StormChazer Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Just waiting for a storm to truly overperform in a big way. I feel like it’s been around 10-15 years here in the Tulsa area now since we’ve truly had a major winter storm impact the area in a way that is talked about for a while. Don’t get me wrong, we’ve had a couple 4-6 inchers the last 10 ish years, and some ice that lasted a couple days(and of course the deep freeze of 21’). But I’m talking about something to truly remember. I just feel like we are due at this point. This storm likely isn’t going to be one for Tulsa to even mention(unless the models do a 100 mile jog to the south over the next 48 hours). But I’m holding out hope that this year we get something special. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shack Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 I-70 Special through Missouri. Totals up with this run. Cut these in half(which we usually need to)and it's still a nice one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 1 hour ago, Shack said: I-70 Special through Missouri. Totals up with this run. Cut these in half(which we usually need to)and it's still a nice one. Pretty depressing for most on this forum. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 18Z EC is a beast of a storm. The FZRA potential is something to keep an eye one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormdragonwx Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 I wouldn't be so quick to write off this storm as of yet. We still got a few days. System isn't even on shore yet. The models will shuffle the track a bit more until then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 2 Author Share Posted January 2 00z Euro did shift south a bit. Hopefully that continues but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
schoeppeya Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Haven’t given up hope in Tulsa, in the time frame we usually start to see the final shifts and trends take place… another jump south like the 0z euro and we’d at least be on the north side of the low. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shack Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 12z Euro. ouch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 I’d be really surprised if this ends far enough south for many of us to care and with the possibility of an ice storm that might be for the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stx_Thunder Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 5 hours ago, Shack said: 12z Euro. ouch. Very interesting FZRA accumulation projection. Especially seeing that maximum 1.38 in. accumulation potential over MO which would definitely be extreme icing, no doubt. Though I'm sure Euro is overdoing that (as it tends to with precip/convective forecasting to an extent but nevertheless). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 18z GFS is insane for Texas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormdragonwx Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 3 hours ago, Iceresistance said: 18z GFS is insane for Texas Been watching that too. I expect it will lessen the amounts and shift north in the coming days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Getting flashbacks of the 1/11/19-1/13/19 snowstorm that we all missed out on by a hair. I remember how depressed I was on this day, knowing if I just hopped in the car and drove 2 hours away I would be in a winter wonderland, and instead it was 33 degrees with a cold rain. This is practically the same situation. Great pattern ahead of us though for more chances! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormdragonwx Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 10th-11th looks interesting too on the GFS/Canadian models. Euro wants to say its a TX event for a foot of snow which I don't buy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Latest High Res NAM brings us about .5 to 1 for a good amount of us. If we can land some mood flakes with a dusting for Sunday afternoon, I'll take it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 For what it’s worth, the HRRR is quite a bit colder than other high res models in the short term and indicates some freezing drizzle potential across SWMO tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 The Euro is beginning to bite on next week's storm now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWAflizzard Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 16 minutes ago, StormChazer said: The Euro is beginning to bite on next week's storm now. Yes. That was certainly a nice change of pace. Just need a little movement north. But not too much. Don’t want this to end up in Minneapolis or anything. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stx_Thunder Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Posting some actual FZRA ice accumulation output here (that's not liquid-equivalent), for this weekend's event. Especially over southeastern MO. NAM isn't far behind also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 9 hours ago, StormChazer said: The Euro is beginning to bite on next week's storm now. The complete lack of consistency with this system, for being less than a week away is crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 4 Author Share Posted January 4 1 hour ago, MUWX said: The complete lack of consistency with this system, for being less than a week away is crazy. Complex phasing situation over the southwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Blizzard warnings hoisted for the ICT/TOP CWAs in KS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 25 minutes ago, andyhb said: Blizzard warnings hoisted for the ICT/TOP CWAs in KS. KC upgraded also…. All while most of this board gets 34 and rain. Sickening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormdragonwx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 hour ago, MUWX said: KC upgraded also…. All while most of this board gets 34 and rain. Sickening Indeed typical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 End of next week system has my attention now. Potential is there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Ice from freezing drizzle is causing a ton of problems in KS and W MO right now near I-70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 4 Author Share Posted January 4 25 minutes ago, MoWeatherguy said: End of next week system has my attention now. Potential is there. NW trend has started. Should be in good shape once it gets here, haha 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 4 Author Share Posted January 4 4 minutes ago, andyhb said: Ice from freezing drizzle is causing a ton of problems in KS and W MO right now near I-70. Yeah, I saw the Chiefs are stuck in KC (supposed to be flying to Denver), as the airport has closed due to icing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 27 minutes ago, JoMo said: NW trend has started. Should be in good shape once it gets here, haha All cards on the table. Looks now we would at least be in the cold sector. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 snow 0.1-0.25" ice accumulation in Kansas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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