mayjawintastawm Posted October 28 Share Posted October 28 Let's hope for some cold and, more importantly, moisture. First little frost was Friday morning at my house at 32.2. System Tues night-Wed is looking brief and relatively dry for the Front Range (again), but maybe things will change someday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 29 Share Posted October 29 There are some winter weather advisories for UT/CO, and also winter storm warnings for limited areas of Wyoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 30 Share Posted October 30 Temp in the mid-30s with rain/sleet mix south of Denver Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted October 30 Share Posted October 30 Just drizzle here at 33 degrees. Looks like some better precip developing nearby so maybe something frozen will hit the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted October 30 Share Posted October 30 And indeed, first flurries of the season are falling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted October 30 Author Share Posted October 30 I think we had between one and four snowflakes with a little drizzle. No measurable precip so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted October 30 Share Posted October 30 First legit snow shower of the season with a pretty solid band coming across the area. Enough to coat the grass and go in the books as the first accumulating snow of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted October 31 Share Posted October 31 I picked up about 1.5" yesterday, with most coming in the evening. Not much, but I'll take it...with an eye on early next week to add. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 I found some more web cams Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted November 1 Author Share Posted November 1 2 hours ago, Chinook said: I found some more web cams Interesting. The caption is several different places all around Colorado. Wonder where it really is. Looks pretty low elevation, given all the leaves on the trees still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 Euro joining the FantasyLand (though, not too far into FantasyLand) fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 16 hours ago, mayjawintastawm said: Interesting. The caption is several different places all around Colorado. Wonder where it really is. Looks pretty low elevation, given all the leaves on the trees still. the Crestone Baca looking north (apparently), the west side of the Sangre De Cristos. According to that, then it's near "the Crestones," two peaks that I never got to but I sort of imagined myself climbing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 2 hours ago, smokeybandit said: Euro joining the FantasyLand (though, not too far into FantasyLand) fun. Crazy amounts for sure, but the trend does seem to be pretty strong directionally for good moisture over the next 10-14 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted November 2 Author Share Posted November 2 7 hours ago, Chinook said: the Crestone Baca looking north (apparently), the west side of the Sangre De Cristos. According to that, then it's near "the Crestones," two peaks that I never got to but I sort of imagined myself climbing The thing that made me wonder is it also says "San Juan Mountains" and "Collegiate Peaks", both of which it's nowhere near. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted November 2 Author Share Posted November 2 5 hours ago, ValpoVike said: Crazy amounts for sure, but the trend does seem to be pretty strong directionally for good moisture over the next 10-14 days. Even a quarter of that would be far better than we've done for a while. It's been 40 days since we had >0.1" in a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted November 2 Share Posted November 2 Euro continues to spit out some crazy totals for the end of next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted November 2 Share Posted November 2 a few days ago this web cam had much more yellows on the trees, much like my yard here in Ohio. You wouldn't tend to think that the peak colors at 7000 ft would be at the same time as some of the Midwest... but it must have been warm.. you know like 8 deg above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted November 2 Share Posted November 2 multiple models have a 500mb low at the Four Corners. Here is the new GEFS individual models showing significant total snow accumulations for the mountains (and maybe more) from generally 48hr-120hr (2days-5days) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted November 3 Share Posted November 3 Euro has been quite consistent on its hefty snow next weekend. GFS had the same at 0z, but lost it at 6z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted November 3 Author Share Posted November 3 19 hours ago, Chinook said: a few days ago this web cam had much more yellows on the trees, much like my yard here in Ohio. You wouldn't tend to think that the peak colors at 7000 ft would be at the same time as some of the Midwest... but it must have been warm.. you know like 8 deg above normal. We were in Buena Vista last weekend and it indeed seemed much more like early-mid October than almost Halloween. Lots of groves of yellow cottonwoods still leafed out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted November 3 Share Posted November 3 GFS has the Saturday blizzard again. Euro still has it. This is going to happen folks. Why? Because I'll be out of town. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted November 4 Author Share Posted November 4 I kind of hope, selfishly, that the storm doesn't happen too much or is rain, since my sprinkler blowout is scheduled for Saturday. In any case, I love how the NWS BOU forecasters are describing the ambiguity of the Wed-Sun timeframe: The last long term discussion used song lyrics to frame the discussion, so why not do that again but this time with a hit song a year earlier than Bonnie Raitt`s hit: "Things That Make You Go Hmmm" by C+C Music Factory. We think we lost count with how many things are making us go hmmm in the forecast from Wednesday through Saturday. We wish we could say confidence is increasing with time, but that is simply not the case. There are some broad brush aspects of how the cut off trough could evolve, but the problem is that small changes in the position and movement of the trough make massive differences in the snow amounts and travel impacts across our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted November 4 Share Posted November 4 with all apologies to Phil Collins of Genesis... here's the next DenverBoulder forecast dicussion. Note NWS-WPC has 1"-3" total QPF in the next week from Denver to the southeastern portion of Colorado Quote .LONG TERM /Tuesday through Sunday/... Issued at 303 AM MST Mon Nov 4 2024 Another day and another shift in guidance, but are we coming into agreement or a more stable trend, like your magic 8 ball, `ask again later.` That being said there are some details we can talk about, at least for Wednesday. Stronger cold front barrels through early Wednesday setting us up for some snowfall, moderate at times given elevated fronto-Genesis which you can feel it coming `in the air Tues-night` (yes, this was not a Genesis song but close enough). The northerly flow behind the surface front likely dries the northern areas off the Cheyenne Ridge, unfortunately giving them very little QPF and therefore snow after the initial frontal surge moves through. Farther south, the favored Palmer Ridge area and points west into the foothills, better orographics/upslope as the 700 mb low begins to develop over the Four Corners area, produces a better snow accumulation potential. Depending on the location of the jet streak, we could even see a few inches/impacts across the I-70 plains corridor, combined with the upslope component. All-in-all, this could cause some Wednesday AM commute issues across portions of south Metro Denver and points west-southwest into the foothills that may extend into the evening commute along the Palmer. We wanted to allow the current winter weather headline expire before hoisting anything for Wednesday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted November 5 Author Share Posted November 5 I wish WPC predictions would verify IMBY sometimes. It seems like "cold, cloudy, windy and pretty dry except in favored foothills locations" is the safest mantra for last storm, this storm, and probably the next several. We've had <0.25" water in the last 6 weeks and it's so frustrating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted November 5 Share Posted November 5 My 2-3" the other day with the WWA got me 0.2" We'll see if this WSW actually puts something on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted November 6 Author Share Posted November 6 Wow. 4.7" here at 11 PM. Pretty high moisture content too. Guess the old "reverse psychology" worked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted November 6 Share Posted November 6 Eyeballing 6-8" so far. I'll measure in a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted November 6 Author Share Posted November 6 8.2" here for a "final" for now. What a change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted November 6 Share Posted November 6 Maybe another inch or so as they day has gone on, now a nice band coming in from the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted November 6 Share Posted November 6 so I guess this is happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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