Holiday Forecasts 2025

[Brian D]

Another year on tap. Time sure is flying. 

The New Year's Day forecast is coupled with New Year's Eve Day in the "Holiday Forecasts 2024" thread.

Starting off with MLK day, it looks like a ridge of HP will be over the sub bringing in chilly wx, and LES potential for some. 

 

[Brian D]

Groundhog's day looks fair, and rather cold. Probably the coldest wx of the winter so far with what looks like a trough digging in starting late Jan into early Feb. That should get the LES engine roaring. 

[Brian D]

Valentine's day (14th), and President's Day (17th) are next on the calendar. 

Valentine's Day is looking cold after the frontal passage, but a little energy may sneak in affecting the SE sub, along with any LES that will be generated for some. President's Day needs to watched as HP moves through, and energy from the W possibly moves out, and into our sub along a frontal passage from CAN. 

[Brian D]

Next is Employee Appreciation Day on March 7. Looks like rather chilly wx for early March. Watch for possible energy affecting the S sub. Any LES will be subject to ice conditions, which could be robust. We'll see. 

[Brian D]

On St Patrick's day this year, it's looking stormy. Typical March system. The second half of March looks like good storm potential into the early days of April.

[Brian D]

On April Fool's Day, I'm anticipating a system moving through the Lakes, and possible snow up my way. Another typical Spring storm potential.

[Maxim]

I’m curious as to what your methodology is when making these very long-range forecasts. Is it LRC or something else?

[Brian D]

21 hours ago, Maxim said:

I’m curious as to what your methodology is when making these very long-range forecasts. Is it LRC or something else?

Ancient Chinese secret.  

[Brian D]

On 11/14/2024 at 10:29 AM, Brian D said:

Another year on tap. Time sure is flying. 

The New Year's Day forecast is coupled with New Year's Eve Day in the "Holiday Forecasts 2024" thread.

Starting off with MLK day, it looks like a ridge of HP will be over the sub bringing in chilly wx, and LES potential for some. 

 

Decent forecast here. Bitter wx along with LES.  Trough will be swinging through. I was a little quick in bringing in LP from the W tho, as that starts showing up later on Tues the 21st.

[Brian D]

On 11/14/2024 at 10:32 AM, Brian D said:

Groundhog's day looks fair, and rather cold. Probably the coldest wx of the winter so far with what looks like a trough digging in starting late Jan into early Feb. That should get the LES engine roaring. 

Decent cast here except was a little quick in the timing, and not quite as cold as I anticipated. Will be LES tomorrow night with HP nudged in, and a N flow through the Lakes after the front quickly moves through the sub bringing some precip with it. 

[Brian D]

On 11/14/2024 at 10:39 AM, Brian D said:

Valentine's day (14th), and President's Day (17th) are next on the calendar. 

Valentine's Day is looking cold after the frontal passage, but a little energy may sneak in affecting the SE sub, along with any LES that will be generated for some. President's Day needs to watched as HP moves through, and energy from the W possibly moves out, and into our sub along a frontal passage from CAN. 

Valentine's forecast a little off, but there is a system coming in affecting the region, especially S sub. What I saw as a front ends up being a trough extending NE from LP.  President's day will see the LP in the W get shunted to the SE while another round of arctic invades the region. Was uncertain on that LP track.