Blowvember - and not named for wind potential

[ineedsnow]

[MJO812]

7 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Icon is a cold rain for SNE Thanksgiving day and misses south with the main system

 

[Torch Tiger]

Thrilling

[Typhoon Tip]

i dunno - i think a 'fair' subjective impressing ( ...good luck with that in the court of public opinion and social media's razor sharp equitability ...) is that what is presently modeled there is thrilling...  i get it that is is not a stem-wound bomb potential ( as is ..) but that's not fair  lol

in part, we've not had this sort of pattern look, nor one that is entered by that kind of set up... since perhaps 2008!  

also, this is advancing in climatology, thi sort of look below, by several weeks or more.   between the former and this aspect, this is an unusual total pattern loading and any potentials therefrom should also in the fairer sense draw some attention. 

[ineedsnow]

12z GFS = meh

[ROOSTA]

A post from my FB presence

When trying to "sniff" out storms it's very difficult getting the timing correct. First thing to consider is the larger picture. Hemispheric and Continental patterns must align in general to create conditions that are conducive for just the formation of a storm.

I might have jump on this threat to early. Models are not in agreement for a widespread snowstorm. That is a red flag of caution, usually resulting in no storm. The threat is still present but down to (1) Pattern recognition is crucial. This threat seems to be slipping away. Still must watch very closely if things change!

Even when conditions are perfect, everything is in agreement the devil in the details on a meso-scale must be considered bringing all the variables into play.

Extremely difficult to forecast!

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Hi fives all around with those solutions. Wolfie is lubing up his sled. 

[moneypitmike]

14 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

12z GFS = meh

Could be worse.....lots of time.

[moneypitmike]

Snowblower at Pit2 started right up.  Pit1 not so much.  Congrats SNE. 

[ineedsnow]

this storm doesn't even have enough cold air around.. 12z CMC is the perfect track but rains 

[CoastalWx]

Zero cold. Let’s whiff at this point and save the day.

[Damage In Tolland]

Steined 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

33 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

Thrilling

I’ll take Stein over most of today’s model solutions. 

[Typhoon Tip]

this such a bum solution by the ggem at d6 ... 

[ineedsnow]

12z GEFS  members all over the place 

[ineedsnow]

[WalpoleJoe]

27 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

Snowblower at Pit2 started right up.  Pit1 not so much.  Congrats SNE. 

I started mine today too, fired right up. Used it once last year, though I could have shoveled it. 

[ineedsnow]

ukie

[Typhoon Tip]

it's the gfs what it's doing is acknowledging or arriving a very impressive pattern scaffolding ... but, negative or destructively interfering everything within the wholesale construct.  if it gets it's way, the whole hemisphere will have changed from a warm base to a cold base, having nothing happen anywhere - ha, so it seems... 

i dunno. it's not really how things typically work, and the hurried frenzy where waves catch up and bully into each other mmm, yeah to some degree - the flow is quickening.  it isn't without merit, but i feel the gfs does this thing where it's too willing, going too far whenever that memo's out there.  

[Prismshine Productions]

e12 would make me very, very happy

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[Prismshine Productions]

Snow or no snow... That cold air push the first few days of December looks legit

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[brooklynwx99]

FWIW the 12z models have shown some interest in allowing the Dec 1 wave to become more of its own entity, as seen on the GEFS. the airmass is much better and the -NAO is more established, so this is worth watching IMO

[CoastalWx]

5 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

FWIW the 12z models have shown some interest in allowing the Dec 1 wave to become more of its own entity, as seen on the GEFS. the airmass is much better and the -NAO is more established, so this is worth watching IMO

I’d also keep an eye on the 2-3 too with that s/w.

[ineedsnow]

Euro a Rainer for SNE

[Go Kart Mozart]

Euro AI likes a Norlun at 210 hours...bank on it.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

Euro a Rainer for SNE

It’s shit no matter the track. No cold. Looks like we have a lousy T day now.

[ineedsnow]

pike north gets snow to start off   central and northern  New England gets the goods 

[WxWatcher007]

I’d still rather get the rain.