Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,586
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

Blowvember - and not named for wind potential


Go Kart Mozart
 Share

Recommended Posts

30 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

It’s all mixed up, at all different heights there. 

Definitely variable but I always think of mixed up (mixing) as a normal dry adiabatic lapse rate.  With good mixing it would be much easier to forecast these temps.  Cold up high and a consistent trend of warmer temps as you head downward.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

30 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Definitely variable but I always think of mixed up (mixing) as a normal dry adiabatic lapse rate.  With good mixing it would be much easier to forecast these temps.  Cold up high and a consistent trend of warmer temps as you head downward.

Very good point. So no mixing going on there, just inversions happening at all different levels. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

ooz euro and gfs oscillating toward the colder side of the a index range though for beyond the 21st ...

i get it that we should go above for a bit in the foreground.  however, this isn't like the earlier balloonings to +15+ c 850s over the top of a cc height dome this time.  we're only recovering to half that - so it looks at this time. 

then we'll see if the pattern change is stable in future guidance.  still a long ways, but it's impressive to see the weight of the euro and gfs ens means ( both ...) similar on this set up below,

image.png.c46dedd7854f2190ee5dc65803a5d916.png

which is actually already corrected the 500 mb e enough that given a month and more antecedent cold we'd be talking about a major potential.  as is, a slug of cold rain with wrap around hill top frosting.  but that's a deep western limb -nao.   notice also the -epo formulating over the alaskan sector - watch that for a cold load

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...