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Blowvember - and not named for wind potential


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22 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

it was directed at kevin, because he attempted to spin what i said into a false impression/implication - and the twaddle that is out on social media that is consummately revealed by the trump supporter constituency as though it were fact, is preposterous dude.  sorry, it is -

as far as the other, america made a mistake - that can happen. 

and by the way... global warming is real, and it will cost humanity in increasing morality and destruction.  it is so real in fact, that many present day natural disasters can be mathematically ( you are school teacher - you should understand the incontrovertible aspect of math proof ) connected to wildly changing climate.  

I believe global warming is real and I believe men can’t have babies. Not sure how to vote.

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i know what you mean .. but just sayn'   the "pattern" is highly likely to change. 
it may be transient and short lived... but, that is about as high on a statistical chi test for verification potential as is physically possible in modern technology with that west -nao block and deep trough running underneath.  
it's a matter of ironing out the details.   
see ... some times, you can be more certain about a mid or even extended range look.   this thing we're looking at with the north american set up was sniffed out 12 days ago actually, by pure index interpretation alone - i know..  i wrote about it.   and well, ... here we are, the operational runs emerged into that correlation.   that behavior alone is typically a higher confidence predictor.  etc...
it's when we're flying along with nothing to look at and no leading indicators, and then all the sudden ... d9 has a bomb that lasts for 3 days of guidance - but uh uh uh ... d5 it disappears. that was never a higher confidence - ... there's all kinds of examples in either direction.   the good fellas know which ones are which
You should write a book

Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

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it's been rarefying, sure tho. 
correction to what Kevin just said... I did not 'make a call' for a 'big nor'easter'   - i made a generic implication interpretation of where those particular ensemble means appear to be trending. 
this is how the trump supporters create their fake realities and then believe in them.   someone prevaricates an interpretation, ...then, their audience, being of cutting edge sharp intellectual pedigree rural red origin as they are ... they go ahead and 'analyze' what's said and shockingly, can't come up with any reason to question it.   budda boom budda bing ... alternative reality is painted and the hapless contingent of morons are thusly guidance by an illusion
 

Without taking a side, your condescending thoughts and those who speak the same, are a giant reason why the election turned out the way it did. On to weather!


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18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

The models keep bringing the heavier rain farther and farther north. And we’ve still got 5 days 

And you more than anyone else should know that 5 days from now will not be the outcome. I know that systems in the past several weeks have dried out when they've reached us. But this is a whole different circumstance. We haven't had something like this coming at us for quite some time. 

Keep the faith

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1 hour ago, bwt3650 said:


Without taking a side, your condescending thoughts and those who speak the same, are a giant reason why the election turned out the way it did. On to weather!


.also other shit that’s exactly what you just did

“ without taking a side”?

You just took a side

now the reason why the election turned out the way it did is because America’s been dumb down across successive generations and now lack objective sufficient filters

Truth is not condescension just because you don’t like the sound of it

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Interesting that the GEFS keep trending towards this -WPO/+EPO/-NAO look to end November and start December. 
 

The +EPO sounds bad but it’s not because of the -WPO is still able to supply arctic cross-polar insert into the PJ…this is something @Typhoon Tip and I were discussing some last year…how even when we got brief bursts of favorable EPO, a staunchly positive WPO was really being a turd in the punchbowl helping so many colder patterns underperform. This time, it could help if the ensembles keep trending that way. That pattern would be fairly interesting around here I think to start December. 

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8 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

This is completely uncalled for.  I’m one of those supporters, and I don’t appreciate that.  Whether you like it or not, America spoke…LOUD N CLEAR. 

Yeah America spoke and showed the world how stupid they really are. 

Now you have Fox News Hosts and pedophiles in your cabinet but I guess that's par for the course today. Get ready for those tariffs... that'll really keep costs down lol. 

And as far as climate policy goes...yikes. Our faucets might have oil coming out of them.

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The beauty of following a weather forum is that it’s a hobby that’s sort of an escape from other aspects of life.

We can talk science and facts, but opinions are like assholes… everyone has one. We don’t need to see all of them, on either side.

30F here at 750ft and 41F at 1,600ft.  No snowmaking again above the inversion.

