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MO/KS/AR/OK 2024-2025 Winter Discussion


JoMo
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4 hours ago, The Waterboy said:

I remember the good old days of TWC as well.  I used to have a NOAA radar detector that would play a recorded forecast from NWS Tulsa.   It would update around lunchtime every day.  

As Nate Bargatze says - I’m from the 1900’s. 
 

Bottom line in this reminiscing is: 

Some of us (me included) are getting old!  
 

If you younger folks don’t know what we’re talking about, enjoy your youth!!!  

I hear ya, Waterboy. I'm from another generation.  Probably yours lol.  I remember the days of our local network weatherman flipping the board on TV to show the next map that was hand drawn. He also would use a pointer stick to show us the in studio gauges on the wall, like barometer and thermometer. Ok enough about age lmao.

But I still get a charge out of chasing the next storm.  Not sure when I'll outgrow that. 

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I loved the weather channel in the 90s. It’s what got me hooked on weather. My favorite segment of their programming hour was the weekly planner. During winter I would catch it as often as I could to see if a storm was coming my way. 
 

Thanks for that website JoMo. Brings back lots of memories. 

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7 minutes ago, MUWX said:

Was not expecting snow tonight. Roof tops are turning white 

Yeah, it's stopped here now but it was coming down at a moderate rate and left the roofs and grass covered again.

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11 minutes ago, NWAflizzard said:

Like the trends of the 00z GFS and Canadian for the 21st and good grief at those temperatures. 

Canadian is always fun to look at when Arctic air is coming. If Missouri gets to -30, that would be something. 

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  • 2 weeks later...

The first of two winter storms will impact the region Monday night into midday Tuesday, and doesn't really look all that impactful for the region. 

The Euro paints an icing event for the I-44 corridor (image below), with heavy snow across northern Oklahoma and much of Kansas. If this is true, the second storm Tuesday night and Wednesday will cause significant travel issues for the region. 

image.thumb.png.782eb78b43a7b3aa8f614aaf72792959.png

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That cutoff line is pretty crazy. Looks like some of the models are coming back south a bit. It's such a sharp situation where you get like 5" of snow and a mile away gets nothing but rain. 

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I am not sure how to feel about the current warning/advisory map. It sure feels like the warnings are too far north and too aggressive on total snow amounts up north. There is still time for the temps to jump, but so far, temps are underperforming fairly significantly here in SWMO, especially considering how borderline the set up is. 

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Going to be an interesting week coming up for many around here. We have the system tomorrow, one to watch Saturday and then another next Tuesday/Wednesday. How these upper level waves eject out of the west are critical in if these produce anything. Models seem to be flip flopping from run to run from positive/sheared, to holding together with a somewhat of a neutral tilt which leads to meaningful precip. The GEFS ensembles through next Thursday morning show the myriad of possibilities based on this morning's 12Z run. This would be all 3 systems combined. Should at least be fun to track. Side note: The temperature swing from this Thursday morning to Friday afternoon is pretty wild. Some big time WAA with those gusty southerlies. 

image.thumb.png.2fe10e3d7db017272139df57b6891efe.png

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