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Blowvember - and not named for wind potential


Go Kart Mozart
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15 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

it's likely too long out in time for the operational versions to really avail, but the indices are still suggestive of a pro-seasonal expression during the week of thanks giving. 

that's the short version.

I like the short version. :thumbsup:

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37 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

 

I've never kept up-to-date much with model upgrades (which is pretty dumb of me) but it seems to me like there's been an awful lot of tinkering with models the last several years. If that is the case, I'm sure much has to do with advancements in research and additional funding but it must be difficult to zero in on any biases and where models struggle the most if you're tinkering so much. But I could be totally off base here. 

 

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5 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

It will now go out to 384 hours 

Serious? 

That's ridiculous. No need for models to go out that far, what a waste of money and resources. Put the resources to better use. If you're going to run models that far out, then only do like 500mb level. But that aspect wouldn't matter...the vendor sites will continue with their snowfall maps, supercell composite parameters maps, and significant tornado maps. I've even seen this product floating around called accumulated supercell composite parameter...THERE IS NO NEED FOR SUCH A PRODUCT. USE THE RESOURCES ON SOMETHING ELSE.

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33 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Serious? 

That's ridiculous. No need for models to go out that far, what a waste of money and resources. Put the resources to better use. If you're going to run models that far out, then only do like 500mb level. But that aspect wouldn't matter...the vendor sites will continue with their snowfall maps, supercell composite parameters maps, and significant tornado maps. I've even seen this product floating around called accumulated supercell composite parameter...THERE IS NO NEED FOR SUCH A PRODUCT. USE THE RESOURCES ON SOMETHING ELSE.

I can't read all this tech stuff.  Will it go out beyond 90 hours on the 06Z and 18Z runs?   I agree 384 hours is nuts but it would be nice to go further out on off runs

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1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

I've never kept up-to-date much with model upgrades (which is pretty dumb of me) but it seems to me like there's been an awful lot of tinkering with models the last several years. If that is the case, I'm sure much has to do with advancements in research and additional funding but it must be difficult to zero in on any biases and where models struggle the most if you're tinkering so much. But I could be totally off base here. 

 

"How can they call it an upgrade when the 2 most recent "upgrades" did not lead to a meaningful score improvement???

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