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Blowvember - and not named for wind potential


Go Kart Mozart
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1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I did too, but it ended up a quality over quantity season. The SFMR thing was just weird. I wonder if they decided that after missing that Ian was a 5 right before landfall. 

More dropsondes? I don't know...but I hate the FL extrapolation method. There's too many assumptions of the atmospheric physics at that point of time.

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59 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

And I do hope that completely unexpected wrench in tropical season also means that we get a positive wrench for our winter. The last half decade plus has been miserable. We need a break from rains to Maine. 

I need a wrench to get out of the beast of a man shed Ray has me locked in. 

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2 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Top 10 in hurricanes. 

Top 20 in MH (tied with several 5 MH seasons).

Just outside top 20 in ACE (it’s right outside of hyperactive right now).

Earliest cat 5 on record.

Strongest Gulf hurricane in since Rita. First sub 900mb hurricane since Wilma. In October. 

After a historically dead period late August - mid September, the most active period on record since.

1 off tying the record for most CONUS H landfalls in a season.

Helene.

 

It’s not 2005, but it has been anything but a fail.

Funny narrative and he  sticks with it no matter what, even if it's extremely stupid.  Big big season

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29 minutes ago, Modfan2 said:

Not only the surface fuels but this are burning 6-8” in the ground running the root lines

Historical fire season goes right into and thru the holidays. Christmas tree farms potentially burnt out . And if not.. with the drought .. folks cutting them down, bringing them inside and homes catching on fire from the lights . Which is worse? 

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lol maybe some hope?

On the whole we`re not looking at any appreciable storm systems with
real hopes of significant rainfall during the 6-7 day period. Tell
me if you`ve heard this before, but models are hinting at a more
substantial storm system on the tail end of the forecast period
(Thursday) or just beyond it. Fool me once, shame on you, fool me
twice, well...let`s just say that we`re not locking into any
solution yet but at the very least there are hopeful signs of a more
substantial rainfall event with the GFS/ECMWF/Canadian all in
agreement that a broad west coast ridge and east coast trough sets
up by the end of the week. That consensus inspires some hope, but as
we`ve seen before consensus amongst global guidance doesn`t always
mean correctness. Stay tuned
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