Great Snow 1717 Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: Ya it's close and definitely don't think it would be 10 to 1 notice the 0.1 right over Ray's home in Methuen... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 This would probably be more realistic. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Ya it's close and definitely don't think it would be 10 to 1 This could turn into something really nice for NNE…the trend is their friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 1 minute ago, dryslot said: This would probably be more realistic. Ya I would take that in a second. But who knows maybe by 0z tonight things will converge a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 Interesting satellite loop in PA currently.... 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 Weak system with bad antecedent airmass. Sell clowns big time. Esp below 1000-1200 feet. TPV got stuck almost due north of us which is not where you want it. You want it east toward the 50/50 region to get a high building in. That is the main change from some of those colder solutions 3 days ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 24 minutes ago, dryslot said: I avg 3" here in Nov. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 35 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: notice the 0.1 right over Ray's home in Methuen... I've never engaged this fraud event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 This would probably be more realistic.6" for me? I'll takeSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 29 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Weak system with bad antecedent airmass. Sell clowns big time. Esp below 1000-1200 feet. TPV got stuck almost due north of us which is not where you want it. You want it east toward the 50/50 region to get a high building in. That is the main change from some of those colder solutions 3 days ago. I'll take even half what the Euro shows.. EPS is still north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 I know you guys are focused on Thursday but tomorrow AM up here maybe a bit sneaky. Just enough CAD with a weak 2ndary. No salt on the roads so first thing maybe some freezing rain or flakes at the end? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 3 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: I know you guys are focused on Thursday but tomorrow AM up here maybe a bit sneaky. Just enough CAD with a weak 2ndary. No salt on the roads so first thing maybe some freezing rain or flakes at the end? I noted this a few pages back i think that the tues morning commute could be a bit slick up here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 Bah, this looks like it could be a decent event around these parts. Too bad I'll be in the Albany area on Thursday for Thanksgiving. Wonder if I ought to fake sickness. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 18 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said: Bah, this looks like it could be a decent event around these parts. Too bad I'll be in the Albany area on Thursday for Thanksgiving. Wonder if I ought to fake sickness. Definitely a hall of fame move wangling out of thanksgiving. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 45 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I've never engaged this fraud event. I never said you were engaged lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 35 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said: Bah, this looks like it could be a decent event around these parts. Too bad I'll be in the Albany area on Thursday for Thanksgiving. Wonder if I ought to fake sickness. for an advisory level event?! maybe if its 12”+ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 20 minutes ago, weathafella said: Definitely a hall of fame move wangling out of thanksgiving. First ballot I would hope... Nah, no chance I'm missing out on Thanksgiving. My nephew has just started talking and I need to ensure he says my name before he says my sister's. I'll be driving back Friday morning across southern Vermont anyway. That'll give me my snow fix assuming the event materializes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 I know this is 10:1, but the Euro had 4 separate events:Thanksgiving-Black FridayEvening 12/4-morning 12/5December 8thAnd one right at hr 360 on the 10thCombine that with the extremely cold air mass arriving next week, this actually would feel like a legit start to winter and march us on a kickstart towards some seasonal numbers (that air mass coming is frigid)Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 7 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said: First ballot I would hope... Nah, no chance I'm missing out on Thanksgiving. My nephew has just started talking and I need to ensure he says my name before he says my sister's. I'll be driving back Friday morning across southern Vermont anyway. That'll give me my snow fix assuming the event materializes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 5 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: I know this is 10:1, but the Euro had 4 separate events: Thanksgiving-Black Friday Evening 12/4-morning 12/5 December 8th And one right at hr 360 on the 10th Combine that with the extremely cold air mass arriving next week, this actually would feel like a legit start to winter and march uson a kickstart towards some seasonal numbers (that air mass coming is frigid) Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Well, this is a very vague map as we know and this can ( will ) change dramatically in One direction or the other depending on what transpires. But of course, with my optimistic side, we will pull those deep magentas down into Connecticut. :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 Well, this is a very vague map as we know and this can ( will ) change dramatically in One direction or the other depending on what transpires. But of course, with my optimistic side, we will pull those deep magentas down into Connecticut. :-)Yeah, well, regardless...This is cold cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 42 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said: First ballot I would hope... Nah, no chance I'm missing out on Thanksgiving. My nephew has just started talking and I need to ensure he says my name before he says my sister's. I'll be driving back Friday morning across southern Vermont anyway. That'll give me my snow fix assuming the event materializes. It's a fun age. I like to teach them new words. Mine! and No! Always goes over well with the siblings. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 How about we just make our own snow maps! 1 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: How about we just make our own snow maps! I like it...but in all seriousness, I think some are just raising the point that there is a decent window of opportunity coming right at a time when most want to see winter start, and its been a while. It's more the pushback against the "no frost til Christmas, new normal, cold and dry, stein forever" stuff. I don't think anyone past 4th grade takes those clowns seriously...even my 7th grader sees something on social media and is like "dad, don't they get it's a clown map" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 30 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: Yeah, well, regardless... This is cold cold Ah yes. The first d15 euro run of vodka cold of the season. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 4 minutes ago, bwt3650 said: I like it...but in all seriousness, I think some are just raising the point that there is a decent window of opportunity coming right at a time when most want to see winter start, and its been a while. It's more the pushback against the "no frost til Christmas, new normal, cold and dry, stein forever" stuff. I don't think anyone past 4th grade takes those clowns seriously...even my 7th grader sees something on social media and is like "dad, don't they get it's a clown map" I don't know about that. I mean maybe here on this place, some people don't but I still question that. More times than not storms get hyped up 6-7-8 days out because the snow maps go bonkers and literally 95% of the discussion revolves around the 10:1 and Kuchera maps from 20 different models, 3% of the discussion is actually looking at and applying meteorology, and the other 2% consists of back-and-forth bickering because person A isn't happy with where they are with respect to the storm so cry bust while person B is very happy and calls overperformer because they got crushed. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 2 hours ago, dryslot said: This would probably be more realistic. Yea, "closer". But what the hell is going on with these algorithms..? You look at the run and there's not 1 hour of modeled snowfall output for DAW...Similar for N ORH and yet somehow even the depth change shows 4" otg... SMH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 1 minute ago, jbenedet said: Yea, "closer". But what the hell is going on with these algorithms..? You look at the run and there's not 1 hour of modeled snowfall output for DAW... and yet somehow even the depth change shows 4" otg. Yeah, I don't place a whole lot of stock in any of those maps but that seems to be closer to reality in some of the areas, Just have to look at soundings for a general consensus of what actually could be reality for any locale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 3 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Yea, "closer". But what the hell is going on with these algorithms..? You look at the run and there's not 1 hour of modeled snowfall output for DAW...Similar for N ORH and yet somehow even the depth change shows 4" otg... SMH 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 25 Share Posted November 25 Too much reading into shitty products. Gotta use forecast soundings. But the coarseness of some of those map grids looks larger than legos. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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