Blowvember - and not named for wind potential

[Damage In Tolland]

35 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Agree on more storminess anyways. I mean it can't any less interesting.

It was supposed to get stormy after Oct 10th and it didn’t. I don’t see anything showing significant change to the overall dry pattern 

[Go Kart Mozart]

19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Seems drier now though.

Yes, AI had it reforming near ILM and whiffing us much sooner than the others.

[Modfan2]

1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

12z Euro looked good.. out to hr 360.. who knows though

Nothing better than the 360Hr Storm threats to look forward to this winter!

[Go Kart Mozart]

If one uses their extrapolative imagination, you can picture the MJO getting into a good spot for Christmas.  

We need it to keep going aRoundy and aRoundy.

[Sn0waddict]

1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

Maybe Feb.

Maybe never with the way the climate is at this point. 

[CoastalWx]

28 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

If one uses their extrapolative imagination, you can picture the MJO getting into a good spot for Christmas.  

We need it to keep going aRoundy and aRoundy.

I think it could get more favorable then.

[tamarack]

3 hours ago, metagraphica said:

Definitely BLOWvember today.

Only breezy here in the woods - top gusts might've reached 30.  Saw a gust of 52 at Greenville, wind off Moosehead.

This is the 3rd latest fall with no flakes observed here, and unless some come sailing thru this afternoon, we'll be in 2nd place (currently 11/14 in 2022.)  Latest was 11/21 in 2004.  Since both 2004-05 and 2022-23 had AN snow, no worries about the late start.  Earliest trace was 10/4 in 1999, followed by a near-ratter.

[CoastalWx]

So the euro op and ensemble control member are pretty much the same now. As a result, it will go out to 15 days. No weenie control graphics anymore.

[metagraphica]

BLOWvember indeed. Power out since 3:50pm. Branches down somewhere on my road I’m sure.


.

[ineedsnow]

Well this could be a interesting GFS run

[ineedsnow]

Or not.lol

[ineedsnow]

We would need that low in the Midwest to dig more I think

[MJO812]

Nice cold pattern on gfs

[CoastalWx]

Probably too blocky and forcing Sarah to go east.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

I think it could get more favorable then.

I think around 12/16 could begin a window, but just leery of can-kicking.

[WinterWolf]

2 hours ago, Sn0waddict said:

Maybe never with the way the climate is at this point. 

That is silly. 

[ineedsnow]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Probably too blocky and forcing Sarah to go east.

ya but we watch

[kdxken]

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think around 12/16 could begin a window, but just leery of can-kicking.

When does your winter forecast come out?

[40/70 Benchmark]

7 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2024/11/using-past-forecasting-difficulty-to.html

 

Just now, kdxken said:

When does your winter forecast come out?

 

[kdxken]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

 

 

Good luck!

[Cyclone-68]

Isn’t a storm even coming out of the Caribbean at this point in time almost certainly a subtropical storm if it makes it north of say 30N?

[MJO812]

42 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

ya but we watch

Sandy !

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Sandy !

That’s about where Sandy formed. 

[weatherwiz]

43 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said:

Isn’t a storm even coming out of the Caribbean at this point in time almost certainly a subtropical storm if it makes it north of say 30N?

Not necessarily.

This would be purely tropical. Let's say this made landfall across say the Florida Panhandle, it could be transitioning then.

[kdxken]

Interesting they didn't end the red flag warning at 6:00 p.m. I can see why, the dew point is 18 and the wind is still cranking.

[weathafella]

0Z/13 MET with a low of 22 tomorrow night at Logan.  Sell.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Congrats on the boredom buster gfs.

[weathafella]

20 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Congrats on the boredom buster gfs.

Drove through your neck of the woods today.  Windy and a tad chilly.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Most of SNE maybe goin' dry rub with the T-Day Turkeys.   I don't see any significant precipitation for a bit... 

[CoastalWx]

Even with the wind off Boston Harbor, it’s 33. Still windy out. Can see the ocean effect stratus to my east. Actually feels like November finally.