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Mountain West Discussion


mayjawintastawm
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Winds are no joke. But the Euro wins again after being the first to push the lower further east and make it just a brief snowmaker for the metro area.

 

3-4" probably. Rough to tell with the wind. But it never stuck to the roads.

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We had 0.20" of rain and a trace of snow, and no precip after midnight. Only impact here was to tip over a few lightweight patio chairs. Quite the bust as the storm exited stage right faster than anyone predicted. Back edge of the snow is already at the CO/KS border at 9 AM.

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Today's storm has been an impressive storm from California to Wyoming, with some warnings in Nebraska also. There was lots of snow on the Colorado webcams today such as Breckenridge, Ouray, Frisco, Pikes Peak.

vl2F7aJ.jpeg

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6 hours ago, mayjawintastawm said:

Wow, lots of red east of the Divide for 500 miles or so. The Gulf has been closed for business as regards any moisture.

The Dust Bowl coincided with too many La Nina/neutral winters, By my inexact calculations, a double El Nino helped finally wetten up the central part of the country before WWII. And then of course they changed the farming practices and planted trees for windbreaks.

By the way, the last storm (March 20th) picked up dirt from the Plains and deposited it on my car through the light rain.

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7 hours ago, ValpoVike said:

The Drought Monitor suggests that much of the area is doing ok.  

Yeah, I'm a little suspicious of that. Not sure how weather this dry and warm with no snow cover for a while now wouldn't result in a decrease in soil moisture at least. I'm guessing the data are lagging behind, somehow.

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47 minutes ago, mayjawintastawm said:

Yeah, I'm a little suspicious of that. Not sure how weather this dry and warm with no snow cover for a while now wouldn't result in a decrease in soil moisture at least. I'm guessing the data are lagging behind, somehow.

I am cautiously optimistic that this weekend into early next week will give us a good amount of moisture.

 

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On 3/26/2025 at 8:25 AM, gallopinggertie said:

A highly unusual severe weather threat is forecast today for the Pacific Northwest. Seattle and Portland are both in SPC’s slight risk zone. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a severe thunderstorm watch hoisted for both cities (that would be the first ever for Seattle proper, I believe). 

IMG_2444.png

This turned out to mostly be a bust. Cape values were way lower than forecast, and the mid-levels were too dry. I didn’t even hear thunder in Portland. Western WA had a decent amount of lightning, but actual severe weather impacts were limited to a couple storms in the Olympic peninsula and Cascades around Snoqualmie Pass. A big letdown for me, since this is the first time I’ve been in a severe thunderstorm watch.

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6 hours ago, smokeybandit said:

18z GFS showing it, too.

Probably a 1% chance to nail a blizzard 10 days out, but still interesting.

Yeah, very strong signals that the moisture will be there, but temps are tricky in April.  For example, looking medium range at this weekend…both GFS and Euro have quite a lot of precip with aggressive QPF maxed in Larimer county. There is a very sharp gradient in snowfall amounts in both models, with 10 miles between 1.5’ and 1” of snowfall accumulation. Welcome to late March and April!

 

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