Using Past Forecasting Difficulty to More Accurately Diagnose Winter '24-'25 In A Rapidly Changing Climate

[40/70 Benchmark]

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2024/11/using-past-forecasting-difficulty-to.html

[cleetussnow]

Awesome.  I read about 30% scanning for the big picture stuff.  I'm thinking the snow totals you have and +2 to +4 are good and in line with other seasonal forecasts like NOAA/accuweather.  I swagged 14 inches for NYC myself.  I feel like to get to the higher ends of your snow forecast ranges we'll need some money in the bank by the end of December.  Still better than last winter for most. 

You put a lot into this and I'll read some more later.  A lot is above my grade level but I'll learn something.  Good shit.

[J Paul Gordon]

1.5-2.0+ for my location overall. Not devastating by any stretch. Snowfall for Worcester is virtually the same here (-10" to normal) is better than the past few years. So, probably more than our share of cutters, but some real chances for benchmarks, too. I can live with this. I'll make my final 23-25 prediction on April 1st.

High 53 here today, current temperature, 39 is the low. DP 21. Unbelievable stretch of extremely dry weather. 

[512high]

LMAO, am I the only one that caught Tolland CT /Methuen, MA projections lol...oh Ray, lol

[cleetussnow]

2 hours ago, 512high said:

LMAO, am I the only one that caught Tolland CT /Methuen, MA projections lol...oh Ray, lol

Mt. Tolland 

[brooklynwx99]

amazing work. I agree that 2021-22 likely matches the flavor of this year the best

[weathafella]

That's a funny poke to Kevin....lol.