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“ without taking a side”?
You just took a side
now the reason why the election turned out the way it did is because America’s been dumb down across successive generations and now lack objective sufficient filters
Truth is not condescension just because you don’t like the sound of it

Tip, I’ve voted for both parties. You’re brilliant in the field of weather, but condescending at times. And implying that 74 million people are not of cutting edge intellect, isn’t trying to find common ground on some issues, it’s dividing and condescending…period. I’m not taking a political side; rather I’m pointing out that I saw a lot of dismissing of anyone’s views that didn’t share the same agenda recently and that rubbed me wrong, and I think many other people, which led to a somewhat shocking result. Doesn’t mean I rubber stamp every view from each party. Doesn’t mean I don’t belief the climate is changing if that’s where you’re going…But in life, I’ve found that listening and understanding why people have a view goes a lot further than a ridiculous belief that everyone who voted a certain way is just plain stupid.

I don’t pretend to have anywhere near the knowledge you do in weather; and I enjoy learning from you…but I can assure you, I’m not a dumbass.


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The beauty of following a weather forum is that it’s a hobby that’s sort of an escape from other aspects of life.
We can talk science and facts, but opinions are like assholes… everyone has one. We don’t need to see all of them, on either side.
30F here at 750ft and 41F at 1,600ft.  No snowmaking again above the inversion.

It takes one dumb comment to stir the nest…the most successful people surround themselves with people of different opinions, but who share them in a respectful way….it’ll all be deleted in the morning and we can get back to never ending warmth and stein vs. pattern change.


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1 minute ago, bwt3650 said:


Tip, I’ve voted for both parties. You’re brilliant in the field of weather, but condescending at times. And implying that 74 million people are not of cutting edge intellect, isn’t trying to find common ground on some issues, it’s dividing and condescending…period. I’m not taking a political side; rather I’m pointing out that I saw a lot of dismissing of anyone’s views that didn’t share the same agenda recently and that rubbed me wrong, and I think many other people, which led to a somewhat shocking result. Doesn’t mean I rubber stamp every view from each party. Doesn’t mean I don’t belief the climate is changing if that’s where you’re going…But in life, I’ve found that listening and understanding why people have a view goes a lot further than a ridiculous belief that everyone who voted a certain way is just plain stupid.

I don’t pretend to have anywhere near the knowledge you do in weather; and I enjoy learning from you…but I can assure you, I’m not a dumbass.


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Yeah, but as noted, the resulting appointment of a pedophile in the cabinet among other terrible picks, shows the "cutting edge" of the masses has gotten pretty dulled.

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17 minutes ago, bwt3650 said:


Tip, I’ve voted for both parties. You’re brilliant in the field of weather, but condescending at times. And implying that 74 million people are not of cutting edge intellect, isn’t trying to find common ground on some issues, it’s dividing and condescending…period. I’m not taking a political side; rather I’m pointing out that I saw a lot of dismissing of anyone’s views that didn’t share the same agenda recently and that rubbed me wrong, and I think many other people, which led to a somewhat shocking result. Doesn’t mean I rubber stamp every view from each party. Doesn’t mean I don’t belief the climate is changing if that’s where you’re going…But in life, I’ve found that listening and understanding why people have a view goes a lot further than a ridiculous belief that everyone who voted a certain way is just plain stupid.

I don’t pretend to have anywhere near the knowledge you do in weather; and I enjoy learning from you…but I can assure you, I’m not a dumbass.


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i never said 74 million people. 

it was ‘Trump supporters’ in generic context  

which unfortunately … falsity pervades in greater quotient in that sphere of culture - yes it does. That may not be you - okay  but you’re coming off as self-conscious

I wouldn’t bother damning a wholesale number of population when a significant #  of his voters were not really supporters of Trump - 

 

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Yeah America spoke and showed the world how stupid they really are. 
Now you have Fox News Hosts and pedophiles in your cabinet but I guess that's par for the course today. Get ready for those tariffs... that'll really keep costs down lol. 
And as far as climate policy goes...yikes. Our faucets might have oil coming out of them.

Yeah, I still think American is the most brilliant, shining beacon of a country the earth has ever seen and an election result doesn’t change that.

But sure.


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8 minutes ago, bwt3650 said:


Yeah, I still think American is the most brilliant, shining beacon of a country the earth has ever seen and an election result doesn’t change that.

But sure.


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this goes for everyone … let’s let it go 

no one’s changing any minds or moving any needles. 

just agree to disagree and move on to something fun. 

 

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