Blowvember - and not named for wind potential

[40/70 Benchmark]

19 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

And I do hope that completely unexpected wrench in tropical season also means that we get a positive wrench for our winter. The last half decade plus has been miserable. We need a break from rains to Maine. 

Still not an average snowfall season here since 2017-2018....closest was within like 10-12" when I got 51" in 2020-2021.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, 512high said:

19F for the low, currently 21F

Big underpferomer here Wednesday night, but made up for it last night. 18.1 for the low.

[Typhoon Tip]

28 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah end of the month looking a bit more interesting. Worth watching.

it's been a rather remarkably persistent signal, given both time of year, ...and recent decadal propensity for signals of any kind or context to not be persistently dependable.  haha.   seriously though, thanks giving week's pattern change. 

..as an aside, this is just the way i personally get aroused ... nice and early front loading winter signals, hitting on the front side of the solar minimum entry. 

caveats are still this tendency to correct cold --> warmer, over time   ... it's become a rather dependable aspect in all modeling for several years.  still not abundantly sure why this occurs.  i'd love to blame cc, but i don't really see how that would be the case mathematically - unless the moders really are fiddling with coefficients which according to literature ...there's nothing like that.   i dunno.  either way, we could verify the hemisphere and do so with less cold complexion.   long way to go on that

[40/70 Benchmark]

8 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Warmth always wins. Sorry to those who don’t believe it. 

I don't really give a rat's ass if the warm night time lows are more anomalous than the cold shots...sorry to those who lose sleep over that. Just give me a cold enough airmass to snow and a low over the islands.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

it's been a rather remarkably persistent signal, given both time of year, ...and recent decadal propensity to not be persistently dependable any where and/or in any dimension of context.  haha.   seriously though, thanks giving week's pattern change. 

..as an aside, this is just the way i personally get aroused ... nice and early front loading winter signals, hitting on the front side of the solar minimum entry. 

caveats are still this tendency to correct cold --> warmer, and time <--   ... it's become a rather dependable aspect in all modeling for several years.  still not abundantly sure why this occurs.  i'd love to blame cc, but i don't really see how that would be the case mathematically - unless the moders really are fiddling with coefficients which according to literature ...there's nothing like that.   i dunno.  either way, we could verify the hemisphere and do so with less cold complexion.   long way to go on that

Are there a few others?

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I don't really give a rat's ass if the warm night time lows are more anomalous than the cold shots...sorry to those who lose sleep over that. Just give me a cold enough airmass to snow and a low over the islands.

It’s warm all around. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

@512high...May have to coordinate with you early on the subsciption launches....will have to watch this weekend.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

It’s warm all around. 

I'm being sarcastic, but it is most pronounced at night.

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

I'm not a CC denier, so lets skip past that tension.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'm being sarcastic, but it is most pronounced at night.

 

I know what you mean, but we are also pissing through record highs. 
Join the Sandbar Scooter club. I’m not only the president, I’m also a client.

[Typhoon Tip]

this was 'fake cold' though.   these last two days...  even the day times held to 40 were kind of fake, too. 

"fake" semantics, that's probably a rubric for any situation were hot or cold over performs, relative to broader indicators/standard lens.   you look at the charts, and the hydrostatic heights are barely below 550 dm thickness, which is the result of integrating moisture into the non-hydrostatic heights ...? never mind   anyway, you don't typically get 20 f lows under 550 thickness.   that's more likely to occur under 535 or less in 'standard synoptic' loading.  also, keeping the high temperature just 40 f - granted the sun is now beans for heat contribution, still, we've seen 60 at this time of year/sun at 550 dm thickness. 

basically, the middle range of the troposphere is warm, the surface is cold ...relative to the former metrical layout. by a comparatively slivered range, too.  so, we've been faked out.

the end of the month isn't fake the way those indices modes are at that time.  it's also nice to see the operational runs buying in a bit more.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I know what you mean, but we are also pissing through record highs. 
Join the Sandbar Scooter club. I’m not only the president, I’m also a client.

After the past two falls especially, I’ve sent my membership fee. 

[Damage In Tolland]

I’d sell all of it in terms of cold and snowy Tgiving week. Shabbs is 

[WxWatcher007]

21 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Still not an average snowfall season here since 2017-2018....closest was within like 10-12" when I got 51" in 2020-2021.

It has been a truly horrific stretch since I came back in 2018. Without the Feb miracle I would’ve been below a foot of snowfall on the season. Worst season yet. It’s time for something better…I hope…

[40/70 Benchmark]

17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I know what you mean, but we are also pissing through record highs. 
Join the Sandbar Scooter club. I’m not only the president, I’m also a client.

If course. I'm not saying it doesn't manifest during the day at all..obviously it does...especially during the cold season. Summer is def more in the way of warmer nights and consistently higher dews.

[wxeyeNH]

Nice mild night up on my hill.   27.7F   A 1/4 mile down my hill was probably at least 10F colder.  Already up to 40F before 9am

[CoastalWx]

22 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

After the past two falls especially, I’ve sent my membership fee. 

Received. Enjoy a free Rum Runner on me. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Decent weekend incoming, get out and get after it!

[40/70 Benchmark]

19 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I’d sell all of it in terms of cold and snowy Tgiving week. Shabbs is 

I expected a pretty warm November and December.

[CoastalWx]

19 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I’d sell all of it in terms of cold and snowy Tgiving week. Shabbs is 

Who called for that? It looks more interesting and that’s all anybody said. Certainly interior or NNE could pull something. That’s not an unreasonable take. 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I expected a pretty warm November and December.

Don’t tell wolf man. He says we have no clue beyond 48hrs out. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Don’t tell wolf man. He says we have no clue beyond 48hrs out. 

Maybe we do? Maybe we don't? Lets see what happens??

[CoastalWx]

Now that I don’t have access to my old model platform, gonna have to get some sort of subscription. I guess weathermodels.com? 

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Now that I don’t have access to my old model platform, gonna have to get some sort of subscription. I guess weathermodels.com? 

I really like the F5/Wxbell combo meal.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just don't use wxbell for seasonal stuff...their seasonal products are garbage.

[dendrite]

23 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said:

Nice mild night up on my hill.   27.7F   A 1/4 mile down my hill was probably at least 10F colder.  Already up to 40F before 9am

Similar range here. I left for work a bit before 7a and the top of my hill was 27° and bottom 19°. 

[weatherwiz]

14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Now that I don’t have access to my old model platform, gonna have to get some sort of subscription. I guess weathermodels.com? 

weathermodels.com sucks 

[powderfreak]

17F here while it was like 34F mid-slope elevations.

[tamarack]

Low of 14 here, IZG 12 and BML 9.  A small cloud to our northwest, first one I've seen in 3 days.  (November vies with December for the cloudiest month here.)

[CoastalWx]

24 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

17F here while it was like 34F mid-slope elevations.

Now that is F-A-K-E