11th Annual Mid-Atlantic Snowfall Contest

[RodneyS]

Reminder: The deadline for this contest is fast approaching: Sunday, December 1, at 11:59 PM EST --  the contest will lock then, and no late entries will be permitted.

So, if you have not entered thus far and wish to do so, follow my below example (except for using the same numbers) and do it now.

BWI:   9.6"
DCA:  5.8"
IAD:   12.1"
RIC:    6.1" 

Tiebreaker (SBY): 5.4"

[NorthArlington101]

On 11/1/2024 at 2:24 PM, NorthArlington101 said:

Going (our modern) average for now… maybe I’ll change my mind before the deadline!

BWI: 11.2”
DCA: 9.9”
IAD: 16.1”
RIC: 7.3”
Tiebreaker (SBY): 8.1”

made modest tweaks upwards based on good vibes - will probably regret it!

[RodneyS]

22 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

made modest tweaks upwards based on good vibes - will probably regret it!

 

[RIC Airport]

BWI: 19.6”

DCA: 17.3”

IAD: 24.7"

RIC: 14.5”

LYH: 16.9”

[North Balti Zen]

On 11/1/2024 at 11:40 AM, North Balti Zen said:

BWI: 4.0"

DCA: 2.5"

IAD: 5.0"

RIC: 7.0"

 

Tiebreaker (SBY) : 6"

Those are the updated numbers, Rodney, fwiw. 

[Bob Chill]

BWI: 17.5"

DCA: 10.5"

IAD: 21.5"

RIC: 11.5" 

 

Tiebreaker (SBY): 11.9"

[Terpeast]

On 11/14/2024 at 7:01 PM, Terpeast said:

BWI: 9.4”
DCA: 5.1”
IAD: 12.3”
RIC: 2.8”

Tiebreaker (SBY): 4.3”

I'm sticking with my guesses. No changes...

[StormyClearweather]

BWI: 7.4”
DCA: 5.1”
IAD: 9.6”
RIC: 3.1”

Tiebreaker (SBY): 5.9

[GramaxRefugee]

BWI: 27.6”
DCA: 19.4”
IAD: 31.3”
RIC: 17.3”

Tiebreaker (SBY): 16.3

[Stormpc]

BWI:   19.6"
DCA:  14.8"
IAD:   25.4
RIC:    6.9" 

Tiebreaker (SBY): 9.4"

[SnowenOutThere]

BWI:   17.2"
DCA:  9.1"
IAD:   16.4"
RIC:    4.5" 

Tiebreaker (SBY): 11.1"

[RodneyS]

See below summary table.  We have 69 entrants this year, which is about halfway between two years ago (64 entrants) and last year (75 entrants). 52 of our 69 entrants this year played last year, and 17 either played two years or more ago or are new to the contest.

The forecasts are generally lower this year.  Specifically, here are this season's mean forecasts for each airport, with last year's mean forecasts in parentheses:  

BWI  14.1 (25.5), DCA 9.3 (18.4), IAD 16.0 (28.1), RIC 6.8 (13.5).  

The actual totals last year were:  BWI 11.3, DCA 8.0, IAD 11.7, RIC 0.7.  

So this year's forecasts are in line with last year's actuals, with the exception of RIC, which presumably last year was an aberration for the second straight time.                              
 

[Prestige Worldwide]

Thanks @RodneySfor all that you do!

[RodneyS]

2 hours ago, Prestige Worldwide said:

Thanks @RodneySfor all that you do!

You're welcome.  This contest is always a lot of fun -- especially when you win, as you did five years ago. 

[RodneyS]

A Christmas Eve mini-ice storm today ruined LongRanger's bid for a perfect score, but he still maintains his lead.

[RodneyS]

Today's brief squall added another 0.1 at Dulles.

 

[yoda]

@RodneyS looks like 0.2" was the total FYI -- https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=lwx&issuedby=LWX&product=PNS

...Loudoun County...
  Bluemont 1 WSW          1.8   309 PM  1/03  Since 130 PM
  Hughesville 1 ESE       0.8   235 PM  1/03  Trained Spotter
  Arcola 3 S              0.3   330 PM  1/03  Trained Spotter
  Dulles International    0.2   437 PM  1/03  Official NWS Obs
  Purcellville            0.2   748 PM  1/03  Co-Op Observer
  Ashburn 1 W             0.2   319 PM  1/03  NWS Employee