Blowvember - and not named for wind potential

[Damage In Tolland]

44 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

It’s coming…

Beer just flowing out of the nozzle into your mouth!

[Torch Tiger]

December of yore coming?  Need new thread

[ORH_wxman]

5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

It’s coming…

Cautiously optimistic. Haven’t seen signs of the N PAC turning to crap. If anything, it improves as we get closer. 

Things can still go wrong but much better hemispheric look compared to recent winters.

 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Cautiously optimistic. Haven’t seen signs of the N PAC turning to crap. If anything, it improves as we get closer. 

Things can still go wrong but much better hemispheric look compared to recent winters.

 

Oh I understand, there’s definitely reason to be  cautious still, I agree. But I’d rather see this showing up than not. 

[Torch Tiger]

Hopefully we go big like '89 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

37 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

18z GFS would have all our ponds frozen by the first week of December. Pattern of yore. 

I’ll be sending myself through said ice if it’s accompanied by dry 

[WinterWolf]

30 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I’ll be sending myself through said ice if it’s accompanied by dry 

Lol…frigid here, with snow in Raleigh and Richmond.  Ya, that’s always a risk. 

[cleetussnow]

NIMBY, but a lake effect event looms.  

[ROOSTA]

Looking very winter-esque. Potential for a few events over the next 2 weeks. Something to track and scrutinize is better than nothing.
One at a time, awaiting the thread... 
AND SO, IT BEGINS 
 

[George001]

2 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I think one of the biggest stories of this subforum is that of all the weenies here, winter has broken you the most. I remember a time when you preached optimism and patience. 

The past half decade of futility has throughly beaten that out of you.  

Puts Scooter’s heel turn to shame lol.

It’s difficult to remain optimistic during a stretch of winter like this. Things do look more promising on the models but I have been burned way too many times the past few years buying in when they look good. Hopefully this year and the next few years make up for all the garbage we had after the great 2017-2018 winter.

[George001]

57 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I’ll be sending myself through said ice if it’s accompanied by dry 

I’d rather have cold and dry than warm. At least if it’s cold and dry the ski resorts can make snow.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

2 hours ago, CT Valley Snowman said:

About .5 here so far.  Not as much as some areas but grateful nevertheless.  

Same. 

[512high]

.92" and climbing @ 43F

[brooklynwx99]

1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

Cautiously optimistic. Haven’t seen signs of the N PAC turning to crap. If anything, it improves as we get closer. 

Things can still go wrong but much better hemispheric look compared to recent winters.

 

yup. you’d have to turn the clock a back a decade for looks like these 

[kdxken]

1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said:

December of yore coming?  Need new thread

Did you drop a package on your head? Doesn't sound like you.

[512high]

2 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

yup. you’d have to turn the clock a back a decade for looks like these 

Damm, I don't want to get sucked in this early, but how we pray! 

[brooklynwx99]

@ORH_wxman and to your point, both Greenland and the N Pac have only trended better over the last few days 

opposite of the last few years

[Dan76]

1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said:

Hopefully we go big like '89 

Nah 93-94

[George001]

In regards to the winter it looks like we dodged a bullet in regards to ENSO. The rapid warming in region 1.2 is indicative of a shift toward a modoki cold ENSO pattern. That’s an unfavorable structure but ENSO is so weak it likely won’t matter, if we had that shift to a modoki but with a moderate to strong La Niña like the models showed in spring to early summer that would have been bad news. There are a wide range of possibilities, but unlike last year we are in the game. Last year was cooked from the start.

[weatherwiz]

2 minutes ago, George001 said:

In regards to the winter it looks like we dodged a bullet in regards to ENSO. The rapid warming in region 1.2 is indicative of a shift toward a modoki cold ENSO pattern. That’s an unfavorable structure but ENSO is so weak it likely won’t matter, if we had that shift to a modoki but with a moderate to strong La Niña like the models showed in spring to early summer that would have been bad news. There are a wide range of possibilities, but unlike last year we are in the game. Last year was cooked from the start.

Well keep in mind with respect to SST's, region 1.2 is most volatile and susceptible to rapid delta's.   

[SJonesWX]

2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

18z GFS would have all our ponds frozen by the first week of December. Pattern of yore. 

they will freeze quick since the drought has drained every single pond in New England down to puddles 

[ineedsnow]

0z HRRR tomorrow night 

[Snowcrazed71]

5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

0z HRRR tomorrow night 

And....... That's good for.... 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Rains ramping back up as the surface low starts to back in. 
 

0.88” so far

[Damage In Tolland]

9 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

0z HRRR tomorrow night 

Don’t do it 

[ineedsnow]

3 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

And....... That's good for.... 

The hills   not a ton but would whiten things up

[ineedsnow]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Don’t do it 

not yet but getting closer to doing it 

[Snowcrazed71]

2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

not yet but getting closer to doing it 

Don't listen to him, go ahead do it!!

[Go Kart Mozart]

33 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Did you drop a package on your head? Doesn't sound like you.

Post of the month.

[George001]

I would be more optimistic about getting snow from this storm if 

1. I was not east of the low

2. it wasn’t raining outside