ineedsnow Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Check around . You’ll see it if you took off the snow goggles for 2 minutes lowest I can find for your area is 0.9 and that's the 18z RGEM everything else is 1 to 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 20 Share Posted November 20 14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Some of the Hi res is now well under an inch for much of the region . May it not be correct . 3 1 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 Mount Shasta is the place to be This Afternoon Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Widespread blowing snow. Steady temperature around 8. Wind chill values as low as -28. Windy, with a south southwest wind around 100 mph, with gusts as high as 125 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 24 to 30 inches possible. Tonight Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Widespread blowing snow. Temperature rising to around 15 by 5am. Wind chill values as low as -25. Windy, with a southwest wind 90 to 95 mph decreasing to 80 to 85 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 115 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 30 to 36 inches possible. Thursday Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Widespread blowing snow. High near 18. Wind chill values as low as -18. Windy, with a south southwest wind 70 to 75 mph, with gusts as high as 110 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 21 to 27 inches possible. Thursday Night Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Widespread blowing snow. Low around 13. Wind chill values as low as -13. Windy, with a south southwest wind 70 to 80 mph decreasing to 55 to 65 mph. Winds could gust as high as 115 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 18 to 24 inches possible. Friday Snow showers. The snow could be heavy at times. Widespread blowing snow. High near 19. Windy, with a south wind 55 to 60 mph increasing to 65 to 70 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 105 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 12 to 18 inches possible. Friday Night Snow showers. The snow could be heavy at times. Widespread blowing snow. Low around 8. Windy. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 8 to 12 inches possible. Saturday Snow showers likely, mainly before 10am. Widespread blowing snow, mainly before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 11. Windy. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 19 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: He may be a herpes fan 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 Tornado warning on the west coast of Washington right now.. When is the last time that happened in November.. I'll say never Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 9 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Mt. Tolland is the place to be This Afternoon Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Widespread blowing snow. Steady temperature around 8. Wind chill values as low as -28. Windy, with a south southwest wind around 100 mph, with gusts as high as 125 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 24 to 30 inches possible. Tonight Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Widespread blowing snow. Temperature rising to around 15 by 5am. Wind chill values as low as -25. Windy, with a southwest wind 90 to 95 mph decreasing to 80 to 85 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 115 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 30 to 36 inches possible. Thursday Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Widespread blowing snow. High near 18. Wind chill values as low as -18. Windy, with a south southwest wind 70 to 75 mph, with gusts as high as 110 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 21 to 27 inches possible. Thursday Night Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Widespread blowing snow. Low around 13. Wind chill values as low as -13. Windy, with a south southwest wind 70 to 80 mph decreasing to 55 to 65 mph. Winds could gust as high as 115 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 18 to 24 inches possible. Friday Snow showers. The snow could be heavy at times. Widespread blowing snow. High near 19. Windy, with a south wind 55 to 60 mph increasing to 65 to 70 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 105 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 12 to 18 inches possible. Friday Night Snow showers. The snow could be heavy at times. Widespread blowing snow. Low around 8. Windy. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 8 to 12 inches possible. Saturday Snow showers likely, mainly before 10am. Widespread blowing snow, mainly before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 11. Windy. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible Fixed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 49 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Your election prediction and information during Election Day was incredible. Great stuff. Unbelievably accurate Thanks man. Being a truth-seeker isn't easy on that topic....my style is def more suited for the weather side. 45 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s not going to do much of anything Friday night. Sun comes out for part of the day at least I wouldn't dismiss Friday night so handily....I'm not expecting some huge surprise snowstorm, but there could def be a burst of moderate or even heavy snow over elevated interior with that deep ULL moving just underneath us. I think temps would mostly prohibit any accumulation (except again, higher terrain if we cna get a moderate burst or better)...but first flakes are possible for many. Could even be a nasty cold steady rain on the coastal plain for a few hours friday night. We'll see, but unstable atmosphere with a bit of inflow should always be watched a bit. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 7 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Tornado warning on the west coast of Washington right now.. When is the last time that happened in November.. I'll say never I don’t think it’s too totally uncommon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Thanks man. Being a truth-seeker isn't easy on that topic....my style is def more suited for the weather side. I wouldn't dismiss Friday night so handily....I'm not expecting some huge surprise snowstorm, but there could def be a burst of moderate or even heavy snow over elevated interior with that deep ULL moving just underneath us. I think temps would mostly prohibit any accumulation (except again, higher terrain if we cna get a moderate burst or better)...but first flakes are possible for many. Could even be a nasty cold steady rain on the coastal plain for a few hours friday night. We'll see, but unstable atmosphere with a bit of inflow should always be watched a bit. I'm hoping for a surprise but not counting on it. some models are making me go hmmm though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I don’t think it’s too