Blowvember - and not named for wind potential

[Snowcrazed71]

37 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

just keeps trending better

Not if you ask DIT..lol

[WinterWolf]

34 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Not if you ask DIT..lol

Don’t you worry, if the trend continues he’ll be on board like a dog on a weenie.  It’s All part of the game/act. 

[ineedsnow]

12 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Don’t you worry, if the trend continues he’ll be on board like a dog on a weenie.  It’s All part of the game/act. 

0z Euro has a little bit of snow here now.. all the 0z models have trended better but still so far out

[Modfan2]

Down to 26F here in E CT, cold but no frost in the ground.  Let’s see how this week modeling goes; the trend has been more north this season as we get closer

[Damage In Tolland]

5 hours ago, ineedsnow said:

0z Euro has a little bit of snow here now.. all the 0z models have trended better but still so far out

Most models have a narrow band of rain and dry slot. Not a heavy soaking rain 

[CoastalWx]

Sell that nonsense. 

[dendrite]

Pretty extreme differences in temps this morning depending on if you decoupled or not. 

[WinterWolf]

1 hour ago, Modfan2 said:

Down to 26F here in E CT, cold but no frost in the ground.  Let’s see how this week modeling goes; the trend has been more north this season as we get closer

Wow, 42 here. 

[Modfan2]

4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Wow, 42 here. 

I sit in a valley on my side of town, about 250’ in elevation.

[Damage In Tolland]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Sell that nonsense. 

Beer got a couple of em’ wild last night. 

[WinterWolf]

15 minutes ago, Modfan2 said:

I sit in a valley on my side of town, about 250’ in elevation.

Ya, that place radiates like mad. You and Spanks. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Back in our younger days when winters started in Nov and ended in May

https://x.com/nwsboston/status/1858117883865252089?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

[MJO812]

6z Euro would be nice for the interior

[Snowcrazed71]

45 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Back in our younger days when winters started in Nov and ended in May

https://x.com/nwsboston/status/1858117883865252089?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

Fake news

[dendrite]

47 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Back in our younger days when winters started in Nov and ended in May

https://x.com/nwsboston/status/1858117883865252089?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

John Adams was def slant sticking

[WinterWolf]

The folks a couple hundred years from now will read about the Octobomb from 2011, and say look…winter started before Halloween for the folks of the early 21st century. 

[jbenedet]

5 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

6z Euro would be nice for the interior

The best mid level height falls are already progged over the mid Atlantic.

The -NAO will be significant enough to send the whole anomaly south of NNE. So it wouldn't surprise me to see the interesting wintry weather more over elevations of PA, West Virginia and NJ, while near normal mid level heights are over northern NNE. 

 

 

[CoastalWx]

We had a great snow event 6 years ago.

[Typhoon Tip]

21 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

The best mid level height falls are already progged over the mid Atlantic.

The -NAO will be significant enough to send the whole anomaly south of NNE. So it wouldn't surprise me to see the interesting wintry weather more over elevations of PA, West Virginia and NJ, while near normal mid level heights are over northern NNE. 

 

 

yup ...the upside-down low scenario.   this is typically - I'd just caution a little - for models to do that complexion when dealing with marginality at the d5+ time range.  

it may be that we start to see some cyclonic domain cooling as the time approaches and the dynamic orientation ( physical feedbacks ...) become more coherent to the model processing. 

as an aside,  whatever happens, this looks to me like a more classic autumn season turner nor'easter - not so much for cold +/-, but heralds in the 'storm season'.   this was like this in the climate of old.  it's only been recently that our autumns have been weird.   anyway... nice to see that nostalgia there. 

i may thread this later ... the signal toward a nor'easter and potentially important one is gained a little here.  i mentioned last week that the actual telecon geography for this sort of western limbed -nao, is actually between the del marva and s of ns, so the previous pa with low stacking over water town was not impossible, just not as well correlated.   perhaps we are seeing the correction vector exerting here. 

i'm also a curious about a possible flat wave winter -like threat around the 27th give or take - so after this one.

 

[MJO812]

41 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

We had a great snow event 6 years ago.

And then winter was over 

[WinterWolf]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

We had a great snow event 6 years ago.

Yup.  That was a great early season SWFE.  

[moneypitmike]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

John Adams was def slant sticking

Slant sticking while drunk to boot.

[powderfreak]

1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

The folks a couple hundred years from now will read about the Octobomb from 2011, and say look…winter started before Halloween for the folks of the early 21st century. 

Then they’ll wonder why it never snowed again that whole winter lol.

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

Then they’ll wonder why it never snowed again that whole winter lol.

Yup…only snowed one more time that year here, in January, got about 7” from it and then that was it. 

[CoastalWx]

34 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

Slant sticking while drunk to boot.

Slant sticking, Mead, and avg height of 4’9”.

[ineedsnow]

12z GFS doing it again 

[ineedsnow]

[MJO812]

Congrats 

[MJO812]

Finally an active pattern on the models going forward

[Lava Rock]

59F, no wind, awesome day

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