Blowvember - and not named for wind potential

[NW_of_GYX]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

18z EPS has more members inside the BM.

Ya that’s a fairly significant change from 12z. 

[WinterWolf]

4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

I legit think this will be a cold rain here.  I have been pretty accurate for my hood.  An occasional surprise

Most likely…but another tick and you could be in the game for some accumulating snow.  I’ll be surprised if you go to bed before the GFS comes out tonight?  

[dryslot]

4 minutes ago, NW_of_GYX said:

Ya that’s a fairly significant change from 12z. 

I just looked at 12z, There was more spread but the left members were inland over Maine as well so they shifted a bit east at 18z tracking into the Bay of Fundy with more members.

[ineedsnow]

7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

You know you’re area very well and almost always are correct. And you also “smartly I may add” never stay up all night looking at model runs 

only until 1230 grandma 

[kdxken]

Yuck. Give me the forest fires.

[NW_of_GYX]

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I just looked at 12z, There was more spread but the left members were inland over Maine as well so they shifted a bit east at 18z tracking into the Bay of Fundy.

That’s a nice track for us, right where you want it in the GOM. too bad we’re dealing with marginal temps 

[Torch Tiger]

it's got that look....not here, thankfully

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, NW_of_GYX said:

That’s a nice track for us, right where you want it in the GOM. too bad we’re dealing with marginal temps 

If we had a colder air mass over us that would be a classic right to the coast, Its going to be slop more then likely here but back by you and NW of there looks to be a paste job verbatim.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

8 minutes ago, dryslot said:

If we had a colder air mass over us that would be a classic right to the coast, Its going to be slop more then likely here but back by you and NW of there looks to be a paste job verbatim.

Story of the last 5 years 

[NW_of_GYX]

Still plenty of time for this to end up over CON or deepen and get more people in the game. 

[powderfreak]

It’s been 9 days since we’ve seen a mean daily temp departure less than +4.

November is at +5.3.

That pretty much explains the air masses we’ve seen. Not surprising this event will be marginal under 1,000ft.

[kdxken]

Just now, powderfreak said:

It’s been 9 days since we’ve seen a mean daily temp departure less than +4.

November is at +5.3.

That pretty much explains the air masses we’ve seen.

The new Florida.

[Torch Tiger]

1-2' er or bust

[Lava Rock]

That’s a nice track for us, right where you want it in the GOM. too bad we’re dealing with marginal temps 

Will be in Barlett. Should be decent there

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[ORH_wxman]

N ORH county above 1000 feet def has a chance. I wouldn’t go gangbusters there yet but it’s not crazy to think they might get several inches if this breaks right. It really is too bad it’s November without an arctic airmass in place. 

[powderfreak]

5 minutes ago, kdxken said:

The new Florida.

The new climate… just days and days of normal highs and torched lows.  Another +5 day.

Yesterday’s high… 40F.

Normal high… 40F.

Yesterday’s low… 32F

Normal low… 22F.

[NW_of_GYX]

2 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

Will be in Barlett. Should be decent there

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The whites are looking good for a signifiant early season snowfall. 

[NW_of_GYX]

4 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

The new climate… just days and days of normal highs and torched lows.  Another +5 day.

Yesterday’s high… 40F.

Normal high… 40F.

Yesterday’s low… 32F

Normal low… 22F.

I’m sure you guys are chomping to open it up and let the guns rip. Next week there will be a lot of snow being made in New England 

[HoarfrostHubb]

52 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Most likely…but another tick and you could be in the game for some accumulating snow.  I’ll be surprised if you go to bed before the GFS comes out tonight?  

Just got home from parent / teacher conferences Part 1.  Won’t be staying up past 9:30

[met_fan]

3 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I know that in W MA it’s much cheaper to buy the houses that are under 800’ feet elevation.  
The hill town real estate is spendy.  

We have snow loving friends who were choosing between a house at 600’ in Shelburne and 900’ in Heath a few years ago.
They went with the Shelburne house which was nicer and about 40k less. They regret their decision. Lol.  
It’s amazing how much that 300 feet of difference makes with regards to snow. 

I enjoy snow, but give me the nicer, cheaper house 10 times out of 10.

[powderfreak]

4 minutes ago, NW_of_GYX said:

I’m sure you guys are chomping to open it up and let the guns rip. Next week there will be a lot of snow being made in New England 

The nighttime temps this month have just crushed snowmaking opportunities.  Snowmaking relies on those daily temperature averages, and especially the mins.  Chop 10 degrees off the lower end of the daily range and it’s been a struggle to make snow consistently in the elevations that need it.  A ton of tepid air masses.

Looks like it should improve.  I always loop 925mb temps to gage snowmaking chances.  Need to see -5C or lower sustained at 925mb for true snowmaking opportunities at 1500ft.  

[Prismshine Productions]

I enjoy snow, but give me the nicer, cheaper house 10 time out of 10.

Hence me being at 297' asl instead of the mountains

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[kdxken]

29 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Just got home from parent / teacher conferences Part 1.  Won’t be staying up past 9:30

Your in kid trouble again ? My parents went through that with me. I grew out of it...kinda

[MJO812]

[dendrite]

BL is marginal even here on the 00z NAM. I could see one of those 34-35F deals during the day where it snows during better lift and then just white rains at other points. 

[WinterWolf]

9 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Your in kid trouble again ? My parents went through that with me. I grew out of it...kinda

Lol..no, he’s the teacher. 

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

BL is marginal even here on the 00z NAM. I could see one of those 34-35F deals during the day where it snows during better lift and then just white rains at other points. 

Yeah gonna need to rip even higher up near 1K.

[WxWatcher007]

1 hour ago, Prismshine Productions said:

This is such a a beautiful take, it is my view after 29 winters of pure crap. Keeps me humble

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My God lol. I thought I had it bad.

[dryslot]

Weak and strung out on the Nam, That gets nothing done but rain for most fwiw.

[Prismshine Productions]

My God lol. I thought I had it bad.

That's what happens growing up in the South...

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