Blowvember - and not named for wind potential

[Damage In Tolland]

The freeze has happened. None of the fake stuff like so far. Real CAA cold at 29

[ineedsnow]

might have to go check out some fake snow after to get in the mood!!

https://www.wachusett.com/the-mountain/media-center/webcams/

[ineedsnow]

looks great with the sun coming up

[512high]

23 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

might have to go check out some fake snow after to get in the mood!!

https://www.wachusett.com/the-mountain/media-center/webcams/

Boy I'm surprised, with a drought area, their supply must be good....for now.

[Snowcrazed71]

33 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

The freeze has happened. None of the fake stuff like so far. Real CAA cold at 29

Lol.... Didn't you say you were staying above freezing through Thanksgiving?  Fake news!!! ;-)

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

7 hours ago, weathafella said:

Drove through your neck of the woods today.  Windy and a tad chilly.

Text me next time if you a moment to spare.

I’m getting old, I don’t like the cold. 

[dendrite]

Min 27.4°

Stayed mixed all night

[ineedsnow]

57 minutes ago, 512high said:

Boy I'm surprised, with a drought area, their supply must be good....for now.

Pretty sure they use the pond by the base lodge which is full 

[40/70 Benchmark]

I really don't think this winter is going to be a complete no-show again. Pretty confident in modestly better Pacific relative to last year providing some decent chances.

[weatherwiz]

9 hours ago, weathafella said:

0Z/13 MET with a low of 22 tomorrow night at Logan.  Sell.

Just saw that lol.

GFS/NBM are lower 30's lol

[40/70 Benchmark]

Starting to see some subtle signs of a potential light at the end of this proverbial Pacific-carnage tunnel, too.

[CoastalWx]

6 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Just saw that lol.

GFS/NBM are lower 30's lol

Yeah that’s BS. They’ll be lucky for 32.

[Lava Rock]

Bottomed out at 26F

[weatherwiz]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Yeah that’s BS. They’ll be lucky for 32.

The MET should just be canned. There are situations where it will outperform but 99% of the time its pure garbage...waste of resources really. Maybe not as much around these parts but other areas of the county it can be an absolute embarrassment. I get MOS isn't going to handle anomalous patterns at all but there are some situations it will be like 10-20F below MAV/NBM.  

[brooklynwx99]

7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Starting to see some subtle signs of a potential light at the end of this proverbial Pacific-carnage tunnel, too.

yeah i can't act like the blocking with -EPO/-WPO showing up isn't a positive sign

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

The MET should just be canned. There are situations where it will outperform but 99% of the time its pure garbage...waste of resources really. Maybe not as much around these parts but other areas of the county it can be an absolute embarrassment. I get MOS isn't going to handle anomalous patterns at all but there are some situations it will be like 10-20F below MAV/NBM.  

Yeah. You’re losing the CAA so I’m not sure they’ll get much colder than 32-33. Just my guess. Maybe if they hang onto a light NW wind they could. But 22? lol.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

yeah i can't act like the blocking with -EPO/-WPO showing up isn't a positive sign

I am more on the -WPO train, but if we get both...yea, that is the upside. I went +EPO.....

Both is 2013-2014.

[George001]

6 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

yeah i can't act like the blocking with -EPO/-WPO showing up isn't a positive sign

The signal is fairly strong now on guidance, for me the question is how long will this -EPO/-WPO last? If it has real staying power and persists into mid-late Dec we would already be rapidly deviating from some of the worst case analogs (01-02, 22-23 etc). If it only lasts a few days or so then that will be concerning. 

[weatherwiz]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah. You’re losing the CAA so I’m not sure they’ll get much colder than 32-33. Just my guess. Maybe if they hang onto a light NW wind they could. But 22? lol.

At least based on bufkit, the GFS is lightest with winds but MOS/NBM keep BOS around 10 knots through the night. Even if you look at NAM bufkit at BOS, coldest 2M temp is right around 32 and it doesn't really seem favorable for rad cooling (unless the winds ended up becoming quite lite) but yeah...even if that happens 22 isn't happening. 

[wxeyeNH]

25.4F up here on my hill.   We had a few snow showers yesterday.  Second time a few flakes have  been in the air.

[ineedsnow]

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

It ain’t coming 

[Spanks45]

35 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I really don't think this winter is going to be a complete no-show again. Pretty confident in modestly better Pacific relative to last year providing some decent chances.

After the last 2 seasons my expectations are so low.  So at this point get me above 25 inches for the year and it will feel like a victory. The pattern has been pretty consistent, even with the gulf cane's showing up every few weeks. But things start to look different into Turkey week....

21⁰ this morning, teens are almost a lock tomorrow morning

[Damage In Tolland]

I feel like I am reading thru the Nov thread from last year right now. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

It ain’t coming 

He is like @MJO812 10 years ago.

[ineedsnow]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

He is like @MJO812 10 years ago.

After the last 2 months of boring weather I'll take anything.. and if we got this to phase perfect it would be a ton of fun

[MJO812]

17 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

He is like @MJO812 10 years ago.

We watch 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

17 minutes ago, Spanks45 said:

After the last 2 seasons my expectations are so low.  So at this point get me above 25 inches for the year and it will feel like a victory. The pattern has been pretty consistent, even with the gulf cane's showing up every few weeks. But things start to look different into Turkey week....

21⁰ this morning, teens are almost a lock tomorrow morning

I’m already over sweating details this season. Whatever happens, happens. Can’t get any worse (technically it could). 

[CoastalWx]

22 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

After the last 2 months of boring weather I'll take anything.. and if we got this to phase perfect it would be a ton of fun

 

9 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

We watch 

You can watch it go out to sea.

[ineedsnow]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

 

You can watch it go out to sea.

And then get pulled back