2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season

[GaWx]

1 hour ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Again, that is only representative of the surface and not the OHC which is what really matters. We have seen a very windy NH winter which had the effect of turning over the surface. It’s not like the year over year temp dropped because the overhead temps were much colder then normal. Increased winds are well predicted by climate change models and are reason for counterintuitive storm number forecasts.

 
Thanks. The same website has OHC for the same region although it updates more slowly. I’ll be following this very closely also. This is the corresponding OHC for the same area as of April 16 as opposed to April 27. It shows that the OHC has also fallen a lot since one year ago, when it was way up at the 2013-24 average for late June! It was on 4/16/25 down to near the 2013-24 average for 4/16 although it actually was a bit warmer than 2023, which was within just days of rising rapidly and reaching then new daily record highs that would go all of the way into June of 2024:
 

 

https://bmcnoldy.earth.miami.edu/tropics/ohc/ohc_east.png

[BarryStantonGBP]

5 hours ago, GaWx said:

Your link doesn’t show anything. But check the image below out:
 

 The image below is the SST for each year 1982-2025 for the tropical Atlantic 10-20N, 20-60W. The black line is the 1991-2020 average, the red is 2023, orange is 2024, and blue is 2025 to date. Note how much cooler it is as of 4/27/2025 (near the 1991-2020 average) vs both 4/27/2023 and 4/27/2024!

 

https://kouya.has.arizona.edu/tropics/tropATLsst.png

It will warm up soon btw 

 

“it will be below average/average!” 

[BarryStantonGBP]

2 hours ago, GaWx said:

 
Thanks. The same website has OHC for the same region although it updates more slowly. I’ll be following this very closely also. This is the corresponding OHC for the same area as of April 16 as opposed to April 27. It shows that the OHC has also fallen a lot since one year ago, when it was way up at the 2013-24 average for late June! It was on 4/16/25 down to near the 2013-24 average for 4/16 although it actually was a bit warmer than 2023, which was within just days of rising rapidly and reaching then new daily record highs that would go all of the way into June of 2024:
 

 

https://bmcnoldy.earth.miami.edu/tropics/ohc/ohc_east.png

Lmao not only the east Atlantic matters. Stop jumping to conclusions 

it will be above average at least

[BarryStantonGBP]

“From today's trip to the weather twitters. Deep tropic suppression because of warm sub-tropics would seem, to me, to decrease risk of a major landfall in the Caribbean and Central/North America.”

LMAO no whoever said this

keep getting your hopes up