totally uncommon really in November? that surprises me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Thanks man. Being a truth-seeker isn't easy on that topic....my style is def more suited for the weather side. I wouldn't dismiss Friday night so handily....I'm not expecting some huge surprise snowstorm, but there could def be a burst of moderate or even heavy snow over elevated interior with that deep ULL moving just underneath us. I think temps would mostly prohibit any accumulation (except again, higher terrain if we cna get a moderate burst or better)...but first flakes are possible for many. Could even be a nasty cold steady rain on the coastal plain for a few hours friday night. We'll see, but unstable atmosphere with a bit of inflow should always be watched a bit. Ineedsnow is all freaking in . Issuing a WSW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 1 hour ago, Allsnow said: Your election prediction and information during Election Day was incredible. Great stuff. Unbelievably accurate Thanks bro. We tried to tell em it would be a landslide. Many, many times 2 1 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Ineedsnow is all freaking in . Issuing a WSW lol not yet.. just watching for now.. But some models look fun.. if it starts looking better tomorrow I'll be excited Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 With how intense the systems they can get in the Fall they can get some decent instability along the coast. IIRC the west coast states (CA, WA, OR) their peak is usually fall. 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: really in November? that surprises me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 4 hours ago, WinterWolf said: Earlier because in early November, you were writing off first half of December too. That only changed as the modeling started to show signs of a change in early December. Now the change has moved up some to very end of November. I said the window was into early December. Yeesh. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Thanks bro. We tried to tell em it would be a landslide. Many, many times Just like the Cowboys last several games. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 2 minutes ago, mreaves said: Just like the Cowboys last several games. I actually told a bunch of these guys here in our text group I was expecting a very ugly Dallas season this year. They’ll verify that . I worried about the run defense, no RB, and lack of depth at WR. Unfortunately they’re even worse than I thought and I didn’t expect them to be better than .500 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 Dak going down didn't help the cause but there's a lot more issues on the team then just him. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I said the window was into early December. Yeesh. Not at first you didn’t…especially in our text group. You were selling the first half at first. That’s exactly why I was pushing back on you..because it was too far out at the time to do that. But We’ll leave it at that. It’s all good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 This is wild. You’d never think this would happen to this extent in SNE . So many of these all over . https://x.com/massdfs/status/1859379360223916470?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 there it is … nice moderate flat wave event 28/29th scary to suggest this for an 18z gfs run … talkin over a week away, but that really is the best fit construct for the type pattering at that time. I mentioned this earlier … not the euro, but stretched system type yes. Unless there’s some fundamental changes in the pattern foot. hell it is 8.5 days out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: there it is … nice moderate flat wave event 28/29th scary to suggest this for an 18z gfs run … talkin over a week away, but that really is the best fit construct for the type pattering at that time. I mentioned this earlier … not the euro, but stretched system type yes. Unless there’s some fundamental changes in the pattern foot. hell it is 8.5 days out. One thing very nice synoptically about that setup is the TPV stretch lobe to our north and northeast. It really acts as a brick wall holding in a pretty legit airmass. That’s obviously key this early in the season to realizing any significant winter threat. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: This is wild. You’d never think this would happen to this extent in SNE . So many of these all over . https://x.com/massdfs/status/1859379360223916470?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg I dare say this has been an epic “flash” drought. Far more impactful imo than a summer one where there’s little precipitation, but daily dews are in the 60s or 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 Hopefully next week pans out into something, whether it’s rain, snow, or a mix. It would even be better if this storm, plus next week are indicators of more active times but after next week we very well could go back into a quieter regime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: I dare say this has been an epic “flash” drought. Far more impactful imo than a summer one where there’s little precipitation, but daily dews are in the 60s or 70s. We’ll have to see how the winter precip looks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: One thing very nice synoptically about that setup is the TPV stretch lobe to our north and northeast. It really acts as a brick wall holding in a pretty legit airmass. That’s obviously key this early in the season to realizing any significant winter threat. For those who like visuals…you can see what I mean on the H5 plot here. Stretched out TPV lobe to our north and northeast which really holds that high in by acting as a brick wall and forcing the confluence with the trough moving eastward. That look has been largely absent the last couple winters. 4 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 22 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I dare say this has been an epic “flash” drought. Far more impactful imo than a summer one where there’s little precipitation, but daily dews are in the 60s or 70s. Less heat though during the fall like this time. We had a pretty bad drought a few years back(maybe ‘21?) all summer and into September. 90’s cooking everything. That imo was worse than this. But that’s just me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted November 21 Author Share Posted November 21 1 hour ago, cleetussnow said: Fixed. Yup, Mt. Tolland rakes on those S-SW wind events. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: I actually told a bunch of these guys here in our text group I was expecting a very ugly Dallas season this year. They’ll verify that . I worried about the run defense, no RB, and lack of depth at WR. Unfortunately they’re even worse than I thought and I didn’t expect them to be better than .500 I have no room to mock anyone as a Dolphins fan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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