Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,586
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

Blowvember - and not named for wind potential


Go Kart Mozart
 Share

Recommended Posts

19 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

And I do hope that completely unexpected wrench in tropical season also means that we get a positive wrench for our winter. The last half decade plus has been miserable. We need a break from rains to Maine. 

Still not an average snowfall season here since 2017-2018....closest was within like 10-12" when I got 51" in 2020-2021.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

28 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah end of the month looking a bit more interesting. Worth watching.

it's been a rather remarkably persistent signal, given both time of year, ...and recent decadal propensity for signals of any kind or context to not be persistently dependable.  haha.   seriously though, thanks giving week's pattern change. 

..as an aside, this is just the way i personally get aroused ... nice and early front loading winter signals, hitting on the front side of the solar minimum entry. 

caveats are still this tendency to correct cold --> warmer, over time   ... it's become a rather dependable aspect in all modeling for several years.  still not abundantly sure why this occurs.  i'd love to blame cc, but i don't really see how that would be the case mathematically - unless the moders really are fiddling with coefficients which according to literature ...there's nothing like that.   i dunno.  either way, we could verify the hemisphere and do so with less cold complexion.   long way to go on that

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Warmth always wins. Sorry to those who don’t believe it. 

I don't really give a rat's ass if the warm night time lows are more anomalous than the cold shots...sorry to those who lose sleep over that. Just give me a cold enough airmass to snow and a low over the islands.

  • Like 1
  • 100% 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

it's been a rather remarkably persistent signal, given both time of year, ...and recent decadal propensity to not be persistently dependable any where and/or in any dimension of context.  haha.   seriously though, thanks giving week's pattern change. 

..as an aside, this is just the way i personally get aroused ... nice and early front loading winter signals, hitting on the front side of the solar minimum entry. 

caveats are still this tendency to correct cold --> warmer, and time <--   ... it's become a rather dependable aspect in all modeling for several years.  still not abundantly sure why this occurs.  i'd love to blame cc, but i don't really see how that would be the case mathematically - unless the moders really are fiddling with coefficients which according to literature ...there's nothing like that.   i dunno.  either way, we could verify the hemisphere and do so with less cold complexion.   long way to go on that

Are there a few others?

  • Haha 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

this was 'fake cold' though.   these last two days...  even the day times held to 40 were kind of fake, too. 

"fake" semantics, that's probably a rubric for any situation were hot or cold over performs, relative to broader indicators/standard lens.   you look at the charts, and the hydrostatic heights are barely below 550 dm thickness, which is the result of integrating moisture into the non-hydrostatic heights ...? never mind   anyway, you don't typically get 20 f lows under 550 thickness.   that's more likely to occur under 535 or less in 'standard synoptic' loading.  also, keeping the high temperature just 40 f - granted the sun is now beans for heat contribution, still, we've seen 60 at this time of year/sun at 550 dm thickness. 

basically, the middle range of the troposphere is warm, the surface is cold ...relative to the former metrical layout. by a comparatively slivered range, too.  so, we've been faked out.

the end of the month isn't fake the way those indices modes are at that time.  it's also nice to see the operational runs buying in a bit more.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

21 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Still not an average snowfall season here since 2017-2018....closest was within like 10-12" when I got 51" in 2020-2021.

It has been a truly horrific stretch since I came back in 2018. Without the Feb miracle I would’ve been below a foot of snowfall on the season. Worst season yet. It’s time for something better…I hope…

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I know what you mean, but we are also pissing through record highs. 
Join the Sandbar Scooter club. I’m not only the president, I’m also a client.

If course. I'm not saying it doesn't manifest during the day at all..obviously it does...especially during the cold season. Summer is def more in the way of warmer nights and consistently higher dews.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...