Damage In Tolland Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 44 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: It’s coming… Beer just flowing out of the nozzle into your mouth! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 December of yore coming? Need new thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: It’s coming… Cautiously optimistic. Haven’t seen signs of the N PAC turning to crap. If anything, it improves as we get closer. Things can still go wrong but much better hemispheric look compared to recent winters. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Cautiously optimistic. Haven’t seen signs of the N PAC turning to crap. If anything, it improves as we get closer. Things can still go wrong but much better hemispheric look compared to recent winters. Oh I understand, there’s definitely reason to be cautious still, I agree. But I’d rather see this showing up than not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 Hopefully we go big like '89 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 37 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z GFS would have all our ponds frozen by the first week of December. Pattern of yore. I’ll be sending myself through said ice if it’s accompanied by dry 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 30 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I’ll be sending myself through said ice if it’s accompanied by dry Lol…frigid here, with snow in Raleigh and Richmond. Ya, that’s always a risk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 NIMBY, but a lake effect event looms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 Looking very winter-esque. Potential for a few events over the next 2 weeks. Something to track and scrutinize is better than nothing. One at a time, awaiting the thread... AND SO, IT BEGINS 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 2 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said: I think one of the biggest stories of this subforum is that of all the weenies here, winter has broken you the most. I remember a time when you preached optimism and patience. The past half decade of futility has throughly beaten that out of you. Puts Scooter’s heel turn to shame lol. It’s difficult to remain optimistic during a stretch of winter like this. Things do look more promising on the models but I have been burned way too many times the past few years buying in when they look good. Hopefully this year and the next few years make up for all the garbage we had after the great 2017-2018 winter. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 57 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I’ll be sending myself through said ice if it’s accompanied by dry I’d rather have cold and dry than warm. At least if it’s cold and dry the ski resorts can make snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 2 hours ago, CT Valley Snowman said: About .5 here so far. Not as much as some areas but grateful nevertheless. Same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 .92" and climbing @ 43F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Cautiously optimistic. Haven’t seen signs of the N PAC turning to crap. If anything, it improves as we get closer. Things can still go wrong but much better hemispheric look compared to recent winters. yup. you’d have to turn the clock a back a decade for looks like these 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said: December of yore coming? Need new thread Did you drop a package on your head? Doesn't sound like you. 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 2 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: yup. you’d have to turn the clock a back a decade for looks like these Damm, I don't want to get sucked in this early, but how we pray! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 @ORH_wxman and to your point, both Greenland and the N Pac have only trended better over the last few days opposite of the last few years 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said: Hopefully we go big like '89 Nah 93-94 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 In regards to the winter it looks like we dodged a bullet in regards to ENSO. The rapid warming in region 1.2 is indicative of a shift toward a modoki cold ENSO pattern. That’s an unfavorable structure but ENSO is so weak it likely won’t matter, if we had that shift to a modoki but with a moderate to strong La Niña like the models showed in spring to early summer that would have been bad news. There are a wide range of possibilities, but unlike last year we are in the game. Last year was cooked from the start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 2 minutes ago, George001 said: In regards to the winter it looks like we dodged a bullet in regards to ENSO. The rapid warming in region 1.2 is indicative of a shift toward a modoki cold ENSO pattern. That’s an unfavorable structure but ENSO is so weak it likely won’t matter, if we had that shift to a modoki but with a moderate to strong La Niña like the models showed in spring to early summer that would have been bad news. There are a wide range of possibilities, but unlike last year we are in the game. Last year was cooked from the start. Well keep in mind with respect to SST's, region 1.2 is most volatile and susceptible to rapid delta's. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z GFS would have all our ponds frozen by the first week of December. Pattern of yore. they will freeze quick since the drought has drained every single pond in New England down to puddles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 0z HRRR tomorrow night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 0z HRRR tomorrow night And....... That's good for.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 Rains ramping back up as the surface low starts to back in. 0.88” so far 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 9 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 0z HRRR tomorrow night Don’t do it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 3 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: And....... That's good for.... The hills not a ton but would whiten things up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Don’t do it not yet but getting closer to doing it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: not yet but getting closer to doing it Don't listen to him, go ahead do it!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted November 22 Author Share Posted November 22 33 minutes ago, kdxken said: Did you drop a package on your head? Doesn't sound like you. Post of the month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 I would be more optimistic about getting snow from this storm if 1. I was not east of the low 2. it wasn’t raining outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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