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MO/KS/AR/OK 2024-2025 Winter Discussion


JoMo
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6 minutes ago, stormdragonwx said:

Yeah looks like we are getting what Tulsa got a year or so ago... As I feared.

That’s not really what happened in Tulsa. Tulsa had moisture, just no cold. I wouldn’t worry in NWA yet. 

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46 minutes ago, MUWX said:

Portions of the Wichita forecast area just got upgraded

Yeah, we did. The interesting thing about this system is that the upper level feature is in a more closed low setup, which leads to slower progression and more lift for snow. 

Already 4-6" across the Wichita metro, with probably another 6-8 hours of snow to go. Someone is getting 10+" in south-central Kansas. 

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32 minutes ago, MoWeatherguy said:

Only 1" here in Bella Vista at 9pm. We haven't had any good banding at all here.  We might eke out a couple of more if we're lucky.

I’m around 2” in Bentonville.  Benton/Washington Counties have been in the lightest radar echos pretty much the entire event.   The heavier stuff east of Tulsa never shifts to the east.  

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7 minutes ago, The Waterboy said:

I’m around 2” in Bentonville.  Benton/Washington Counties have been in the lightest radar echos pretty much the entire event.   The heavier stuff east of Tulsa never shifts to the east.  

Yah been watching that.  We're just not in the zone this time.  That NWA fizzle strikes again. 

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11 minutes ago, The Waterboy said:

I’m around 2” in Bentonville.  Benton/Washington Counties have been in the lightest radar echos pretty much the entire event.   The heavier stuff east of Tulsa never shifts to the east.  

If you’re already at two inches, it feels like the forecast is pretty much on track to verify perfectly, no? 

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Dry air intrusion has been an issue driving down rates and the overall size of the flakes themselves in NW AR. Though over the past 30 mins I have noticed the snow has started to back build and fill the dry slot thats been streaming over the Vance and Fredrick radar sites out in Oklahoma. Apparently Kiowa, KS and the Amarillo, TX metro got 10-12" respectively. Go to those radar sites and you will see a pretty hefty band on the back side of this system with its wraparound. Now whether it dries up before it gets over here is another story.

EDIT: Actually the band extends all the way back to Lubbock, TX and Clovis, NM

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10 minutes ago, MUWX said:

If you’re already at two inches, it feels like the forecast is pretty much on track to verify perfectly, no? 

Probably so.  Just stating it’s been interesting to have light, but steady flakes since about 5:00.  Nothing really heavy.  I still think 5-6” is very doable.   
 

Sounds like some areas around Fort Smith and south will hit a foot or more.   I also think Muskogee/Tahlequah also has some juicy totals when it’s all over.  

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