DocATL Posted November 17 Share Posted November 17 It's back18z runs were meh.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted November 17 Share Posted November 17 3 hours ago, DocATL said: 18z runs were meh. . 00z GFS: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted November 17 Share Posted November 17 Models are just reminding us not to even look at them past 100 hours when it comes to snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted November 17 Share Posted November 17 1 hour ago, Stevo6899 said: Models are just reminding us not to even look at them past 100 hours when it comes to snow. These secondary spin-ups are notoriously ill handled. Not surprising in the least really 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted November 17 Share Posted November 17 Models are just reminding us not to even look at them past 100 hours when it comes to snow.Yeah…it ain’t a thing until the mesoscale models get involved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted November 17 Share Posted November 17 It's back and 12Z was a juicy run. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvck Posted November 17 Share Posted November 17 What a complex forecast for this mid-week... Rain chance basically everyday, and didn't end up including any snow in my "official" 7-day, but wouldn't be surprised if we got even up to 3inches through the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted November 17 Share Posted November 17 Another day of grey permacloud. I’m watching the Bears/Packers game and jealous of thr sun they’re getting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted November 17 Share Posted November 17 This will be most welcome! Isolated 3" also possible along the shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted November 17 Share Posted November 17 The permacloud is getting to me too, November's "sweet treat" around here. Did get some wonderful sunny days on Tues and two Sats ago but its not enough. River is getting quite low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownSnow Posted November 17 Share Posted November 17 5 hours ago, Frog Town said: It's back and 12Z was a juicy run. 18Z says hold my beer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted November 17 Share Posted November 17 20 minutes ago, ChiTownSnow said: 18Z says hold my beer 30” at 10-1 imby. I’ll be satisfied with 10% of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowtie` Posted November 18 Share Posted November 18 From today at noon. Isn't there some weather lore/wive's tale that a ring around the Sun means rain? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted November 18 Share Posted November 18 8 hours ago, Frog Town said: It's back and 12Z was a juicy run. Umm, it helps if you actually posted posted 24-hour snowfall map of that run instead. The majority of the snowfall total on the 12z GFS is for around the beginning of December. 12z GFS: 18z GFS: 3 hours ago, Torchageddon said: The permacloud is getting to me too, November's "sweet treat" around here. Did get some wonderful sunny days on Tues and two Sats ago but its not enough. River is getting quite low. Filtered sunshine today, but it's going that be that kind of a week when sun will be hard to come by this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted November 18 Share Posted November 18 Filtered sunshine today, but it's going that be that kind of a week when sun will be hard to come by this week.This weeks event may be a few token flakes for Chicago and that’s about it. We’ll be threading the needle next week.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted November 18 Share Posted November 18 15 hours ago, Torchageddon said: The permacloud is getting to me too, November's "sweet treat" around here. Did get some wonderful sunny days on Tues and two Sats ago but its not enough. River is getting quite low. This is about the time where I need to head south to florida. These cloudy days definitely affect me too much 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted November 18 Share Posted November 18 19 hours ago, Brian D said: This will be most welcome! Isolated 3" also possible along the shore. They just upped the potential rain totals for the North Shore. Now isolated 4" possible along the higher terrain, along with a Wind adv for 40-50 mph wind gusts. Too bad this wasn't a winter storm. It would be awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted November 18 Share Posted November 18 3 hours ago, Stevo6899 said: This is about the time where I need to head south to florida. These cloudy days definitely affect me too much Just lived thru the sunniest Sept/Oct I ever remember in the Northland. And you want to flee The Mitten so fast?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted November 18 Share Posted November 18 I don’t know about you all but I’m riding the ICON FTW. She’s glorious! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pascy619 Posted November 18 Share Posted November 18 GFS really trying to start Meteorological Winter off on a frigid note. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted November 18 Share Posted November 18 1 hour ago, RogueWaves said: Just lived thru the sunniest Sept/Oct I ever remember in the Northland. And you want to flee The Mitten so fast?? I'm a what have you done for me lately kinda guy lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvck Posted November 18 Share Posted November 18 Haven't been paying too much attention to ensembles, but this is a pretty big run-to-run change off the EPS, and somewhat surprising to see so close to the event? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted November 19 Share Posted November 19 4 hours ago, nvck said: Haven't been paying too much attention to ensembles, but this is a pretty big run-to-run change off the EPS, and somewhat surprising to see so close to the event? Nice to have you looking out for this region. I presume you're a student at CMU? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 19 Share Posted November 19 Getting 45-50mph southeast winds the past hour or two. Really rocking out there. Nice little soaker today that slowly added up to 0.55". 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 19 Share Posted November 19 liking our shot at some first flakes with the white rain joker storm on thursday, big accums obv low probability, especially imby but it's a goofy evolution and will be fun to watch play out as we begin the transition into winter mode 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted November 19 Share Posted November 19 16 hours ago, Stevo6899 said: I'm a what have you done for me lately kinda guy lol. If you hate the weather here then why do you live here? Plenty of jobs in Florida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted November 19 Share Posted November 19 I received about 0.60" of rain from this system. It was a pretty big underperformer across the entire area. The model average was at least an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted November 19 Share Posted November 19 1.10” here, lower end of guidance but still a healthy event. Temps warmed from 43 to 55 overnight, they will slowly drop throughout the day and then crash below freezing tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvck Posted November 19 Share Posted November 19 11 hours ago, RogueWaves said: Nice to have you looking out for this region. I presume you're a student at CMU? Yep lol, been pretty focused on mid-michigan, but heres a couple more charts I pulled from the 00z run for other cities DTW: Kalamazoo: Chicago/O'Hare: Cleveland: Let me know if anyone wants any other graphics from this site, they've got some good visualizations, but it needs a subscription which I've got thru school. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted November 19 Share Posted November 19 If you're a glutton for NAM punishment in its outer ranges, the 12z run took a pretty big step toward the global solutions for Thursday's first flakes. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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