Mountain West Discussion

[beavis1729]

1 hour ago, mayjawintastawm said:

Starting to talk about an Arctic outbreak in 6-7 days, perfectly timed for MLK weekend which always seems to be climatologically when we are most likely to get these... some snow at the front end maybe, too, which would be even better. Magnitude and duration of course are up in the air, with the core maybe east of us. Discuss.

I’ll bite. 

Unfortunately for you and us in the Midwest, the angle of the cold may be too far east again…even if centered a bit further west than the recent cold. Hopefully you guys can get in on some upslope as the cold presses down, but otherwise the baroclinic zone may again be too far south for any meaningful precipitation north of 40N. Dry and very cold would be wonderful if there were snow cover, but it feels wasted with bare ground. 

Still a ways out, so plenty of time for changes. 

[mayjawintastawm]

Looking more like a "normal" deep freeze, like we get more or less yearly, with 0.2" to 0.4" QPF to make things white (and drop nighttime temps) on the front end. Still, below zero Sat night-Sun night with even a breath of wind will make it less than comfy for sure.

[Chinook]

2-4" with a drop to -2 degrees. Don't worry, my place in Ohio will get to -2 degrees also.

 

I took the Pike's Peak Railway once

[Chinook]

new winter weather advisory

Quote

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM FRIDAY TO 5 PM MST SATURDAY... *

WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 3 and 6 inches, with locally up to 8 inches near the base of the foothills including Boulder. Lighter amounts of 2 to 4 inches around Greeley. Winds gusting as high as 30 mph east of I-25.

* WHERE...Fort Collins, Boulder and the western suburbs of Denver, Denver, Castle Rock, and Greeley.

* WHEN...From 4 PM Friday to 5 PM MST Saturday.

 

[mayjawintastawm]

Gonna be one of those storms where you can shovel your driveway with a leaf blower... and I bet a lot of people will. 

[ValpoVike]

It's going to get cold for sure.  Interestingly, I have noted over the past several years that January 10th-17th almost always features extreme cold for the front range.  Last year it was on January 13th, with -19 recorded here.  I don't have specifics for other years logged for my location, but I did start a log last year.  It will be interesting to see in a few years how it holds up.

 

[mayjawintastawm]

15 minutes ago, ValpoVike said:

It's going to get cold for sure.  Interestingly, I have noted over the past several years that January 10th-17th almost always features extreme cold for the front range.  Last year it was on January 13th, with -19 recorded here.  I don't have specifics for other years logged for my location, but I did start a log last year.  It will be interesting to see in a few years how it holds up.

 

Yeah I haven't really kept track formally (though posts here would probably fill the data in) but just from memory, this week is often the coldest, with a secondary minimum the second week of Feb.

[mayjawintastawm]

Snow quite anemic so far. 2 inches in 6 hours, and radar looks underwhelming. 19 F at my house.