer. I'll still get in my snow fixes lol. Same plan here. And same timeframe. I am done next fall. One more year. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 If the hires nam is right, we could see some mood flakes/snow tv here. Light accums not out of the question in higher terrain east of the apps. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katabatic Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 4 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said: Could always rent out your house to a needy Internet stranger and pay it forward... you got good Wifi? Haha I'm always looking for a chase buddy. Made it to Snowshoe...let's see how this ends up. Definitely at the top of the mountain so putting my best foot forward on this one. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 3 hours ago, yoda said: Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 138 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ANZ538-DCZ001-MDZ004>006-008-011-013-014-016>018-503>508- VAZ036>040-050-051-053>057-501-502-505-506-526-527-210045- Patapsco River including Baltimore Harbor-District of Columbia- Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Cecil-Southern Baltimore- Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert- Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford- Southeast Harford-Nelson-Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock- Orange-Culpeper-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria- Stafford-Spotsylvania-King George-Northern Fauquier- Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun- Northwest Prince William- Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- Including the cities of Washington, Frederick, Ballenger Creek, Eldersburg, Westminster, Reisterstown, Cockeysville, Elkton, Baltimore, Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel, Camp Springs, Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate, Severna Park, Arnold, Odenton, St. Charles, Waldorf, Lexington Park, California, Chesapeake Beach, Huntingtown, Dunkirk, North Beach, Lusby, Prince Frederick, Germantown, Damascus, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Lisbon, Columbia, Ellicott City, Jarrettsville, Aberdeen, Lovingston, Charlottesville, Stanardsville, Madison, Orange, Gordonsville, Culpeper, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, Falmouth, Fredericksburg, Dahlgren, Warrenton, Turnbull, Purcellville, Leesburg, Ashburn, Sterling, Haymarket, Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, and Montclair 138 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...Rapid Onset of Strong Winds Later This Evening... A rapid onset of strong west to northwest winds will develop between 8 and 11 PM this evening behind a strong cold front. Wind gusts around 35 to 45 mph are most likely with a few gusts around 50 mph possible. The strong winds will be capable of blowing around unsecured objects and isolated instances of wind damage are possible as well. Winds will gradually diminish overnight. There's the Wind Advisory for tonight. URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 555 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 DCZ001-MDZ004>006-008-011-013-014-016>018-503>508-VAZ040-053-054-501- 505-506-526-527-210600- /O.EXB.KLWX.WI.Y.0018.241121T0100Z-241121T0600Z/ District of Columbia-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore- Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard- Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford-Rappahannock-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Northern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-Northwest Prince William-Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 555 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of DC, central, north central, northeast, northern, and southern Maryland, and northern and northwest Virginia. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Expect winds to suddenly increase this evening between 8 PM to 11 PM. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 Great summary by LWX: Another disturbance embedded within the much larger upper level low will rotate in from the north on Friday. The steadiest and likely heaviest snow in the mountains will occur late Friday morning through Friday evening as low-level warm advection overlaps upslope flow intersecting the terrain. Snowfall rates may approach an inch per hour at times Friday afternoon. The snow on Friday will be a wetter snow as the column starts to warm. Some snow may also occur to the east of the mountains Friday morning, with the first snowflakes of the year possible in the DC and Baltimore metro areas. Temperatures will likely be too warm for accumulations along the I-95 corridor, but some minor accumulations may be possible along Parr`s ridge in north- central Maryland and in the Catoctins. Any snow to the east of the mountains should switch over to rain during the afternoon as temperatures warm. Precipitation will continue in the mountains through Friday night. As temperatures continue to warm, some of the lower elevations in the mountains may switch over to rain before ending, but the highest elevations (above 2500 feet) should stay all snow through the night. By the time all is said and done, 6-12 inches is expected along and west of the Allegheny Front, with isolated totals of 12-18 inches possible along the highest ridgetops. Winter Storm Warnings are in effect for Garrett, western Grant, western Pendleton and western Highland counties starting at 10 AM tomorrow. Those Warnings continue through Friday night. A Winter Weather Advisory is also in effect for western Mineral county from 10 AM tomorrow through 10 PM tomorrow night. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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