Damage In Tolland Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 7 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: At some point it’s going to happen…the bigger question is, will you know which time is the real deal? That would be much more impressive than just persistence. Shenipsit Reservoir that supplies some of Tolland and Vernon very low . Starting to see affects like this all over 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 https://x.com/keithmahler1/status/1857549111500877935?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: We’ve seen this story for the last 3 months. Modeled rains turning into nothing in SNE. Until it happens , it won’t So, since you're so confident that this won't happen. What are your thoughts? Are we not going to see rain at all for the rest of the winter? Is it going to stay warm for the majority of the winter? Enquiring minds want to know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 13 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: So, since you're so confident that this won't happen. What are your thoughts? Are we not going to see rain at all for the rest of the winter? Is it going to stay warm for the majority of the winter? Enquiring minds want to know It may never rain again, ever!! 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 The Super Moon was pretty cool this evening. Perfect "fake" cold conditions. Clear, calm, full moon. Those nights just have that vibe on the valley bottom. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 Off topic but does anyone know anything about Coyote behavior? All summer I've seen single coyotes or maybe a pair. Lately I've seen packs. Is this something they do in the winter? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 Just textbook conditions for a cold night and woodfire smoke in the valley bottoms. 700-800ft frozen again tonight (frost made it through the day in the shade) with skim ice on ponds. These would be snowmaking conditions, except the cold is in the wrong place. Meanwhile up Mountain Road at the base of the ski area its 40F. No snowmaking on the hill, while everyone in town thinks its a great cold night to make snow. Sometimes the inversions definitely create perception issues around here. "Why isn't the mountain making snow!?" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 Not calm here. The wind really ramped up in the last 90 mins. 15G25mph type stuff. Mixed right back up into the mid 40s. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 20 minutes ago, kdxken said: Off topic but does anyone know anything about Coyote behavior? All summer I've seen single coyotes or maybe a pair. Lately I've seen packs. Is this something they do in the winter? By no means an expert, but if one gets a kill you'll hear the whole pack howling. So maybe they're on their way to a kill, or they hunt in packs in the cold season when food isn't as abundant? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 20 minutes ago, dendrite said: Not calm here. The wind really ramped up in the last 90 mins. 15G25mph type stuff. Mixed right back up into the mid 40s. Maybe we mix out up here too…that’s a solid breeze. Guess the 18z Euro 925mb wind for 10pm does show a more pronounced mixed compressional flow in areas, wrapping around that upper level low in the Maritimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 12 hours ago, weatherwiz said: weathermodels.com sucks I've used weatherbell for a few years. Happy with it but expensive 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 1 hour ago, kdxken said: Off topic but does anyone know anything about Coyote behavior? All summer I've seen single coyotes or maybe a pair. Lately I've seen packs. Is this something they do in the winter? Where is that Ken? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 5 hours ago, DavisStraight said: Where is that Ken? Southington CT 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 7 hours ago, DavisStraight said: Where is that Ken? On my main trail. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 More folks and models pointing to rain late next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 Love the Bermuda high to start December on the GFS. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 Another move to more of a fropa for late week. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 Another move to more of a fropa for late week. Gotta have faithSent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 10 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Gotta have faith Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk Like this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 Probably at least a week for any meaningful precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 Boston is now just 5 days away from hitting the 1000 day mark since its last snowfall of greater than 4 inches... 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 4 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: Boston is now just 5 days away from hitting the 1000 day mark since its last snowfall of greater than 4 inches... Sucks for them…right on the water there. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 12 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: https://x.com/keithmahler1/status/1857549111500877935?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg Ossipee was scheduled to be drawn down 3.25' in Oct. Alot of lakes get drawn down a few feet this time of year https://www.des.nh.gov/news-and-media/state-announces-its-2024-fall-drawdown-lakes 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 Down to 27F this morning here in the Valley in E CT; now up to 32F and calm currently with no wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 27 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Down to 27F this morning here in the Valley in E CT; now up to 32F and calm currently with no wind Wow..that’s a pit there for sure. You guys decouple and radiate there well. 48 here already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 it'll be interesting watching these operational models engineer nothing out of a +pna/-nao loading pattern going forward. but, can't say this wasn't suspected. i spent more time than i should writing about the all but dependable cold loss in guidance, when moving patterns from the ext into mid range just the other day. also, those upside-down lows, with snow on the under belly in drilling west wind, and warm ( relatively so...) rains wrapped around the n side ( 120 hours) will tend to really go one way or the other. that's an unusual/rare verification as is. my guess in this case it goes to just rain. this is a -2, western limbed -nao with under running +pnap, after novie 15 ... where's the cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 12 hours ago, kdxken said: Off topic but does anyone know anything about Coyote behavior? All summer I've seen single coyotes or maybe a pair. Lately I've seen packs. Is this something they do in the winter? Families, and there may be as many as 6 pups or more, though they usually get thinned out by fall. Multi-family packs like wolves are uncommon for coyotes. Didn't happen this year, but the usual sequence here would be hearing the pups singing soprano in May then working down to a low alto by September. This morning was 20°+ milder than yesterday's 14. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 Can't complain about today. Absolute beauty. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 3 minutes ago, kdxken said: Can't complain about today. Absolute beauty. It was dead calm here for a bit, but here is the breeze! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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