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Blowvember - and not named for wind potential


Go Kart Mozart
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7 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

its a start!

 

Wednesday Night
A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. East wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday
A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 43. East wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%

The transition is on the way. 

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Some of these photos coming out of CO (especially south of Denver towards Colorado Spring) are pretty impressive for the lower elevations in early November.

These are inhabited areas, many with at least some leaves left on the trees… not necessarily up in the mtns.  Some places are in the 3-4” SWE range with a bit more to go.

They’ve got another night to go with that cut-off low.

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1 hour ago, powderfreak said:

Some place in New Mexico… Monte Aplanado?  Record snowfall.

Long wave troughing out west and eastern ridging feels like a persistent pattern for numerous cold seasons lately.  We need a win here on the east coast this year.

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Looks like sh :/

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5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Quabbin is at 86% capacity.  Pretty much the same as Nov 2022.  
Wachusett is 95%

Yeah. Just checked my water supply resovoirs and they are actually above normal in capacity for this time of year. 

There was a post on reddit though with a lot of people experiencing issues with their wells in ct. Air, dirty water and some even having to bring in water trucks to refill them. 

 

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In the summer of 1966, the reservoirs supplying NYC were under 15% capacity and the available water was measured in weeks, not months.  Then 4-6" came down on 9/21.  A 2" storm might be enough to recharge things in SNE, though a lighter but longer event would better calm the fire danger.

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28 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

It's getting bad here also. Brush fire last night in Prospect Park. It's under control right now.

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In April of 1963 more than a dozen houses were destroyed during a brush fire on Staten Island.  Imagine whet an insurance adjuster would think, "A forest fire?  But you live in New York City - you've got to be kidding!"
(That same windy day, nearly 200,000 acres were scorched in the NJ Pine Barrens, along with a hundred or so buildings.)

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4 minutes ago, weathafella said:

I remember that summer of 1966 that tamarack alluded to.  Crazy times.  The current pattern appears to be getting wetter moving forward.

Ya nothing to worry about as far as reservoirs go.. brush fires are another story until we get a good amount of qpf

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Incidentally I’ve noticed the squirrels in IL/IN where I’ve been for the past 10 days are really tubby.  Not so much in sne at least when we left on Halloween.  I think the Midwest may have a good snow winter which makes sense with the better proximity to troughing in the inter mountain west.

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20 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Not seeing that. Late week storm is OTS

Ok Mr Cynical...lol

Seriously though. We do have some rain ( some..not a soaker ) for Sunday Night into Monday morning. Not a drought buster, but enough to give most in SNE some rain.

As far as Thursday's Rain.... Don't write it off just yet. Like any storm 6 days out, a lot can change, and will. So we need to take a wait and see on this one. 

Later in the month their seems to be a pattern change coming in temps, and also could bring some needed precip. I doubt highly that we go through the next several months without some beneficial precip ( not 100% of course ), but we also are not the Sahara Desert where this is a likely outcome. 

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3 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Incidentally I’ve noticed the squirrels in IL/IN where I’ve been for the past 10 days are really tubby.  Not so much in sne at least when we left on Halloween.  I think the Midwest may have a good snow winter which makes sense with the better proximity to troughing in the inter mountain west.

Not saying you're wrong... But I always use caution when looking at things like ... More acorns, or fatter Squirrels, or any of these kinds of Natures signs ... ( Although I did notice 2 of our squirrels lounging in bikinis sipping on Margueritas) ;-)

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1 hour ago, weathafella said:

I remember that summer of 1966 that tamarack alluded to.  Crazy times.  The current pattern appears to be getting wetter moving forward.

NYC's driest met summer and 2nd hottest behind 2010.  That year and 1953 are Central Park's only years with 4 days 100+.  The 3-day weekend Sat/Sun/Mon July 2-4, 1966 had highs of 100/103/98, LGA 101/107/99 and EWR 102/105/100.  I'm guessing that it was closer to 150 between counter and grill at Curtiss-Wright's NNJ lake resort where I was out straight serving the place's biggest crowd in the 2 summers I worked there.

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51 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Incidentally I’ve noticed the squirrels in IL/IN where I’ve been for the past 10 days are really tubby.  Not so much in sne at least when we left on Halloween.  I think the Midwest may have a good snow winter which makes sense with the better proximity to troughing in the inter mountain west.

Any skinny squirrels should come to my yard and fatten up in the acorns.  Holy crap. 

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