Blowvember - and not named for wind potential

[mreaves]

34.5° WTF?! I thought November lows were supposed to be mid 50s!

[powderfreak]

16 minutes ago, mreaves said:

34.5° WTF?! I thought November lows were supposed to be mid 50s!

MVL has been bouncing between 36F and 45F the past couple hours.  Calm vs mixing.

We could get to the normal 28F low (average min at both MVL and MPV), especially if it goes calm.

Yesterday’s daily departures were incredible.  A true +25 at Montpelier and +26 at Morrisville-Stowe.

These sharp cold fronts get us back to normal.

[mreaves]

Just now, powderfreak said:

MVL has been bouncing between 36F and 45F the past couple hours.  Calm vs mixing.

We could get to the normal 28F low (average min at both MVL and MPV), especially if it goes calm.

Yesterday’s daily departures were incredible.  A true +25 at Montpelier and +26 at Morrisville-Stowe.

These sharp cold fronts get us back to normal.

It’s funny, I went to Montpelier to walk on the bike path and the temp jumped into the 40’s just before exit 7 and down over the hill. I figured that area was probably open to mixing. It dropped back into the 30s halfway down to exit 8. 

[powderfreak]

7 minutes ago, mreaves said:

It’s funny, I went to Montpelier to walk on the bike path and the temp jumped into the 40’s just before exit 7 and down over the hill. I figured that area was probably open to mixing. It dropped back into the 30s halfway down to exit 8. 

I love the super local variations we see around here due to the terrain and mixing.  You can tell where the air is moving swiftly, tapping into that higher level flow vs settling out calmly based on the temp.

[Modfan2]

Down to 33F so far here in E CT, a change over the past few mornings.

[512high]

36 for the low, leaves back in my yard again! 

[jbenedet]

PSM with low of 36 but already up to 41 on SW winds.

[dendrite]

31.1° with some frost

[jbenedet]

Roses still in bloom around Dover. Lawns still green.
 

I def enjoy the warmth as long as we stay out of the brown of stick season. 

[SouthCoastMA]

Still finding deer ticks on the kid. Something tells me these things aren't going away anytime soon. 

[jbenedet]

6z GFS MOS with high of 61 at PSM.

It’s currently 52.

65 is in view.

[WinterWolf]

31 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

Roses still in bloom around Dover. Lawns still green.
 

I def enjoy the warmth as long as we stay out of the brown of stick season. 

No green lawns here…all brown from no rain.   

[Damage In Tolland]

This is the earliest I’ve ever been done with leaves. Nov 8th is crazy early for the Oaks to be done . I’m usually doing a final cleanup Tgiving week. Stein did give us that gift .

[tamarack]

52 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Still finding deer ticks on the kid. Something tells me these things aren't going away anytime soon. 

I always bring home some ticks during deer season, Nov 2-30 this year.  Spring and fall seem to offer more of the little horrors, mid-late summer they seem to disappear.

Had mid 30s late last evening, clouds pushed it to low 40s by 7 this morning.

[Typhoon Tip]

tomorrow will be pretty harsh though.   there's some acclimation bias there, but going from 70 to 80 days, to today's 60 ... to the 44 down here and 33 up there, with near 30mph wind gusts tomorrow, that's not going to be very pleasant.

btw, we've made it!  we are now in the solar minimum. for the next 91.25 days we are in 'solar winter'   one aspect about this time, at our latitude, that can be distinctive is that the advection terms become dominate in the diurnal cycle.   if there is no caa or waa, than the sun's feeble ability to correct the air mass is more coherently registerable ...  it will offset some, but it just gets subsumed by the advection to the point where it is almost immeasurable - this is the time of year the temperatures can 'bottom out' at 1pm on a sunny day, because the core of a cold air mass times... 

not that we should ever see anything like this given the state of the world  heh

[ineedsnow]

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

This is the earliest I’ve ever been done with leaves. Nov 8th is crazy early for the Oaks to be done . I’m usually doing a final cleanup Tgiving week. Stein did give us that gift .

the wind is starting to crank.. how many fires today?

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

the wind is starting to crank.. how many fires today?

Probably 20-40 in each state . Some wild uns 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Fire right off 93 in Wilmington. Spreading fast towards someone’s house, fire department wasn’t even there yet 

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Fire right off 93 in Wilmington. Spreading fast towards someone’s house, fire department wasn’t even there yet 

Did you grab a garden hose to help ?

[ineedsnow]

yes please!

[snowman19]

18 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

yes please!

When the op GFS is the only model showing it, it’s probably a bad sign…..

[cardinalland]

down here in tropical new haven i’m still waiting on a first freeze. latest on record is 11/16 and beating that record looks like a lock 

[dryslot]

1 hour ago, tamarack said:

I always bring home some ticks during deer season, Nov 2-30 this year.  Spring and fall seem to offer more of the little horrors, mid-late summer they seem to disappear.

Had mid 30s late last evening, clouds pushed it to low 40s by 7 this morning.

Picked of two the last two days, Really tiny black ones too.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

This is the earliest I’ve ever been done with leaves. Nov 8th is crazy early for the Oaks to be done . I’m usually doing a final cleanup Tgiving week. Stein did give us that gift .

Yea I have one more small round to do and it will look like a pristine looking brown landscape. 

[weatherwiz]

That is quite the evolution of the pattern during the second half of the week. That is a pretty significant ridge which gets going across the southern states with a quite a bit of shortwave energy rotating around in Canada with some intense systems moving across the Gulf of Alaska into Canada. Don't really care what the differences are at the sfc right now but even the Euro has a somewhat similar evolution to the GFS. 

[powderfreak]

Can always increase amounts later.

[weatherwiz]

I mean I would have to think if you get an intense vort to dig and close off just off the coast, given how warm the waters off, combined with that level of mlvl cold...that would be a recipe for a good coastal storm to develop. 

[Modfan2]

7 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Can always increase amounts later.

Buried in NNE, brush fires in SNE?

[Damage In Tolland]

22 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Yea I have one more small round to do and it will look like a pristine looking brown landscape. 

Literally everything is dead and brown whenever you look. 
Except my pepper plants. 

[Go Kart Mozart]

1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

the wind is starting to crank.. how many fires today?

Some of my insurance companies have issued underwriting moratoriums for Mass.