Blowvember - and not named for wind potential

[Damage In Tolland]

Winds are roaring tonight. Gusts well over 40 last hour or so 

[DavisStraight]

Looks like snow showers sweeping through Ct too.

[MJO812]

Nam would be a banger for interior area's 

[WinterWolf]

10 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Nam would be a banger for interior area's 

Map?

[ariof]

10 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Nam would be a banger for interior area's 

Nice little battle with the NAM and Euro in one corner and the GFS and Canadian in the other.

[mahk_webstah]

27 minutes ago, ariof said:

Nice little battle with the NAM and Euro in one corner and the GFS and Canadian in the other.

Nam at 4 days out?

[ineedsnow]

5 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Nam at 4 days out?

84 hrs  but might have been good for some   0z GFS with a whiff still

[HIPPYVALLEY]

7 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

84 hrs  but might have been good for some   0z GFS with a whiff still

Hopefully this whiffs and is just cloudy with possible passing showers for the coast.  I would look to the period from 12-5 to 12-9 for something more wintery exciting region wide.

[mreaves]

4 hours ago, dryslot said:

Yes, They would do well up there from KHUL north.

 

4 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

That’s what I figured…Houlton on up.  Let’s lay down a little white carpet.  

Not helpful for my trip. We’ll probably leave Tuesday afternoon and drive to Bangor and finish the drive to PI Wednesday morning. 

[ineedsnow]

21 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Hopefully this whiffs and is just cloudy with possible passing showers for the coast.  I would look to the period from 12-5 to 12-9 for something more wintery exciting region wide.

CMC further south this run   GEFS has some fun members  

[ineedsnow]

ukie is really nice 

[Prismshine Productions]

Good bit of spread...


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[Prismshine Productions]

6z NAM looks perfect...

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[CoastalWx]

Euro is amped while 6z gfs focuses on the secondary follow up wave for Friday. Still no real consensus.

[ineedsnow]

2 hours ago, Prismshine Productions said:

6z NAM looks perfect...

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that would be sweet 

[ineedsnow]

11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro is amped while 6z gfs focuses on the secondary follow up wave for Friday. Still no real consensus.

6z Euro is still amped ..  crazy how close in were getting and we still don't have a clue.. hopefully 12z converges today

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

6z Euro is still amped ..  crazy how close in were getting and we still don't have a clue.. hopefully 12z converges today

My guess is still a compromise, but the 6z gfs introduces a more interesting solution.

[ineedsnow]

15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

My guess is still a compromise, but the 6z gfs introduces a more interesting solution.

6z EPS still north.. I was hoping to see some kind of change

[CoastalWx]

12 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

6z EPS still north.. I was hoping to see some kind of change

Big s/w differences where the euro keeps the initial s/w much stronger while the 6z gfs has the initial s/w weaker and south while the secondary s/w is stronger and helps the Friday system. 

[Patrick-02540]

7 hours ago, ineedsnow said:

ukie is really nice 

That classic "Nipples into CT" look. 

[CoastalWx]

That Friday low on the gfs is still an interior deal, but would include many more vs for NNE. Potentially into the 128-495 area. 
 

I think the rest of the coastals peeps wait until after 12/5. Maybe a few flurries or shsn next week. 

[ineedsnow]

30 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That Friday low on the gfs is still an interior deal, but would include many more vs for NNE. Potentially into the 128-495 area. 
 

I think the rest of the coastals peeps wait until after 12/5. Maybe a few flurries or shsn next week. 

Just this once I would like the 84hr NAM to be right.  I think here we start as snow atleast but as of now it's close

[moneypitmike]

I'm not sure if I'll be at Pit1d or Pit2.  Not sure whether it will matter, though I suspect Pit2 *might* be the better option.

[Damage In Tolland]

Stein is going to be the way this one goes. Euro will fold 

[weatherwiz]

44 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That Friday low on the gfs is still an interior deal, but would include many more vs for NNE. Potentially into the 128-495 area. 
 

I think the rest of the coastals peeps wait until after 12/5. Maybe a few flurries or shsn next week. 

Kind of sucks that shortwave is trailing by so much coming across the Lakes.

But then again...with our luck any interaction would proably just net cyclogenesis in the HV  

[ineedsnow]

14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Stein is going to be the way this one goes. Euro will fold 

Even if the Euro did fold its still not Stein though 

[MJO812]

No stein on models for Thanksgiving 

[MJO812]

15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Stein is going to be the way this one goes. Euro will fold 

Euro AI folded to a warm solution 

Gfs also at 6z

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

No stein on models for Thanksgiving 

Ya rain or snow definitely going to get something. Stein is gone for now

[OceanStWx]

59 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That Friday low on the gfs is still an interior deal, but would include many more vs for NNE. Potentially into the 128-495 area. 
 

I think the rest of the coastals peeps wait until after 12/5. Maybe a few flurries or shsn next week. 

Interesting system for the cluster analysis. There are definitely clusters (the flatter ones) that have lower mean snowfall, but all of the clusters have a solid 90th percentile event. So even the upper end of the flat members can produce a good low end warning event.