dendrite Posted November 4 Share Posted November 4 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: So isn’t that valid on Wednesday evening at 7pm? 75 degrees at 7pm…that would be cool to see. It’s the max temp for the day ending at that time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 4 Share Posted November 4 Just now, dendrite said: It’s the max temp for the day ending at that time. Hopefully it’ll offset the pain of this… 13 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 4 Share Posted November 4 24 minutes ago, dendrite said: It’s the max temp for the day ending at that time. Ok, that makes sense now. Thanks for the clarification. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 5 Share Posted November 5 More soaking rains for NNE tonight . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 5 Share Posted November 5 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: More soaking rains for NNE tonight . Radar looks like more bark than bite. Returns look healthy for like 0.02”/hr rates lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 5 Share Posted November 5 Yeah NNE rains look light. However at least wet surfaces, unlike here. dry as a gotdam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 5 Share Posted November 5 Lots of fires next 3 days in SNE with 30 mph + winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted November 5 Share Posted November 5 6 hours ago, WinterWolf said: Thing is, it’s not even late fall yet. Another 3 weeks or so it will be getting there though. But even 8 years ago…in the Super Nino of 2016, you guys killed it with the monster blizzard there in the city. That missed most of SNE(Southern CT did well. Here in central CT I got about 10-12 from it. But Once north of here it dropped off dramatically). So shit happens. Oh no doubt about it! To be clear, I’m not in the it-will-never-snow-again camp. It will. But as an avowed retention snob who—perhaps sadistically—lives for any kind of cold during the fall and winter, things have been tough for me down here since ‘14–15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston Bulldog Posted November 5 Share Posted November 5 10 hours ago, WinterWolf said: Listen, I don’t pretend to know how much snow we’re gonna get. All I know is that it will snow here in SNE this winter. Long range forecasting is a crapshoot at best…just look at what happened with the hurricane season forecast, it was a complete bust. So I mean I put very little faith into anything that is 4-6 weeks out at this moment. And for the heart of the winter we are 2.5-3 months out…so unless somebody has a crystal ball, I’m not buying into anything on 11/4. But that’s just me. If you guys want to worry yourselves to death, that’s up to you. Seen this hurricane season take a few times, the NOAA forecast has verified across named storms, total hurricanes and major hurricanes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted November 5 Share Posted November 5 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Radar looks like more bark than bite. Returns look healthy for like 0.02”/hr rates lol. We’ve had some very light mixed precipitation and that’s it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 5 Share Posted November 5 So dry worthy of a repeat 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 5 Share Posted November 5 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Radar looks like more bark than bite. Returns look healthy for like 0.02”/hr rates lol. had a quick shower here.. wasn't expecting anything at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 5 Share Posted November 5 3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: I don’t think temps are the question . Everyone is in agreement that it’s another warm winter . Even @40/70 Benchmark. The question is will there be much qpf or do we go the way of 2001/02.. where the drought started late summer and continued right thru the winter and into the following summer . A dry winter is very much a concern and worry I don't know, everything I have looked at indicates that it's more of a concern than a worry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 5 Share Posted November 5 6 hours ago, powderfreak said: The ensemble means don’t look ideal, it is what it is. That doesn’t mean it won’t snow or get cold. The same goes for great looking patterns, that doesn’t mean it will snow. Hopefully that’s a baseline understanding for most on here. Mmm one could justly go ahead and say it’s highly unlikely though - to the extent of new hobby in the meantime when people caboose omissions with “ it doesn’t mean it can’t…” that smacks as psycho babble bargaining. are we really just as scared to accept as we are willing to admit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 5 Share Posted November 5 5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Mmm one could justly go ahead and say it’s highly unlikely though - to the extent of new hobby in the meantime when people caboose omissions with “ it doesn’t mean it can’t…” that smacks as psycho babble bargaining. are we really just as scared to accept as we are willing to admit? Accept that it won't snow in November? Done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 5 Share Posted November 5 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Accept that it won't snow in November? Done. I’m pretty sure the topic of Scott’s point was “into December“ but sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 5 Share Posted November 5 48 minutes ago, alex said: We’ve had some very light mixed precipitation and that’s it There were some sleet pellets at the onset here with temps in the upper 30s. It was cold at summit level, then warm above that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 5 Share Posted November 5 11 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I’m pretty sure the topic of Scott’s point was “into December“ but sure I didn't read back that far, but still no issue. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 5 Share Posted November 5 44 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Mmm one could justly go ahead and say it’s highly unlikely though - to the extent of new hobby in the meantime when people caboose omissions with “ it doesn’t mean it can’t…” that smacks as psycho babble bargaining. are we really just as scared to accept as we are willing to admit? That’s not psycho babble bargaining in my thought process. Statistically, the long term pattern looks highly unfavorable. Everything is currently stacked against a solid cold precip event in New England. But if I’m a forecaster, I’m leaving open the chance of sneaking in an impactful winter weather event in this NNE climate despite the highly unfavorable background weeks 3-6. Its an afterthought, but sometimes one sneaks in during the low solar time of year. The most likely scenario is the mean outlook though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 5 Share Posted November 5 19 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I didn't read back that far, but still no issue. i am interested in the cpc handling of the ao(nao) lately thats correlated with mjo space 8 which is also prevalent - that coupling presages -epo… or tends to. not sure if peppeRONI should only apply to enso, but all telecons anyway the rna may be in the way persistence Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 5 Share Posted November 5 dheck this out: Cory gets a mention in this article!https://www.foxnews.com/politics/harris-trump-showdown-first-votes-cast-midnight-tiny-new-hampshire-township 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 5 Share Posted November 5 MAV has 80° at BDL now tomorrow. That would be the latest 80° on record. LFG 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted November 5 Share Posted November 5 21 hours ago, CoastalWx said: What if it doesn't snow in December? Well then, we'll see. Most of my really decent years in north central CT didn't have any appreciable snow until around Christmas / New Years. 1992 is a memorable exception and I'm not Will, CRS is a serious problem... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 5 Share Posted November 5 Lol…only 80 on that map for frying pan BDL, other than what looks to be Newark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 5 Share Posted November 5 2 hours ago, moneypitmike said: dheck this out: Cory gets a mention in this article!https://www.foxnews.com/politics/harris-trump-showdown-first-votes-cast-midnight-tiny-new-hampshire-township Yeah. He has done that before I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 5 Share Posted November 5 Summer is back 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 5 Share Posted November 5 Biggest question which model is correct for rain on Sunday? GFS bringing the remnants of Raphael up here or Euro which doesn’t and is total Stein . Based on persistence .. how could one side with the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 5 Share Posted November 5 Let's end this mini drought with a bang 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 5 Share Posted November 5 That would make a dent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 5 Share Posted November 5 18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Biggest question which model is correct for rain on Sunday? GFS bringing the remnants of Raphael up here or Euro which doesn’t and is total Stein . Based on persistence .. how could one side with the GFS? What’s EPS have? Euro op sucks. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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