Blowvember - and not named for wind potential

[dryslot]

12z GFS with 2.7" qpf here late week.

[ineedsnow]

5 minutes ago, dryslot said:

12z GFS with 2.7" qpf here late week.

Seems to have a dual low off the coast.. either way lots of much needed rain coming 

[WxWatcher007]

2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Huge fire in Great Barrington . Very smoky in parts of CT

 

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

 

Could certainly smell it…zero haze thiygh. Clear as a bell. 

[weathafella]

I actually didn’t mind 2001-02.  You knew winter was cooked very quickly so it was kind of relaxing.

[Torch Tiger]

Newport RI today. Trees still have leaves, bees and hornets buzzing around, it's crazy

[ma blizzard]

cold run of the GFS past D10 to start December .. would be quite a change from recent years 

[Lava Rock]

55F. Just another above avg day in Nov

[metagraphica]

59 IMBY.  Another fantastic fall day.

[tamarack]

42 minutes ago, ma blizzard said:

cold run of the GFS past D10 to start December .. would be quite a change from recent years 

The greatest negative departures here since Feb 2023 were Dec 6-8 last year (-13/-19/-14.  That said, I had to go back to 12/2018 to find more early Dec cold.

[MJO812]

51 minutes ago, ma blizzard said:

cold run of the GFS past D10 to start December .. would be quite a change from recent years 

And euro

[weathafella]

Gefs look like fun.  Hopefully it holds.

[Brian5671]

1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said:

Newport RI today. Trees still have leaves, bees and hornets buzzing around, it's crazy

Can still hear some crickets hanging on here at night.  LOL

[MJO812]

8 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Gefs look like fun.  Hopefully it holds.

Euro also

[weatherwiz]

Maybe we can combine all those periods the "EPS looked good" from last year, the winter before, and the winter before that with the upcoming "EPS looks good" period to produce one of the most prolific stretches ever. 

[brooklynwx99]

27 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Maybe we can combine all those periods the "EPS looked good" from last year, the winter before, and the winter before that with the upcoming "EPS looks good" period to produce one of the most prolific stretches ever. 

not saying that this is the year (it probably isn't), but with CC, you're going to get more crap winters than normal. however, when you do get a good winter, it's probably going to break records in places. you just have more moisture to work with. 2013-14 or 2014-15 with more oomph can cancel out the last 3-5 years of boredom

[kdxken]

 

[WxWatcher007]

Let’s get a storm like this during winter. 1mb every ten minutes lol. What a beaut. 

 

[weatherwiz]

3 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

not saying that this is the year (it probably isn't), but with CC, you're going to get more crap winters than normal. however, when you do get a good winter, it's probably going to break records in places. you just have more moisture to work with. 2013-14 or 2014-15 with more oomph can cancel out the last 3-5 years of boredom

Agreed on all that.

[tunafish]

The emojis have officially jumped the shark.

 

52°

[ma blizzard]

2 hours ago, tamarack said:

The greatest negative departures here since Feb 2023 were Dec 6-8 last year (-13/-19/-14.  That said, I had to go back to 12/2018 to find more early Dec cold.

Interesting, seems like the cold was centered more towards NNE .. ORH put up departures of -3.8 / -9.5 / -3.2 for that stretch 

[ma blizzard]

58 minutes ago, tunafish said:

The emojis have officially jumped the shark.

 

52°

I hate to say this but if we are already at a Discord level of reactions, might as well have a stein option  

[brooklynwx99]

really good agreement on all ensembles for a -EPO/-WPO pattern to form with cross polar flow. want to see this get inside the D5-7 range, though it is encouraging

[WinterWolf]

1 hour ago, brooklynwx99 said:

not saying that this is the year (it probably isn't), but with CC, you're going to get more crap winters than normal. however, when you do get a good winter, it's probably going to break records in places. you just have more moisture to work with. 2013-14 or 2014-15 with more oomph can cancel out the last 3-5 years of boredom

There were plenty of suck ass winters 40 years ago too…just saying. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

3 hours ago, ma blizzard said:

cold run of the GFS past D10 to start December .. would be quite a change from recent years 

December on the whole has featured so little cold and snow here over the last 15 years. It’s really not even a winter month anymore in this area.

Boxing day (which was very late Dec) and the mixed bag storm in Dec 2020 before Christmas are pretty much it here for memorable events in the last decade and a half.

[Torch Tiger]

1 hour ago, tunafish said:

The emojis have officially jumped the shark.

 

52°

yet no Stein, which is far and away the most requested

[SouthCoastMA]

1 hour ago, brooklynwx99 said:

not saying that this is the year (it probably isn't), but with CC, you're going to get more crap winters than normal. however, when you do get a good winter, it's probably going to break records in places. you just have more moisture to work with. 2013-14 or 2014-15 with more oomph can cancel out the last 3-5 years of boredom

That's my take as well. Hope it pans out

[WxWatcher007]

43 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

really good agreement on all ensembles for a -EPO/-WPO pattern to form with cross polar flow. want to see this get inside the D5-7 range, though it is encouraging

 

2 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

Maybe we can combine all those periods the "EPS looked good" from last year, the winter before, and the winter before that with the upcoming "EPS looks good" period to produce one of the most prolific stretches ever. 

Wiz says the blues are really reds. The lines are inverted. Torch coming.  

[WinterWolf]

12 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

December on the whole has featured so little cold and snow here over the last 15 years. It’s really not even a winter month anymore in this area.

Boxing day (which was very late Dec) and the mixed bag storm in Dec 2020 before Christmas are pretty much it here for memorable events in the last decade and a half.

Gee… I can remember a couple of December snow storms of late. 12/3/19, 12/17/20  were  pretty nice ones here. 

[Cold Miser]

9 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Gee… I can remember a couple of December snow storms of late. 12/3/19, 12/17/20  were  pretty nice ones here. 

Hopefully, There's snow on the ground for Snodeo weekend in Old Forge